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Serhii Bondarenko's Avatar
published in Blogs
Jun 28, 2023

ALV's 19.02% Gain: Swing Trader's Sector Rotation Strategy

Swing Trader: Sector Rotation Strategy (TA&FA) Generates 19.02% for ALV

In the ever-vibrant landscape of financial markets, sector rotation strategies often stand as a beacon for traders seeking to optimize returns. One such strategy, a judicious combination of technical analysis (TA) and fundamental analysis (FA), has recently shown remarkable results for ALV, resulting in a noteworthy gain of 19.02%.

ALV, a distinguished participant in its sector, has always offered intriguing possibilities for traders. Recently, it demonstrated an ability to bounce back strongly, moving above its lower band. This move is indicative of upward momentum, hinting at a potential march toward the middle band. This dynamic has created an appealing opportunity for traders to consider taking long positions in the stock or exploring call options.

The said sector rotation strategy is based on two key pillars - Technical Analysis and Fundamental Analysis. TA and FA are methods of analysis used by traders to predict future price movements of stocks and decide whether to buy, sell, or hold.

Technical analysis involves interpreting statistical trends gathered from trading activity, such as price movement and volume. In the case of ALV, technical indicators are painting a picture of recovery and advancement, as the stock has managed to leap back above the lower band. The expected trajectory towards the middle band is another strong technical signal, encouraging traders to consider bullish positions.

On the other hand, Fundamental Analysis aims to measure a security's intrinsic value by examining related economic and financial factors, including the overall economy and industry conditions. ALV's strong performance can be attributed to robust underlying fundamentals, evidenced by its recent financial statements and market positioning.

In an environment where traders are constantly seeking edge and alpha, the fusion of TA & FA within a sector rotation strategy presents a compelling case. This potent blend allows traders to leverage historical price patterns while keeping an eye on core business health and industry trends.

The impressive 19.02% gain generated by ALV exemplifies the potential of this strategy, offering intriguing possibilities for future trades. The forecast of ALV moving toward the middle band suggests that the upward trend may continue, offering more opportunities for traders.

The impressive performance of ALV under the sector rotation strategy, powered by TA&FA, signifies a potentially lucrative approach for traders. It illustrates how an adept blend of different analytical techniques can lead to favorable results in a dynamic market environment. The path forward seems to promise more opportunities for traders looking to capitalize on ALV's upward trajectory.

Related Ticker: ALV

ALV's RSI Indicator recovers from oversold territory

The RSI Indicator for ALV moved out of oversold territory on April 09, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 26 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In of the 26 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on April 17, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on ALV as a result. In of 100 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ALV just turned positive on April 16, 2025. Looking at past instances where ALV's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

ALV moved above its 50-day moving average on April 24, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ALV advanced for three days, in of 318 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 3 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ALV declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

ALV broke above its upper Bollinger Band on April 24, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for ALV entered a downward trend on April 15, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.840) is normal, around the industry mean (12.384). P/E Ratio (21.079) is within average values for comparable stocks, (44.155). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.861) is also within normal values, averaging (0.991). Dividend Yield (0.022) settles around the average of (0.029) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.981) is also within normal values, averaging (20.844).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 80, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. ALV’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Goodyear Tire & Rubber Company (The) (NASDAQ:GT).

Industry description

OEM or Original Equipment Manufacturer of auto parts refers to the original producer of a vehicles components, and so OEM car parts are usually identical to the parts used in producing the vehicle in the first place. OEM parts tend to fit the specifications of a particular model, and their compatibility is often guaranteed by the automaker itself. OEM parts could be more expensive to buy (compared to other vendors’ products) when a consumer goes for replacement. However, increased competition from aftermarket parts/third-party vendors could, in some cases, keep EOM prices in check. The industry might progress further in adopting newer technologies like 3D printing to boost supply chain performance and quality. Aptiv PLC, Magna International Inc. and BorgWarner Inc. are major OEMs for autos.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Auto Parts: OEM Industry is 5.62B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 206 to 52.56B. DNZOY holds the highest valuation in this group at 52.56B. The lowest valued company is JBZY at 206.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Auto Parts: OEM Industry was 4%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -7%, and the average quarterly price growth was -2%. HSAI experienced the highest price growth at 37%, while CDTI experienced the biggest fall at -16%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Auto Parts: OEM Industry was 71%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -48% and the average quarterly volume growth was 62%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 41
P/E Growth Rating: 61
Price Growth Rating: 65
SMR Rating: 74
Profit Risk Rating: 80
Seasonality Score: 14 (-100 ... +100)
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A.I.Advisor
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A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a manufacturer of automotive safety systems for automobile manufacturers

Industry AutoPartsOEM

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Auto Parts OEM
Address
Klarabergsviadukten 70
Phone
+46 858720600
Employees
70300
Web
https://www.autoliv.com
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