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May 09, 2019

AMC (AMC, $13.26) has wider-than-anticipated loss in Q1; shares lose -6%

AMC Entertainment Holdings shares fell -6.3% Thursday, after the movie theatre chain reported wider-than-expected loss for the first-quarter.

The company incurred a net loss of -$1.25 a share for the quarter, which is worse than the -55 cents loss a share that Wall Street analysts had expected. The U.S. industry box office plunged -16.2% to $2.4 billion in the first quarter, with a -14.8% decline in attendance, which AMC indicated as headwinds.

AMC's revenue came in at $1.2 billion, missing the Street estimates of $1.19 billion. It was also -13.2% lower than the year-ago quarter.

Adam Aron, CEO and president of AMC hinted at a potentially challenging comparison from the year-ago period. That’s because, the first quarter saw the movie ‘Black Panther’ emerging as “second highest grossing first quarter of all time", as indicated by Aron.

But the company mentioned that box office momentum picked up at he end of the first quarter, with the April release of 'Avengers: Endgame'  - a movie that has generated record blockbuster sales both domestically and internationally, grossing more than $2 billion globally in its first two weeks.

Related Ticker: AMC

AMC's RSI Oscillator sits in oversold zone for 10 days

The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an uptrend is expected.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 18 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

AMC may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on March 19, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on AMC as a result. In of 75 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for AMC turned negative on March 19, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 35 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 35 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AMC declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for AMC entered a downward trend on April 15, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.000) is normal, around the industry mean (5.400). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (87.119). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (2.822). AMC has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.040). P/S Ratio (0.124) is also within normal values, averaging (29.645).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. AMC’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. AMC’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 89, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX), Walt Disney Company (The) (NYSE:DIS), Roku (NASDAQ:ROKU), Paramount Global (NASDAQ:PARA), iQIYI (NASDAQ:IQ), HUYA (NYSE:HUYA), AMC Entertainment Holdings (NYSE:AMC).

Industry description

Movies/entertainment industry include companies that produce and distribute motion pictures, and companies that operate general entertainment facilities like amusement parks and bowling centers. Some companies in this industry also have professional sports franchises. Live Nation Entertainment, Inc., Liberty Media Corp. and Viacom Inc. are some of the biggest companies in this space.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Movies/Entertainment Industry is 8.76B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 134 to 262.83B. NFLX holds the highest valuation in this group at 262.83B. The lowest valued company is LRDG at 134.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Movies/Entertainment Industry was -2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 1%, and the average quarterly price growth was 18%. AMFL experienced the highest price growth at 113%, while LDSN experienced the biggest fall at -51%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Movies/Entertainment Industry was -13%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -36% and the average quarterly volume growth was 25%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 53
P/E Growth Rating: 62
Price Growth Rating: 80
SMR Rating: 84
Profit Risk Rating: 88
Seasonality Score: -8 (-100 ... +100)
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AMCDaily Signal changed days agoGain/Loss if shorted
 
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A.I.Advisor
published price charts
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published General Information

General Information

a holding company with interest in movie theatres

Industry MoviesEntertainment

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Movies Or Entertainment
Address
11500 Ash Street
Phone
+1 913 213-2000
Employees
33812
Web
https://www.amctheatres.com
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