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May 09, 2019
AMC (AMC, $13.26) has wider-than-anticipated loss in Q1; shares lose -6%

AMC (AMC, $13.26) has wider-than-anticipated loss in Q1; shares lose -6%

AMC Entertainment Holdings shares fell -6.3% Thursday, after the movie theatre chain reported wider-than-expected loss for the first-quarter.

The company incurred a net loss of -$1.25 a share for the quarter, which is worse than the -55 cents loss a share that Wall Street analysts had expected. The U.S. industry box office plunged -16.2% to $2.4 billion in the first quarter, with a -14.8% decline in attendance, which AMC indicated as headwinds.

AMC's revenue came in at $1.2 billion, missing the Street estimates of $1.19 billion. It was also -13.2% lower than the year-ago quarter.

Adam Aron, CEO and president of AMC hinted at a potentially challenging comparison from the year-ago period. That’s because, the first quarter saw the movie ‘Black Panther’ emerging as “second highest grossing first quarter of all time", as indicated by Aron.

But the company mentioned that box office momentum picked up at he end of the first quarter, with the April release of 'Avengers: Endgame'  - a movie that has generated record blockbuster sales both domestically and internationally, grossing more than $2 billion globally in its first two weeks.

Related Ticker: AMC

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


AMC in +1.09% Uptrend, rising for three consecutive days on October 05, 2026

Moving higher for three straight days is viewed as a bullish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future growth. Considering data from situations where AMC advanced for three days, in 174 of 223 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 78%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

AMC moved above its 50-day moving average on September 11, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 85 of 114 cases where AMC Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 75%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for AMC moved out of overbought territory on September 29, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 22 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 21 of the 22 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 90%.

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 05, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on AMC as a result. In 69 of 78 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 88%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for AMC turned negative on October 02, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 40 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 34 of the 40 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 85%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AMC declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.

AMC broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 28, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 23 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 28 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (-17.731) is normal, around the industry mean (18.508). P/E Ratio (19.690) is within average values for comparable stocks, (97.633). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.370) is also within normal values, averaging (3.885). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.005) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.291) is also within normal values, averaging (2.913).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 36 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. AMC’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. AMC’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 76, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Netflix Inc. (NASDAQ:NFLX), Walt Disney Company (The) (NYSE:DIS), Roku (NASDAQ:ROKU), Paramount Skydance Corporation (NASDAQ:PSKY), AMC Entertainment Holdings (NYSE:AMC), iQIYI (NASDAQ:IQ), HUYA (NYSE:HUYA).

Industry description

Movies/entertainment industry include companies that produce and distribute motion pictures, and companies that operate general entertainment facilities like amusement parks and bowling centers. Some companies in this industry also have professional sports franchises. Live Nation Entertainment, Inc., Liberty Media Corp. and Viacom Inc. are some of the biggest companies in this space.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Movies/Entertainment Industry is 17.55B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 293 to 288.27B. NFLX holds the highest valuation in this group at 288.27B. The lowest valued company is BLMZF at 293.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Movies/Entertainment Industry was -3%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -7%, and the average quarterly price growth was 0%. STRZ experienced the highest price growth at 7%, while CPOP experienced the biggest fall at -33%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Movies/Entertainment Industry was 79%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 163% and the average quarterly volume growth was 102%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 65
P/E Growth Rating: 47
Price Growth Rating: 58
SMR Rating: 83
Profit Risk Rating: 76
Seasonality Score: 12 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a holding company with interest in movie theatres

Industry MoviesEntertainment

Industry
Movies Or Entertainment
Address
11500 Ash Street
Phone
+1 913 213-2000
Employees
33311
Web
https://www.amctheatres.com
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