American Public Education (APEI, $4.64) lost -63.66% in three months, becoming one of the top quarterly losers among penny stocks
American Public Education Inc. (APEI) is a provider of online higher education services, catering to adult learners and members of the military. Unfortunately, APEI has had a rough few months, losing -63.66% of its value in just three months, becoming one of the top quarterly losers among penny stocks. A.I.dvisor, an artificial intelligence-powered investment platform, analyzed 277 other stocks in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services Industry for the 3-month period ending March 23, 2023, and found that 133 of them (47.93%) exhibited an Uptrend while 144 of them (52.07%) exhibited a Downtrend.
APEI's recent trend has been largely negative, with the stock down -11.24% over the last three days. This decline has occurred over three consecutive days, which is often viewed as a bearish sign. The fact that the decline has continued for three straight days suggests that investors may be losing faith in the company's prospects, at least in the short term.
The situation with APEI is not entirely unique, as data from situations where APEI declined for three days suggest that the price tends to decline further within the following month. In fact, the odds of a continued downward trend are 77%, suggesting that investors should keep an eye on APEI for future declines.
One possible reason for APEI's poor performance could be increased competition in the online education space. The rise of Massive Open Online Courses (MOOCs) and other online learning platforms has made it easier than ever for students to get an education without ever setting foot on a traditional college campus. As a result, companies like APEI may be facing increased pressure to compete on price and quality.
Despite the challenges facing APEI, it's worth noting that the company has a number of strengths that could help it weather the current storm. For example, APEI has a long history of providing high-quality online education services to students around the world. The company also has a strong balance sheet, with relatively low debt and a solid cash position. Additionally, APEI has a track record of adapting to changing market conditions, which could bode well for its future prospects.
APEI's MACD Histogram just turned positive
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for APEI turned positive on April 26, 2024. Looking at past instances where APEI's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 39 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on April 24, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on APEI as a result. In of 91 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
APEI moved above its 50-day moving average on April 19, 2024 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where APEI advanced for three days, in of 294 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.
The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where APEI declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
APEI broke above its upper Bollinger Band on May 03, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. APEI’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.984) is normal, around the industry mean (75.284). P/E Ratio (16.367) is within average values for comparable stocks, (82.572). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.019) is also within normal values, averaging (1.702). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.054) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.430) is also within normal values, averaging (33.440).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. APEI’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 81, placing this stock worse than average.
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General Information
a provider of online post-secondary education
Industry MiscellaneousCommercialServices