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Sergey Savastiouk's Avatar
published in Blogs
Mar 26, 2023

American Public Education (APEI, $4.64) lost -63.66% in three months, becoming one of the top quarterly losers among penny stocks

American Public Education Inc. (APEI) is a provider of online higher education services, catering to adult learners and members of the military. Unfortunately, APEI has had a rough few months, losing -63.66% of its value in just three months, becoming one of the top quarterly losers among penny stocks. A.I.dvisor, an artificial intelligence-powered investment platform, analyzed 277 other stocks in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services Industry for the 3-month period ending March 23, 2023, and found that 133 of them (47.93%) exhibited an Uptrend while 144 of them (52.07%) exhibited a Downtrend.

APEI's recent trend has been largely negative, with the stock down -11.24% over the last three days. This decline has occurred over three consecutive days, which is often viewed as a bearish sign. The fact that the decline has continued for three straight days suggests that investors may be losing faith in the company's prospects, at least in the short term.

The situation with APEI is not entirely unique, as data from situations where APEI declined for three days suggest that the price tends to decline further within the following month. In fact, the odds of a continued downward trend are 77%, suggesting that investors should keep an eye on APEI for future declines.

One possible reason for APEI's poor performance could be increased competition in the online education space. The rise of Massive Open Online Courses (MOOCs) and other online learning platforms has made it easier than ever for students to get an education without ever setting foot on a traditional college campus. As a result, companies like APEI may be facing increased pressure to compete on price and quality.

Despite the challenges facing APEI, it's worth noting that the company has a number of strengths that could help it weather the current storm. For example, APEI has a long history of providing high-quality online education services to students around the world. The company also has a strong balance sheet, with relatively low debt and a solid cash position. Additionally, APEI has a track record of adapting to changing market conditions, which could bode well for its future prospects.
 

Related Ticker: APEI

APEI's RSI Indicator leaves overbought zone

The 10-day RSI Indicator for APEI moved out of overbought territory on May 20, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. Traders may want to look at selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 28 instances where the indicator moved out of the overbought zone. In of the 28 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move down at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on May 22, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on APEI as a result. In of 88 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for APEI turned negative on May 23, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 39 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 39 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where APEI declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 5 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where APEI advanced for three days, in of 295 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

APEI may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 182 cases where APEI Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. APEI’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.984) is normal, around the industry mean (77.887). P/E Ratio (16.367) is within average values for comparable stocks, (84.703). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.019) is also within normal values, averaging (1.773). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.037) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.430) is also within normal values, averaging (34.661).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. APEI’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 80, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are TAL Education Group (NYSE:TAL), 2U Inc. (NASDAQ:TWOU).

Industry description

The sector produces general business services, and are not classified elsewhere. For example, FleetCor Technologies provides fuel cards and workforce payment products and services; Copart, Inc. provides online vehicle auction and remarketing services across various nations; Equifax Inc. collects and aggregates credit information on consumers and businesses worldwide, along with selling credit monitoring and fraud-prevention services. Many of the companies in this category have multi-billion market capitalizations.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Miscellaneous Commercial Services Industry is 4.82B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 788 to 80.94B. RELX holds the highest valuation in this group at 80.94B. The lowest valued company is EVSV at 788.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services Industry was -1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 2%, and the average quarterly price growth was 24%. LTRE experienced the highest price growth at 79%, while WLDPF experienced the biggest fall at -50%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services Industry was -19%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -30% and the average quarterly volume growth was -57%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 50
P/E Growth Rating: 63
Price Growth Rating: 53
SMR Rating: 79
Profit Risk Rating: 79
Seasonality Score: 2 (-100 ... +100)
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APEIDaily Signal changed days agoGain/Loss if shorted
 
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A.I.Advisor
published price charts
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a provider of online post-secondary education

Industry MiscellaneousCommercialServices

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Other Consumer Services
Address
111 West Congress Street
Phone
+1 304 724-3700
Employees
6037
Web
https://www.apei.com
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