American Public Education (APEI, $4.64) lost -63.66% in three months, becoming one of the top quarterly losers among penny stocks
American Public Education Inc. (APEI) is a provider of online higher education services, catering to adult learners and members of the military. Unfortunately, APEI has had a rough few months, losing -63.66% of its value in just three months, becoming one of the top quarterly losers among penny stocks. A.I.dvisor, an artificial intelligence-powered investment platform, analyzed 277 other stocks in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services Industry for the 3-month period ending March 23, 2023, and found that 133 of them (47.93%) exhibited an Uptrend while 144 of them (52.07%) exhibited a Downtrend.
APEI's recent trend has been largely negative, with the stock down -11.24% over the last three days. This decline has occurred over three consecutive days, which is often viewed as a bearish sign. The fact that the decline has continued for three straight days suggests that investors may be losing faith in the company's prospects, at least in the short term.
The situation with APEI is not entirely unique, as data from situations where APEI declined for three days suggest that the price tends to decline further within the following month. In fact, the odds of a continued downward trend are 77%, suggesting that investors should keep an eye on APEI for future declines.
One possible reason for APEI's poor performance could be increased competition in the online education space. The rise of Massive Open Online Courses (MOOCs) and other online learning platforms has made it easier than ever for students to get an education without ever setting foot on a traditional college campus. As a result, companies like APEI may be facing increased pressure to compete on price and quality.
Despite the challenges facing APEI, it's worth noting that the company has a number of strengths that could help it weather the current storm. For example, APEI has a long history of providing high-quality online education services to students around the world. The company also has a strong balance sheet, with relatively low debt and a solid cash position. Additionally, APEI has a track record of adapting to changing market conditions, which could bode well for its future prospects.
APEI in downward trend: price expected to drop as it breaks its higher Bollinger Band on May 18, 2023
APEI broke above its upper Bollinger Band on May 18, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 39 similar instances where the stock broke above the upper band. In of the 39 cases the stock fell afterwards. This puts the odds of success at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on May 30, 2023. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on APEI as a result. In of 89 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for APEI turned negative on May 31, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 38 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 38 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
APEI moved below its 50-day moving average on May 30, 2023 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for APEI crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on June 05, 2023. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 20 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where APEI declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for APEI entered a downward trend on June 02, 2023. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where APEI's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 38 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 3 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where APEI advanced for three days, in of 302 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. APEI’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.287) is normal, around the industry mean (68.285). P/E Ratio (16.367) is within average values for comparable stocks, (119.088). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.302) is also within normal values, averaging (1.767). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.037) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.155) is also within normal values, averaging (55.562).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. APEI’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 81, placing this stock worse than average.
Notable companies
Industry description
Market Cap
High and low price notable news
Volume
Fundamental Analysis Ratings
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
General Information
a provider of online post-secondary education
Industry MiscellaneousCommercialServices
APEI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, APEI has been loosely correlated with PFSW. These tickers have moved in lockstep 42% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if APEI jumps, then PFSW could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To APEI | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| APEI | 100% | -1.41% | ||
| PFSW - APEI | 42% Loosely correlated | +1.65% | ||
| LOPE - APEI | 28% Poorly correlated | -3.04% | ||
| COUR - APEI | 26% Poorly correlated | +1.52% | ||
| GHC - APEI | 26% Poorly correlated | -4.14% | ||
| ATGE - APEI | 25% Poorly correlated | -5.00% | ||
More | ||||
