American Tower in upward trend ahead of earnings
Cellular tower REIT American Tower (NYSE: AMT) has been in a strong upward trend over the past year with the trajectory of the rally becoming steeper in 2019. Now the company is set to release third quarter earnings results on October 31 and investors are hoping the rally can continue.
Analysts expect American Tower to report earnings of $0.95 per share on the quarter with revenue coming in at $1.87 billion. In the third quarter of 2018, the company earned $0.83 on revenue of $1.79 billion. This reflects earnings growth expectations of 14.5% and expected revenue growth of 4.9%. Over the last three years the company has seen earnings grow by 21% per year while revenue has grown by 13%. In the second quarter the company saw EPS grow by 7% and revenue grew by 6%. The return on equity for American Tower is 21.4% and the profit margin is 15.5%.
When we add all of this fundamental data up, we get different ratings for how the company is doing compared to other companies. In American Tower’s case, they are doing well in most fundamental categories.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating for American Tower is 2, indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating for the industry is 61, placing this stock better than average.
The PE Growth Rating for AMT is 32, pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents. A rating of 1 indicates highest PE growth while a rating of 100 indicates lowest PE growth.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 37, indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The one area of concern from the fundamental analysis is the Valuation Rating of 99. It indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. A rating of 1 points to the most undervalued stocks, while a rating of 100 points to the most overvalued stocks. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization.
Looking at the weekly chart for American Tower we see that the stock has been trading above its 13-week moving average since last October. That is an impressive run, especially considering the volatility we have seen in the overall market for the past year.
The overbought/oversold indicators are in the upper half of their range, but neither is in overbought territory. We see that the weekly stochastic readings haven’t been below the 50 level since June 2018. The 10-week RSI hasn’t been below the 5o level since October of last year. Neither of the indicators has been in oversold territory in the last three and a half years.
Despite the incredible performance from the company and the stock, analysts are more bearish toward the stock than the average stock. There are 18 analysts covering the stock and only six rank the stock as a “buy”. There are 11 “hold” ratings and one “sell” rating. This puts the buy percentage at 33% and that is well below the average range of 65% to 75%.
The short interest for American Tower is at 2.3 currently. This reading is a little below average and reflects a slight bullish skew from short sellers.
Given the overall picture for American Tower, there is very little to suggest that the rally will end once the earnings are released next week.
Momentum Indicator for AMT turns positive, indicating new upward trend
AMT saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on June 09, 2025. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 79 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 79 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for AMT just turned positive on June 02, 2025. Looking at past instances where AMT's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 40 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AMT advanced for three days, in of 324 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 63 cases where AMT's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
AMT moved below its 50-day moving average on June 06, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for AMT crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on May 19, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AMT declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
AMT broke above its upper Bollinger Band on June 05, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. AMT’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. AMT’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 72, placing this stock worse than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: AMT's P/B Ratio (21.459) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (1.997). P/E Ratio (60.695) is within average values for comparable stocks, (63.028). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.504) is also within normal values, averaging (6.654). Dividend Yield (0.033) settles around the average of (0.070) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (8.091) is also within normal values, averaging (7.058).
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a real estate investment trust
Industry RealEstateInvestmentTrusts
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