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published in Blogs
May 01, 2019
TickeronGET DAILY SIGNALS
Amgen's (AMGN, $174.53) Q1 earnings exceed expectations, while expenses jump and revenue growth remains flat

Amgen's (AMGN, $174.53) Q1 earnings exceed expectations, while expenses jump and revenue growth remains flat

Amgen’s first quarter earnings beat analysts’ estimates, while revenue growth remained flattish.

The biotech company’s first quarter adjusted earnings came in at $3.56 per share, compared to analysts’ estimates of $3.48. Unadjusted earnings per share of $3.18 fell from the year-ago quarter’s $3.25.

While revenue remained the same at $5.6 billion, expenses in the quarter increased +9% year-over-year to $3.1 billion.

The company’s revenue from Blincyto, its first bi-specific antibody for the treatment of cancer, surged +41% year-over-year to $69 million. Sales of its highest selling drug, Enbrel, rose +4% to $1.15 billion.

Research & Development (R&D) expenses increased +16% largely towards bolstering the company’s oncology programs, as indicated by Amgen.

For the full-year 2019, Amgen projects a revenue range of $22 billion and $22.9 billion. It lowered the top end of the range of its earnings per share forecast by $0.02, now expecting between $11.68 and $12.73 per share.

Amgen shares fell -2.2% on Wednesday.

Related Ticker: AMGN

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


AMGN in upward trend: 10-day moving average broke above 50-day moving average on October 16, 2026

The 10-day moving average for AMGN crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 16, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 11 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 73%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 14, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on AMGN as a result. In 43 of 73 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 59%.

AMGN moved above its 50-day moving average on October 09, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a +1.07% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AMGN advanced for three days, in 194 of 313 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 62%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 151 of 272 cases where AMGN Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 56%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for AMGN moved out of overbought territory on November 05, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 27 of the 46 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 59%.

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 32 of 67 cases where AMGN's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 48%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AMGN declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 47%.

AMGN broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 15, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 3 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 58, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 9 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. AMGN’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 15 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 28 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 79 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (21.297) is normal, around the industry mean (-1.421). P/E Ratio (28.386) is within average values for comparable stocks, (21.700). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.524) is also within normal values, averaging (5.738). Dividend Yield (0.022) settles around the average of (0.038) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (5.371) is also within normal values, averaging (4.033).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Eli Lilly & Co (NYSE:LLY), Johnson & Johnson (NYSE:JNJ), ABBVIE (NYSE:ABBV), Merck & Co (NYSE:MRK), AstraZeneca PLC (NYSE:AZN), Amgen (NASDAQ:AMGN), Gilead Sciences (NASDAQ:GILD), Pfizer (NYSE:PFE), Bristol-Myers Squibb Co (NYSE:BMY), Biogen (NASDAQ:BIIB).

Industry description

The Major Pharmaceuticals industry includes companies that are involved in various processes of creating drugs to treat/prevent diseases. These companies engage in research, testing and manufacturing, as well as the distribution of pharmaceuticals into markets. Johnson & Johnson, Merck & Co., Inc., Pfizer Inc. and Novartis are among the largest companies in this category.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Pharmaceuticals: Major Industry is 215.99B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 4.8K to 1.21T. LLY holds the highest valuation in this group at 1.21T. The lowest valued company is NEWG at 4.8K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Pharmaceuticals: Major Industry was -1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 3%, and the average quarterly price growth was 7%. MIRA experienced the highest price growth at 20%, while SCLX experienced the biggest fall at -13%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Pharmaceuticals: Major Industry was -34%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -5% and the average quarterly volume growth was -5%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 58
P/E Growth Rating: 31
Price Growth Rating: 40
SMR Rating: 59
Profit Risk Rating: 58
Seasonality Score: 14 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a manufacturer of human therapeutic products based on cellular biology

Industry PharmaceuticalsMajor

Industry
Biotechnology
Address
One Amgen Center Drive
Phone
+1 805 447-1000
Employees
31500
Web
https://www.amgen.com
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