An Interesting Development on Broadcom’s (AVGO) Chart
Semiconductor companies have been getting hit pretty hard over the last few months and the iShares PHLX Semiconductor ETF (Nasdaq: SOXX) is down almost 17% since the beginning of September. One of the few chip stocks that has managed to gain ground in the last few months is Broadcom (Nasdaq: AVGO). Since the beginning of September, the stock is up +16.9%.
Over the last few days, the daily bars have been very interesting. The action last Wednesday saw the stock gap higher, move sharply higher throughout the day and then slip back down a little. This is called a long tail pattern.
On Thursday the stock moved higher again, but it was both down from its open price and above its open price at different points during the day. On Friday and Monday, the stock opened down, moved significantly higher during the day, but slipped back down to close near the open price.
It really catches your attention to see such an odd formation, and I would normally say this was a bearish sign for the stock. However, in this case, I think it could be a bullish sign for the stock because I think the reason for the long tails in three of the last four days is that the stock has been dragged down due to weakness in the overall market. Even with the odd looking daily bars, the stock is up 0.33% while the SOXX is down 2.9% and the S&P is down 3.97%.
To me, this suggests that if we get a day where the market jumps higher, Broadcom is set to move even more dramatically than the market. The company’s fundamentals are pretty solid and that will only help the stock.
Contributor
Harry Richardson — Algorithmic Trader & Strategy Developer Harry is an algorithmic trader specializing in impulse and breakout trading strategies across cryptocurrency and equity markets. With more than 10 years of experience in developing automated trading systems, he focuses on building structured algorithms designed to capture momentum while maintaining strict risk control. His approach combines quantitative analysis, real-market execution, and continuous performance monitoring. Vitalii prioritizes risk management, drawdown control, and strategy stability over short-term optimization, ensuring algorithms are adaptable to changing market conditions. He has developed and tested hundreds of automated strategies, working extensively with live trading environments, forward testing, and portfolio-level algorithm management. His work centers on transforming trading ideas into fully operational, scalable automated systems.
AVGO's MACD Histogram just turned positive
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for AVGO turned positive on September 21, 2026. Looking at past instances where AVGO's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 49 of 55 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 89%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where AVGO's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 8 of 12 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 38 of 51 cases where AVGO's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.
Following a +5.49% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AVGO advanced for three days, in 272 of 344 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 79%.
AVGO may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 01, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on AVGO as a result. In 61 of 86 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 71%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AVGO declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 61%.
The Aroon Indicator for AVGO entered a downward trend on September 25, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 15 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 71, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 23 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 49 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. AVGO’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 71 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: AVGO's P/B Ratio (16.750) is slightly higher than the industry average of (7.902). P/E Ratio (44.588) is within average values for comparable stocks, (163.223). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.346) is also within normal values, averaging (3.705). Dividend Yield (0.007) settles around the average of (0.007) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (18.622) is also within normal values, averaging (45.163).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 89 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
Notable companies
Industry description
Market Cap
High and low price notable news
Volume
Fundamental Analysis Ratings
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
Advertisement
General Information
a manufacturer of digital and analog semiconductor products
Industry Semiconductors
Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) July 17 Earnings Outlook: Key Q2 Metrics Amid Semiconductor Boom, Enhanced with Tickeron's Double Agent Achieving 55% Returns
Tickeron AI Hits 86% in Aerospace Volatility Detection
AVGO, CPRT, LULU, IOT, GWRE, DOCU, CIEN, TTAN, PATH, ABM | Q2 2025 Earnings Preview: September 4-5, 2025
Solana's Rise in 2025: Analyzing $SOL's Market Surge and AI Trading Opportunities
AI Day Trading: Long Position Only with Hedging
Advertisement