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Jun 06, 2023

Analyzing AAPL and META: A Comparison of Trend and Price

When it comes to assessing the trend and price movements of stocks, two notable tickers worth examining are AAPL and META. AAPL represents the electronics/appliances industry, while META belongs to the internet software/services sector. Let's delve into a comparative analysis of these stocks and explore their short-term and long-term outlooks.

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Price Growth:

Over the past week, AAPL witnessed a price change of +2.37%, whereas META experienced a slightly higher increase of +3.57% during the same period. It's important to compare these price changes with the industry averages to gauge their performance.

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the electronics/appliances industry was +6.60%, while the average monthly and quarterly price growths stood at +7.37% and +10.07% respectively. On the other hand, in the internet software/services industry, the average weekly, monthly, and quarterly price growths were +2.49%, +4.52%, and +9.55% respectively. These figures provide a broader context for evaluating the performance of AAPL and META within their respective industries.

Short-Term Analysis:

To assess the short-term outlook, technical analysis (TA) indicators play a crucial role. One such indicator is the Odds of Success, which represents the likelihood of a trend continuation based on historical trade signals.

In terms of the Odds of Success, a green percentage ranging from 90% to 51% suggests a bullish trend, while a red percentage within the same range indicates a bearish trend. Any percentages below 50% are considered not to confirm the trend signal.

Long-Term Analysis:

For a comprehensive understanding of the long-term outlook, fundamental analysis (FA) ratings come into play. These ratings range from 1 to 100, with 1 indicating the best valuation and 100 representing the worst. The ratings are divided into thirds: a green rating of 1-33 suggests undervaluation, a grey rating between 34 and 66 implies fair valuation, and a red rating of 67-100 signifies overvaluation.

To assess the overall long-term outlook, an FA Score considers how many ratings indicate undervaluation (green) or overvaluation (red).

Considering the short-term analysis and long-term FA ratings, investors can gain insights into the potential opportunities and risks associated with AAPL and META.

Related Ticker: META

META in upward trend: 10-day moving average moved above 50-day moving average on September 18, 2023

The 10-day moving average for META crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on September 18, 2023. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on September 22, 2023. You may want to consider a long position or call options on META as a result. In of 83 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where META advanced for three days, in of 322 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 330 cases where META Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for META turned negative on September 21, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 49 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 49 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

META moved below its 50-day moving average on September 20, 2023 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where META declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

META broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 14, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. META’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 93, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (5.741) is normal, around the industry mean (17.317). P/E Ratio (34.843) is within average values for comparable stocks, (41.697). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.756) is also within normal values, averaging (3.542). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.025) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (6.549) is also within normal values, averaging (8.578).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOG), Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOGL), Meta Platforms (NASDAQ:META), Baidu (NASDAQ:BIDU), Spotify Technology SA (NYSE:SPOT), Pinterest (NYSE:PINS), Snap (NYSE:SNAP), Tencent Music Entertainment Group (NYSE:TME), Twilio (NYSE:TWLO), Zillow Group (NASDAQ:Z).

Industry description

Companies in this industry typically license software on a subscription basis and it is centrally hosted. Such products usually go by the names web-based software, on-demand software and hosted software. Cloud computing has emerged as a major force in this space, making it possible to save files to a remote database (without requiring them to be saved on local storage device); as long as a device has access to the web, it can access the data and the software programs to run it. This has in many cases facilitated cost efficiency, speed and security of data for businesses and consumers. Alphabet Inc., Facebook, Inc. and Yahoo! Inc. are some well-known names in the internet software/services industry.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Internet Software/Services Industry is 48.89B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 1.11K to 1.65T. GOOGL holds the highest valuation in this group at 1.65T. The lowest valued company is MSEZ at 1.11K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Internet Software/Services Industry was -2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 3,958%, and the average quarterly price growth was 3,710%. BBUZ experienced the highest price growth at 123%, while VYGPF experienced the biggest fall at -41%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Internet Software/Services Industry was -37%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -9% and the average quarterly volume growth was -15%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 43
P/E Growth Rating: 73
Price Growth Rating: 67
SMR Rating: 80
Profit Risk Rating: 92
Seasonality Score: -19 (-100 ... +100)
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Technical Analysis# Of IndicatorsAvg. Odds
   
   
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META and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, META has been loosely correlated with GOOGL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 59% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if META jumps, then GOOGL could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To META
1D Price
Change %
META100%
+1.13%
GOOGL - META
59%
Loosely correlated
-0.15%
GOOG - META
59%
Loosely correlated
-0.08%
SPOT - META
44%
Loosely correlated
+1.49%
DASH - META
42%
Loosely correlated
+0.75%
MTCH - META
40%
Loosely correlated
+0.56%
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