Rick Pendergraft's Avatar
published in Blogs
Nov 20, 2020

Apparel Retailers Head in to Earnings Riding Huge Gains

One of the hardest hit industries in the past year has been retail apparel. Many of the companies that base their stores in the traditional enclosed shopping malls were already struggling even before the global health crisis hit. With malls closed or operating with limited hours, many of the apparel retailers were hit particularly hard.

Over the last four months the stocks of these companies have pretty strong bounces as investors believed the selling was overdone. Three companies in particular that have seen huge rallies in recent months will also be reporting earnings next week. Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF), American Eagle Outfitters (AEO), and Gap (GPS) are all set to report earnings on November 24.

If we look at the stocks of these companies over the last four months, we see some incredible gains. From July 20 through November 19, Abercrombie & Fitch gained 118.2%, Gap rallied 96.6%, and American Eagle jumped 70.6%. During that same time period the S&P 500 only gained 10.2%.

While Abercrombie was the leading performer of the three, the daily chart of Gap really caught my eye because of how organized and consistent the rally has been. We see a very well formed trend channel that defines the cycles within the overall upward trend.

As impressive as the rallies have been, I have my concerns about whether these companies can warrant such huge moves in their stock. In the last round of quarterly earnings reports we saw all three post revenue declines with Abercrombie seeing its revenue drop 17%, American Eagle’s dropped 15%, and Gap saw its sales drop 18%.

That isn’t exactly the recipe for success and all three companies have rather small profit margins. This means that the companies need to sell more and more product in order to bring their earnings up.

If we look at Tickeron’s fundamental analysis screener, all three companies rank poorly in the Profit vs. Risk rating—that rating is not based on the profits of the company, but rather the potential profit for investors versus the risk associated with buying it. The SMR ratings for Gap and American Eagle are both very poor and that rating includes the sales growth and profit margin figures mentioned above. One area where the stocks seem to do well was in the Valuation Rating. Both Gap and Abercrombie are rated above average in this category while American Eagle is average.

All three companies are expected to see big declines in their third quarter earnings results compared to Q3 2019. Abercrombie is expected to lose money in the quarter while Gap and American Eagle are expected to remain profitable, but see earnings decline by over 30% each. All three companies are expected to post huge declines in earnings for 2020 with big rebounds expected in 2021.

The overall comparison from Tickeron lays out how the companies compare to one another and how they measure up against other companies in general.

Related Tickers: GPS
John Jacques's Avatar
published in Blogs
May 16, 2022
A.I. Stock Market Predictions: Head & Shoulders

A.I. Stock Market Predictions: Head & Shoulders

Statistics for the Head-and-Shoulders Bottom Pattern The days where only hedge funds used algorithms to trade stocks are officially over. Now retail investors can use Artificial Intelligence (A.I.  Here’s an example of the algorithm in action: Late last year, Tickeron’s A.I.
Edward Flores's Avatar
published in Blogs
Apr 29, 2022
How to Become the Millionaire Next Door

How to Become the Millionaire Next Door

The Golden Gate Bridge is always a fixture of these walks too, one of man's most beautiful creations.  As we were walking, at one point she turned to me and said, "Man, I'll never have a million dollars."" My girlfriend is 27 years old and works as a graphic designer, making about $75,000 a year.
Sergey Savastiouk's Avatar
published in Blogs
May 16, 2022
When Is the Next Recession Coming?

When Is the Next Recession Coming?

However, we also know that economists predicted 22 recessions out of 11 that took place since 1945. Are there real recession signs we should watch for?Indeed, the answer is yes, and here are a few very important ones: The first one is almost obvious and known to everyone – it is the Fed.
Sergey Savastiouk's Avatar
published in Blogs
Mar 14, 2023
How to Start Trading Penny Stocks

How to Start Trading Penny Stocks

Penny stocks have long been marginalized within the professional investment community, oftentimes being painted with a broad brush of simply being “too risky.” Leonardo DiCaprio’s depiction of the penny stock peddling conman, Jordan Belfort, in the Wolf of Wall Street certainly didn’t help.Here are four reasons to start trading them now. Reason #1: Let’s State the Obvious -- Penny Stocks are Cheap A single share of Apple Inc. costs over $350.
Dmitry Perepelkin's Avatar
published in Blogs
Mar 14, 2023
5 Habits that Lead to Successful Investing

5 Habits that Lead to Successful Investing

To consistently make money in this industry, you need emotional fortitude, an analytical mind, and a willingness to self-reflect. Despite trading and investing being two different activities, these principles can be applied to both.Conversely, investors with good habits often become great traders.  Rather than full sentences for titles, we’ve labeled each of our top-five investing habits using a single word principle.
Allana's Avatar
published in Blogs
Mar 23, 2023
What’s the Difference Between Data Analytics and Machine Learning?

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Artificial intelligence (AI) technology is developing rapidly.Data mining can deliver raw numbers, but it does not necessarily provide actionable insights. Structure is necessary to taking abstract information and extracting commonalities, like averages, ratios, and percentages.
Sergey Savastiouk's Avatar
published in Blogs
Mar 13, 2023
4 Tips for Fast, Effective Stock Analysis

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With just a few clicks, an investor can search for individual stocks, categories of stocks, sectors, or investment themes, and then he or she can conduct a full range of technical and fundamental analysis within seconds.All powered by Artificial Intelligence.  Below, we give you 5 tips for fast, effective stock analysis using Tickeron’s Screener.
Sergey Savastiouk's Avatar
published in Blogs
Mar 20, 2023
5 Golden Principles in Investing

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You have enough faith in that stock, based on research, that the return will equal or exceed the investment.  Do unto others.The principles outlined here will ensure that happens.  Principle #1: Diversification Investors can’t be one-dimensional when constructing a portfolio.
John Jacques's Avatar
published in Blogs
Mar 24, 2023
If Hedge Funds are Using AI to Invest, Why Shouldn’t You?

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Some of the world’s biggest financial institutions have devoted multi-million dollar budgets to developing algorithms that can find patterns in the market, identify trends, and perform automated trading designed to take advantage of even the smallest price movements. The AI revolution is so big that as it stands today, the world’s five biggest hedge funds all use systems-based approaches to trade financial markets.Indeed, quantitative trading hedge funds now manage $918 billion (according to HFR), which amounts to 30% of the $3 trillion hedge fund industry – a percentage continues to grow with each year that passes.
Sergey Savastiouk's Avatar
published in Blogs
Mar 15, 2023
The five most important Lessons Learned After 10,000 hours of Trading