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Serhii Bondarenko's Avatar
published in Blogs
Jul 04, 2023

APPS Swing Trade: Aiming 18.8% Gain with Positive MACD Shift

Swing Trader: Medium Volatility Stocks for Active Trading (TA&FA) Generates 18.8% for APPS

Investors seeking profitable opportunities in the current market landscape should keep their eye on medium-volatility stocks. APPS, a stock that has been showing promising trends lately, is one such example. Active traders who embrace a swing trading approach can benefit greatly from the technical and fundamental analysis of stocks like APPS, which recently generated an impressive 18.8% return.

The latest signal that APPS could be the next big thing for swing traders is the positive turn of its Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) histogram. The MACD, a trend-following momentum indicator that shows the relationship between two moving averages of a security's price, turned positive for APPS on June 27, 2023. This metric is a significant one, as it often indicates a potential bullish shift in the market sentiment.

The MACD's positive swing isn't an isolated occurrence for APPS. If we analyze past events, we can see a pattern of continued stock rise following the positive turn of the MACD. In 47 out of 49 past instances, APPS's stock continued to rise over the following month after the MACD turned positive. This statistic gives a high probability, a striking 90%, of a continued upward trend for APPS.

Using these data points, active traders and investors can plan their next steps strategically. While investing always carries inherent uncertainties, the usage of technical indicators like the MACD, coupled with other fundamental analyses, can be highly beneficial in managing these uncertainties and enhancing the potential for profits.

The swing trading approach, especially for medium volatility stocks like APPS, is proving to be a sound strategy in the current market. The recent positive turn in the MACD for APPS is an encouraging sign, and traders who can capitalize on these signals might find themselves in a position of robust returns.

Related Ticker: APPS

APPS's MACD Histogram just turned positive

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for APPS turned positive on April 15, 2025. Looking at past instances where APPS's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 42 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on May 05, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on APPS as a result. In of 77 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

APPS moved above its 50-day moving average on May 07, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for APPS crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on May 02, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a +3 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where APPS advanced for three days, in of 296 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 250 cases where APPS Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.

The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where APPS declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

APPS broke above its upper Bollinger Band on May 07, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. APPS’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.554) is normal, around the industry mean (30.917). P/E Ratio (63.291) is within average values for comparable stocks, (160.020). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.795) is also within normal values, averaging (2.714). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.029) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.424) is also within normal values, averaging (59.831).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. APPS’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 87, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:MSFT), Oracle Corp (NYSE:ORCL), Salesforce (NYSE:CRM), Adobe (NASDAQ:ADBE), Intuit (NASDAQ:INTU), Uber Technologies (NYSE:UBER), SERVICENOW (NYSE:NOW), Shopify Inc (NASDAQ:SHOP), Palo Alto Networks Inc (NASDAQ:PANW), CrowdStrike Holdings (NASDAQ:CRWD).

Industry description

Packaged software comprises multiple software programs bundled together and sold as a group. For example, Microsoft Office includes multiple applications such as Excel, Word, and PowerPoint. In some cases, buying a bundled product is cheaper than purchasing each item individually[s20] . Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corp. and Adobe are some major American packaged software makers.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Packaged Software Industry is 12.33B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 291 to 3.15T. MSFT holds the highest valuation in this group at 3.15T. The lowest valued company is BLGI at 291.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was 2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 10%, and the average quarterly price growth was 28%. MRIN experienced the highest price growth at 125%, while HSTA experienced the biggest fall at -59%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was -12%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -7% and the average quarterly volume growth was 2%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 53
P/E Growth Rating: 69
Price Growth Rating: 55
SMR Rating: 76
Profit Risk Rating: 87
Seasonality Score: 18 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a mobile services platform for mobile operators, device OEMs, app advertisers and publishers, that enable user acquisition, app management and monetization opportunities

Industry PackagedSoftware

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