Archer Daniels Midland (ADM, $40.90) disappoints on Q1 earnings
Archer Daniels Midland’s earnings for the first quarter fell short of analysts’ estimates by a wide margin.
The food processing & commodities trading company reported earnings of 41 cents a share for the quarter, compared to analysts’ expectation of 60 cents (based on FactSet data). Earnings were also lower from the year-ago quarter’s 70 cents.
Revenue of $15.3 billion came in lower compared to analysts’ estimates of $15.6 billion.
Chairman and CEO Juan Luciano cited adverse weather conditions in North America and ethanol industry issues as major headwinds to the company’s lower-than-expected performance in the first quarter.
However, Luciano is hopeful that business would improve in the second half of the year would due to the company’s business strategy, an expected resolution of the U.S.-China trade tensions and an anticipated boost in soybean meal demand driven by African Swine Fever. Also, the company is expected to adapt its corn wet mill in Marshall, Minnesota,for producing higher volumes of food and industrial-grade starches.
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Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.
ADM in upward trend: 10-day moving average moved above 50-day moving average on August 19, 2026
The 10-day moving average for ADM crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on August 19, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on August 14, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on ADM as a result. In of 84 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ADM just turned positive on August 18, 2026. Looking at past instances where ADM's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 46 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
ADM moved above its 50-day moving average on August 13, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ADM advanced for three days, in of 337 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 267 cases where ADM Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for ADM moved out of overbought territory on July 24, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 37 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 37 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 57 cases where ADM's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ADM declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
ADM broke above its upper Bollinger Band on July 17, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.642) is normal, around the industry mean (2.923). P/E Ratio (21.940) is within average values for comparable stocks, (34.871). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.044) is also within normal values, averaging (2.439). Dividend Yield (0.026) settles around the average of (0.043) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.474) is also within normal values, averaging (2.430).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. ADM’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to slightly better than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly better than average sales and a considerably profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
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a provider of the processing of oilseeds, corn, wheat, cocoa, and other agricultural commodities
Industry AgriculturalCommoditiesMilling
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