Are Energy Stocks Inexpensive on the Valuation Side?
The recent volatility in the oil sector has led to the Dow Jones U.S. Oil & Gas Index losing ~8% in November, thus prompting some investors to label the energy sector as cheap. Thing is, even when the energy stocks were rising owing to a rally in the oil prices earlier this year, some analysts and market observers were still labeling the sector inexpensive based on valuations.
Penalized severely by the recent oil rout, WTI futures touched their worst losing streak in nearly 34 years, while IYE -- and ETF that tracks the Dow Jones U.S. Oil & Gas Index -- suffered a year-to-date loss of ~7% and falling 15.68% below its 52-week high.
Several energy stocks trade at roughly a 50% discount to the broader market. Is the Energy sector a "buy" in these conditions?
Momentum Indicator for IYE turns negative, indicating new downward trend
IYE saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on April 16, 2024. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 98 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 98 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for IYE moved out of overbought territory on April 12, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 41 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 41 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for IYE turned negative on April 12, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 41 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 41 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where IYE declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
IYE broke above its upper Bollinger Band on April 02, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 60 cases where IYE's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The 50-day moving average for IYE moved above the 200-day moving average on March 20, 2024. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where IYE advanced for three days, in of 337 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 287 cases where IYE Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
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Fundamental Analysis Ratings
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Category Energy