Are Recession-Proof Stocks Losing Their Luster?
The early stages of the pandemic forced many to stay home, which inspired a wave of grocery shopping and cooking. Everyone probably knows at least one person who tried to make sourdough bread from scratch.
The surge in home cooking boosted companies from grocery retailers to food staple companies, like Campbell Soup. Campbell has long been a stock that has held up well during recessions, as consumers shift eating behavior and stock up on less expensive staples. The pandemic was no different. Campbell saw a surge in sales, with a 40+% jump in Q2.
The issue today is that consumer patience with the pandemic is waning, as may be the enthusiasm for cooking at home. Campbell's sales rose 21% in Q3, which while strong is less than half of what they posted in Q2. Kroger also saw slower sales growth last quarter than in the early months of the pandemic. Is the food trade waning? The A.I.-powered analysis below gives an overview of the group.
CPB's RSI Indicator ascending out of oversold territory
The RSI Oscillator for CPB moved out of oversold territory on December 24, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 31 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In of the 31 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 13 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CPB advanced for three days, in of 299 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on December 04, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on CPB as a result. In of 100 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for CPB turned negative on December 05, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 47 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
The 50-day moving average for CPB moved below the 200-day moving average on December 17, 2024. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CPB declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
CPB broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 26, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for CPB entered a downward trend on December 12, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.459) is normal, around the industry mean (6.504). P/E Ratio (17.514) is within average values for comparable stocks, (26.887). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.404) is also within normal values, averaging (2.471). Dividend Yield (0.033) settles around the average of (0.043) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.445) is also within normal values, averaging (66.929).
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. CPB’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. CPB’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 80, placing this stock worse than average.
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Fundamental Analysis Ratings
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General Information
a manufacturer of convenience food products, such as soups and sauces, pasta, broths, vegetable-beverages, cookies and biscuits
Industry FoodSpecialtyCandy