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published in Blogs
Sep 03, 2018
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Argentina To Tax Exports and Balance Its Budget

The Argentine government will tax exports to raise revenues and balance its budget a year earlier than planned. The measures follow Peso’s declines and investors' growing concerns over Argentina’s debt financing/repayment abilities.

President Mauricio Macri said that Argentina will also eliminate about half of the current cabinet ministries to curb spending. The government aims to get its budget balanced by next year and generate a budget surplus in 2020, as mentioned by  Treasury Minister Nicolas Dujovne.

The peso is undergoing a rough patch in recent times. The peso fell -16% after Macri unexpectedly requested for faster payments from the IMF last Wednesday. The peso is down more than -45% against the U.S. dollar this year.

Related Ticker: ARGT

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


ARGT sees MACD Histogram crosses below signal line

ARGT saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on October 26, 2026. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 45 instances where the indicator turned negative. In 41 of the 45 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 19, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on ARGT as a result. In 75 of 85 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 88%.

The 50-day moving average for ARGT moved below the 200-day moving average on October 09, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ARGT declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 88%.

The Aroon Indicator for ARGT entered a downward trend on November 02, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 3 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an Uptrend is expected.

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 3 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a +0.51% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ARGT advanced for three days, in 310 of 337 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

ARGT may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are SSR Mining (NASDAQ:SSRM).

Industry description

The investment seeks to provide investment results that correspond generally to the price and yield performance, before fees and expenses, of the MSCI All Argentina 25/50 Index. The fund invests at least 80% of its total assets in the securities of the underlying index and in American Depositary Receipts ("ADRs") and Global Depositary Receipts ("GDRs") based on the securities in the underlying index. The underlying index is designed to represent the performance of the broad Argentina equity universe, while including a minimum number of constituents. The fund is non-diversified.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Global X MSCI Argentina ETF (ARGT) ETF is 6.08B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 14.15M to 85.01B. MELI holds the highest valuation in this group at 85.01B. The lowest valued company is BIOX at 14.15M.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Global X MSCI Argentina ETF (ARGT) ETF was 1%. For the same ETF, the average monthly price growth was 6%, and the average quarterly price growth was 5%. BIOX experienced the highest price growth at 3%, while EDN experienced the biggest fall at -15%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Global X MSCI Argentina ETF (ARGT) ETF was -28%. For the same stocks of the ETF, the average monthly volume growth was 18% and the average quarterly volume growth was -43%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 30
P/E Growth Rating: 77
Price Growth Rating: 68
SMR Rating: 40
Profit Risk Rating: 47
Seasonality Score: 33 (-100 ... +100)
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Argentina To Tax Exports and Balance Its Budget