Ashford Hospitality Trust (AHT) experienced a significant gain of +17.92% to $3.29 per share this week, making it one of the top gainers in the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry. According to A.I.dvisor, out of 402 stocks analyzed in the same industry, 40.19% trended up while 59.81% trended down, indicating that AHT's increase in price was a noteworthy event.
To further understand the potential future trend of AHT's stock price, A.I.dvisor analyzed 308 similar cases where AHT's price jumped over 5% within one week. It was found that in 194 out of those 308 cases, AHT's price went down during the following month. Based on this historical data, A.I.dvisor suggests that there is a 63% probability of an Uptrend reversal for AHT.
Moreover, it is worth noting that AHT's Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) turned positive on March 28, 2023, indicating a potential bullish signal. A.I.dvisor's analysis found that in 28 out of 33 cases where AHT's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise over the following month. This historical data suggests that there is an 85% probability of a continued upward trend for AHT.
When looking at AHT's earnings results, the company reported a net loss of $17.2 million, or $(0.27) per share for the fourth quarter of 2022. This is a significant decrease compared to the net income of $18.3 million, or $0.25 per share, reported for the same period in the previous year. The company's revenue also decreased by 58.7% to $134.4 million from $325.4 million in the fourth quarter of 2021. These results could be attributed to the ongoing impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the hospitality industry.
AHT's recent increase in price and the bullish signal from the MACD histogram are positive indicators for the stock. However, investors should also take into consideration the company's recent earnings results and the ongoing impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the hospitality industry.
The RSI Indicator for AHT moved out of oversold territory on March 27, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 39 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In of the 39 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at .
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 4 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AHT advanced for three days, in of 221 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on April 19, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on AHT as a result. In of 84 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for AHT turned negative on April 23, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 37 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 37 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AHT declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
AHT broke above its upper Bollinger Band on April 11, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for AHT entered a downward trend on April 11, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (5.056) is normal, around the industry mean (1.954). P/E Ratio (0.112) is within average values for comparable stocks, (61.563). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (6.879). AHT has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.069). P/S Ratio (0.033) is also within normal values, averaging (7.128).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. AHT’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. AHT’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock worse than average.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a real estate investment trust
Industry RealEstateInvestmentTrusts