Ashford Hospitality Trust (AHT) experienced a significant gain of +17.92% to $3.29 per share this week, making it one of the top gainers in the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry. According to A.I.dvisor, out of 402 stocks analyzed in the same industry, 40.19% trended up while 59.81% trended down, indicating that AHT's increase in price was a noteworthy event.
To further understand the potential future trend of AHT's stock price, A.I.dvisor analyzed 308 similar cases where AHT's price jumped over 5% within one week. It was found that in 194 out of those 308 cases, AHT's price went down during the following month. Based on this historical data, A.I.dvisor suggests that there is a 63% probability of an Uptrend reversal for AHT.
Moreover, it is worth noting that AHT's Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) turned positive on March 28, 2023, indicating a potential bullish signal. A.I.dvisor's analysis found that in 28 out of 33 cases where AHT's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise over the following month. This historical data suggests that there is an 85% probability of a continued upward trend for AHT.
When looking at AHT's earnings results, the company reported a net loss of $17.2 million, or $(0.27) per share for the fourth quarter of 2022. This is a significant decrease compared to the net income of $18.3 million, or $0.25 per share, reported for the same period in the previous year. The company's revenue also decreased by 58.7% to $134.4 million from $325.4 million in the fourth quarter of 2021. These results could be attributed to the ongoing impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the hospitality industry.
AHT's recent increase in price and the bullish signal from the MACD histogram are positive indicators for the stock. However, investors should also take into consideration the company's recent earnings results and the ongoing impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the hospitality industry.
AHT moved above its 50-day moving average on May 03, 2023 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In of 33 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 67 cases where AHT's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on May 26, 2023. You may want to consider a long position or call options on AHT as a result. In of 75 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for AHT just turned positive on June 02, 2023. Looking at past instances where AHT's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 33 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The 10-day moving average for AHT crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on May 04, 2023. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AHT advanced for three days, in of 241 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 142 cases where AHT Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
The 10-day RSI Indicator for AHT moved out of overbought territory on May 08, 2023. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 24 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 24 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AHT declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
AHT broke above its upper Bollinger Band on June 02, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (5.056) is normal, around the industry mean (2.473). P/E Ratio (0.112) is within average values for comparable stocks, (45.700). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (6.491). AHT has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.073). AHT's P/S Ratio (0.117) is slightly lower than the industry average of (6.234).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. AHT’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. AHT’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 83, placing this stock worse than average.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a real estate investment trust
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|Goldman Sachs Small Cap Eq Insghts Instl|
|Fidelity Advisor® Healthy Future C|
|State Street Equity 500 Index Svc|
|Invesco Global Infrastructure R5|
|Touchstone Focused Instl|
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AHT has been closely correlated with CLDT. These tickers have moved in lockstep 69% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if AHT jumps, then CLDT could also see price increases.