August consumer price inflation slows
U.S. consumer price inflation slowed modestly in August compared to July, according to data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. This potentially suggests the beginning of supply chain constraints easing.
Headline CPI in August rose +5.3% from the year-ago period. It was +5.4% year-over-year in July -- the highest since 2008.
Core inflation, which strips-out volatile components such as food and energy prices, rose +4% year-over-year in August, down from last month's +4.3% which was nearly the highest levels since the early 1990s.
Last week, the Labor Department data indicated that producer prices in August rose +8.3% year-over-year, which was faster than .The rate was also the highest on record. However, it was largely a result of supply-chain limitations due to coronavirus pandemic.
GOVT's Indicator enters downward trend
The Aroon Indicator for GOVT entered a downward trend on November 26, 2024. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 239 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In of the 239 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 7 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GOVT declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
GOVT broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 29, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 25, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on GOVT as a result. In of 94 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for GOVT just turned positive on November 15, 2024. Looking at past instances where GOVT's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 55 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
GOVT moved above its 50-day moving average on November 29, 2024 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for GOVT crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on December 06, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 10 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GOVT advanced for three days, in of 280 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
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Category IntermediateGovernment