August consumer price inflation slows
U.S. consumer price inflation slowed modestly in August compared to July, according to data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. This potentially suggests the beginning of supply chain constraints easing.
Headline CPI in August rose +5.3% from the year-ago period. It was +5.4% year-over-year in July -- the highest since 2008.
Core inflation, which strips-out volatile components such as food and energy prices, rose +4% year-over-year in August, down from last month's +4.3% which was nearly the highest levels since the early 1990s.
Last week, the Labor Department data indicated that producer prices in August rose +8.3% year-over-year, which was faster than .The rate was also the highest on record. However, it was largely a result of supply-chain limitations due to coronavirus pandemic.
GOVT's Stochastic Oscillator sits in overbought zone for 5 days
The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for GOVT moved out of overbought territory on June 27, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 24 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 24 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GOVT declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
GOVT broke above its upper Bollinger Band on June 25, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on May 27, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on GOVT as a result. In of 91 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for GOVT just turned positive on May 29, 2025. Looking at past instances where GOVT's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 59 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
GOVT moved above its 50-day moving average on June 17, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for GOVT crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on June 17, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 11 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GOVT advanced for three days, in of 278 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 184 cases where GOVT Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
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General Information
Category IntermediateGovernment
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