One such AI trading system, known as "Swing trader: Top High-Volatility Stocks v.2 (TA)," has been making waves with its impressive performance. In a recent trading endeavor involving PayPal Holdings, Inc. (PYPL), this AI trading robot achieved a remarkable gain of +4.72% over the course of a single week. Let's dive deeper into this success story and examine the factors that contributed to its profitability.
MACD Histogram: A Bearish Signal for PYPL
One of the key technical indicators that caught the attention of the AI trading robot was the Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for PYPL. On September 21, 2023, the MACD Histogram turned negative, signaling a bearish trend. Historical data analyzed by Tickeron's A.I.dvisor showed that in 38 out of 49 instances where the MACD Histogram turned negative, the stock price moved lower in the subsequent days. This historical precedent suggests that the odds of PYPL experiencing a downward movement in the near future stand at a significant 78%.
Earnings Report and Market Capitalization
To gain a comprehensive understanding of PYPL's financial health, it's crucial to analyze its recent earnings report. On August 2, 2023, PayPal Holdings, Inc. reported earnings per share (EPS) of $1.16, surpassing the estimated EPS of $1.15. With 2.37 million shares outstanding, the current market capitalization of PYPL stands at an impressive $66.83 billion.
Comparatively, within the Finance/Rental/Leasing Industry, PYPL's market capitalization is notably high. The industry's average market capitalization sits at $9.07 billion, with a wide range from $2.17 thousand to $503.02 billion. In this context, PYPL holds a significant position, emphasizing its stature within the sector.
High and Low Price Movements in the Industry
Analyzing PYPL's performance within the broader Finance/Rental/Leasing Industry is essential for assessing its price movements. On average, stocks in this industry exhibited a weekly price growth of -1%, a monthly growth of -4%, and a quarterly growth of 13%. Among them, XSHLF recorded the highest price growth at 36%, while BWMY experienced the most significant decline at -39%. These numbers provide valuable context for evaluating PYPL's own price trends.
Volume Trends in the Industry
Volume trends are another vital aspect to consider when assessing the performance of a stock. In the Finance/Rental/Leasing Industry, the average weekly volume growth was -8%, the monthly growth was -1%, and the quarterly growth was -5%. These statistics reflect a general decline in trading activity within the industry, possibly indicating decreased investor interest or market conditions impacting volume.
In summary, while PYPL has demonstrated strong earnings performance and an impressive market capitalization, the recent bearish signal generated by the MACD Histogram suggests potential downward pressure on the stock. The broader industry context, including price and volume trends, provides further insights into PYPL's position within the Finance/Rental/Leasing sector.
As AI trading robots continue to make waves in the financial markets, traders and investors must remain vigilant and consider both technical indicators and broader industry dynamics when making investment decisions. The case of PYPL serves as a valuable example of how AI-powered tools can provide insights and opportunities in the ever-evolving world of stock trading.
PYPL's Aroon Indicator triggered a bullish signal on October 25, 2024. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor detected that the AroonUp green line is above 70 while the AroonDown red line is below 30. When the up indicator moves above 70 and the down indicator remains below 30, it is a sign that the stock could be setting up for a bullish move. Traders may want to buy the stock or look to buy calls options. A.I.dvisor looked at 294 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator showed a similar pattern. In of the 294 cases, the stock moved higher in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move higher at .
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 24, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on PYPL as a result. In of 86 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where PYPL advanced for three days, in of 321 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The RSI Indicator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.
The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for PYPL turned negative on October 10, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 48 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where PYPL declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
PYPL broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 28, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. PYPL’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.310) is normal, around the industry mean (4.696). P/E Ratio (16.930) is within average values for comparable stocks, (55.585). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.600) is also within normal values, averaging (3.039). PYPL has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.042). P/S Ratio (2.417) is also within normal values, averaging (3.140).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. PYPL’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 73, placing this stock worse than average.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a provider of digital and mobile payments on behalf of consumers and merchants
Industry FinanceRentalLeasing