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Vitalii Liubimov's Avatar
published in Blogs
Nov 07, 2019

Bearish engulfing pattern on Immunomedics could be a bad sign

Analyzing biotech companies is trickier than it is with other sectors. Many firms in the sector will lose money for years until a breakthrough happens and then, BAM they are profitable. Until that breakthrough happens, you are left to analyze the technical aspects of the stock and monitor the news from the company. One such company is Immunomedics (Nasdaq: IMMU), a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company.

The company has lost money in each of the last three years and the losses have been increasing rather than decreasing. Even with such results, the stock hasn't been tanking. In fact the stock moved up quite nicely in 2017 and halfway through 2018. For 2019 the stock seems to a bit range bound between the $12 mark and the $20 mark. I know that is a rather large range, but the stock jumped from $4 to $16 in 2017.

What got my attention about Immunomedics currently was the pattern in the candlestick chart on November 6. The stock opened at $17.88 and closed at $17.18 which created a red bar on the chart. What makes it a bearish engulfing pattern is the fact that the open was higher than the previous day's high and the close was lower than the previous day's low—the body of November 6 engulfs the body for November 5.

In candlestick charting, this is known as a topping pattern. I circled two other bearish engulfing patterns from Immunomedics past and they both came at temporary high points for the stock. The one in September is particularly strong as the stock fell immediately from the $17.50 level to the $12.50 level in only two weeks.

In addition to the bearish engulfing pattern, the higher Bollinger Band was broken on November 4 and could indicate that the price could fall as the ticker heads toward the middle band. In 46 of 54 cases where Immunomedic's price broke its higher Bollinger Band, its price dropped further during the following month. The odds of a continued downtrend are 85%.

I mentioned how the company has been losing money, but let's look at some of the fundamental indicators from Tickeron. The fundamental analysis overview highlights figures that are in the upper third of ratings in green, and Immunomedics doesn't have any fundamental indicators with green highlights.

The best rating for the company is the Price Growth Rating at 38, indicating steady price growth. The Profit vs. Risk Rating for the company is 50, indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating for the industry is 90, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 65 indicates that the company is fairly valued in the industry. A rating of 1 points to the most undervalued stocks, while a rating of 100 points to the most overvalued stocks. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 98, indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Immunomedics released earnings on October 30. The loss per share was $0.49 and that was worse than expected by analysts and it was worse than the $0.35 loss a year ago. Especially troubling was the fact that the company didn't generate any revenues in the third quarter of 2019. That is a scary statement right there.

Related Ticker: BIB

Momentum Indicator for BIB turns positive, indicating new upward trend

BIB saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on July 02, 2025. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 90 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 90 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for BIB just turned positive on July 02, 2025. Looking at past instances where BIB's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 49 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

BIB moved above its 50-day moving average on June 02, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for BIB crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on June 04, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where BIB advanced for three days, in of 318 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 216 cases where BIB Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where BIB declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

BIB broke above its upper Bollinger Band on July 03, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are AstraZeneca PLC (NASDAQ:AZN), Amgen (NASDAQ:AMGN), Gilead Sciences (NASDAQ:GILD), Regeneron Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ:REGN), Biogen (NASDAQ:BIIB), Illumina (NASDAQ:ILMN), Incyte Corp (NASDAQ:INCY), Moderna (NASDAQ:MRNA), Exelixis (NASDAQ:EXEL), Guardant Health (NASDAQ:GH).

Industry description

The investment seeks daily investment results that correspond to two times (2x) the daily performance of the Nasdaq Biotechnology Index®. The index is designed to measure the performance of a set of Nasdaq-listed biotechnology and pharmaceutical companies. Under normal circumstances, the fund will obtain leveraged exposure to at least 80% of its total assets in components of the index or in instruments with similar economic characteristics. The fund is non-diversified.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the ProShares Ultra Nasdaq Biotechnology ETF is 5.34B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 16.95M to 208.98B. AZN holds the highest valuation in this group at 208.98B. The lowest valued company is QTTB at 16.95M.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the ProShares Ultra Nasdaq Biotechnology ETF was 3%. For the same ETF, the average monthly price growth was 2%, and the average quarterly price growth was -8%. PRME experienced the highest price growth at 50%, while APGE experienced the biggest fall at -18%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the ProShares Ultra Nasdaq Biotechnology ETF was 3%. For the same stocks of the ETF, the average monthly volume growth was -23% and the average quarterly volume growth was -23%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 56
P/E Growth Rating: 79
Price Growth Rating: 55
SMR Rating: 89
Profit Risk Rating: 89
Seasonality Score: 0 (-100 ... +100)
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