Rick Pendergraft's Avatar
published in Blogs
Nov 07, 2019

Bearish engulfing pattern on Immunomedics could be a bad sign

Analyzing biotech companies is trickier than it is with other sectors. Many firms in the sector will lose money for years until a breakthrough happens and then, BAM they are profitable. Until that breakthrough happens, you are left to analyze the technical aspects of the stock and monitor the news from the company. One such company is Immunomedics (Nasdaq: IMMU), a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company.

The company has lost money in each of the last three years and the losses have been increasing rather than decreasing. Even with such results, the stock hasn't been tanking. In fact the stock moved up quite nicely in 2017 and halfway through 2018. For 2019 the stock seems to a bit range bound between the $12 mark and the $20 mark. I know that is a rather large range, but the stock jumped from $4 to $16 in 2017.

What got my attention about Immunomedics currently was the pattern in the candlestick chart on November 6. The stock opened at $17.88 and closed at $17.18 which created a red bar on the chart. What makes it a bearish engulfing pattern is the fact that the open was higher than the previous day's high and the close was lower than the previous day's low—the body of November 6 engulfs the body for November 5.

In candlestick charting, this is known as a topping pattern. I circled two other bearish engulfing patterns from Immunomedics past and they both came at temporary high points for the stock. The one in September is particularly strong as the stock fell immediately from the $17.50 level to the $12.50 level in only two weeks.

In addition to the bearish engulfing pattern, the higher Bollinger Band was broken on November 4 and could indicate that the price could fall as the ticker heads toward the middle band. In 46 of 54 cases where Immunomedic's price broke its higher Bollinger Band, its price dropped further during the following month. The odds of a continued downtrend are 85%.

I mentioned how the company has been losing money, but let's look at some of the fundamental indicators from Tickeron. The fundamental analysis overview highlights figures that are in the upper third of ratings in green, and Immunomedics doesn't have any fundamental indicators with green highlights.

The best rating for the company is the Price Growth Rating at 38, indicating steady price growth. The Profit vs. Risk Rating for the company is 50, indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating for the industry is 90, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 65 indicates that the company is fairly valued in the industry. A rating of 1 points to the most undervalued stocks, while a rating of 100 points to the most overvalued stocks. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 98, indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Immunomedics released earnings on October 30. The loss per share was $0.49 and that was worse than expected by analysts and it was worse than the $0.35 loss a year ago. Especially troubling was the fact that the company didn't generate any revenues in the third quarter of 2019. That is a scary statement right there.

Related Ticker: BIB

BIB's Stochastic Oscillator stoops into oversold zone

The Stochastic Oscillator for BIB moved into oversold territory on May 26, 2023. Be on the watch for the price uptrend or consolidation in the future. At that time, consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where BIB advanced for three days, in of 337 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

BIB may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on May 16, 2023. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on BIB as a result. In of 88 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for BIB turned negative on May 11, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 51 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 51 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

BIB moved below its 50-day moving average on May 24, 2023 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for BIB crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on May 26, 2023. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where BIB declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for BIB entered a downward trend on May 26, 2023. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are AstraZeneca PLC (NASDAQ:AZN), Amgen (NASDAQ:AMGN), Gilead Sciences (NASDAQ:GILD), Regeneron Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ:REGN), Moderna (NASDAQ:MRNA), Biogen (NASDAQ:BIIB), Illumina (NASDAQ:ILMN), Horizon Therapeutics Public Limited (NASDAQ:HZNP), Incyte Corp (NASDAQ:INCY), Sarepta Therapeutics (NASDAQ:SRPT).

Industry description

The investment seeks daily investment results that correspond to two times (2x) the daily performance of the Nasdaq Biotechnology Index®. The fund invests in financial instruments that ProShare Advisors believes, in combination, should produce daily returns consistent with the fund's investment objective. The index is a modified capitalization weighted index that includes securities of Nasdaq listed companies that are classified as either biotechnology or pharmaceutical. The fund is non-diversified.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the ProShares Ultra Nasdaq Biotechnology ETF is 4.81B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 16.96M to 225.46B. AZN holds the highest valuation in this group at 225.46B. The lowest valued company is EVLO at 16.96M.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the ProShares Ultra Nasdaq Biotechnology ETF was -5%. For the same ETF, the average monthly price growth was -4%, and the average quarterly price growth was -12%. RXRX experienced the highest price growth at 39%, while ANNX experienced the biggest fall at -52%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the ProShares Ultra Nasdaq Biotechnology ETF was 18%. For the same stocks of the ETF, the average monthly volume growth was 41% and the average quarterly volume growth was 224%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 53
P/E Growth Rating: 82
Price Growth Rating: 54
SMR Rating: 90
Profit Risk Rating: 89
Seasonality Score: 18 (-100 ... +100)
Sergey Savastiouk's Avatar
published in Blogs
Mar 14, 2023
How to Start Trading Penny Stocks

How to Start Trading Penny Stocks

Penny stocks have long been marginalized within the professional investment community, oftentimes being painted with a broad brush of simply being “too risky.” Leonardo DiCaprio’s depiction of the penny stock peddling conman, Jordan Belfort, in the Wolf of Wall Street certainly didn’t help.Here are four reasons to start trading them now. Reason #1: Let’s State the Obvious -- Penny Stocks are Cheap A single share of Apple Inc. costs over $350.
Dmitry Perepelkin's Avatar
published in Blogs
Mar 14, 2023
5 Habits that Lead to Successful Investing

5 Habits that Lead to Successful Investing

To consistently make money in this industry, you need emotional fortitude, an analytical mind, and a willingness to self-reflect. Despite trading and investing being two different activities, these principles can be applied to both.Conversely, investors with good habits often become great traders.  Rather than full sentences for titles, we’ve labeled each of our top-five investing habits using a single word principle.
Allana's Avatar
published in Blogs
Mar 23, 2023
What’s the Difference Between Data Analytics and Machine Learning?

What’s the Difference Between Data Analytics and Machine Learning?

Artificial intelligence (AI) technology is developing rapidly.Data mining can deliver raw numbers, but it does not necessarily provide actionable insights. Structure is necessary to taking abstract information and extracting commonalities, like averages, ratios, and percentages.
Sergey Savastiouk's Avatar
published in Blogs
Mar 13, 2023
4 Tips for Fast, Effective Stock Analysis

4 Tips for Fast, Effective Stock Analysis

With just a few clicks, an investor can search for individual stocks, categories of stocks, sectors, or investment themes, and then he or she can conduct a full range of technical and fundamental analysis within seconds.All powered by Artificial Intelligence.  Below, we give you 5 tips for fast, effective stock analysis using Tickeron’s Screener.
Sergey Savastiouk's Avatar
published in Blogs
Mar 20, 2023
5 Golden Principles in Investing

5 Golden Principles in Investing

You have enough faith in that stock, based on research, that the return will equal or exceed the investment.  Do unto others.The principles outlined here will ensure that happens.  Principle #1: Diversification Investors can’t be one-dimensional when constructing a portfolio.
John Jacques's Avatar
published in Blogs
Mar 24, 2023
If Hedge Funds are Using AI to Invest, Why Shouldn’t You?

If Hedge Funds are Using AI to Invest, Why Shouldn’t You?

Some of the world’s biggest financial institutions have devoted multi-million dollar budgets to developing algorithms that can find patterns in the market, identify trends, and perform automated trading designed to take advantage of even the smallest price movements. The AI revolution is so big that as it stands today, the world’s five biggest hedge funds all use systems-based approaches to trade financial markets.Indeed, quantitative trading hedge funds now manage $918 billion (according to HFR), which amounts to 30% of the $3 trillion hedge fund industry – a percentage continues to grow with each year that passes.
Sergey Savastiouk's Avatar
published in Blogs
Mar 15, 2023
The five most important Lessons Learned After 10,000 hours of Trading

The five most important Lessons Learned After 10,000 hours of Trading

Ten thousand hours of active trading, broken down into forty-hour weeks, amounts to almost five years. Having surpassed that milestone myself, I now understand why it's significant for any trader's journey. The early years taught me valuable lessons that have shaped my approach to trading. It's a misconception that great traders are born with innate talent. The truth is that it takes years of...
Edward Flores's Avatar
published in Blogs
Mar 12, 2023
What's the Difference Between Tokens and Altcoins?

What's the Difference Between Tokens and Altcoins?

Between their inherently technical nature, multiple varieties and sub-varieties, and endless terminology, cryptocurrency (defined here as digital or virtual currencies that are encrypted using cryptography, powered by the immutable digital ledger known as the blockchain) represents a whole, complex world.All altcoins possess their own blockchain, independent from their source code, that records all transactions of their native coins. Many altcoins are variants, or forks, of Bitcoin that leverage that cryptocurrency’s open-source protocol as the basis.
Edward Flores's Avatar
published in Blogs
Mar 26, 2023
Why it Pays to Invest in Dividend Stocks Over the Long Term

Why it Pays to Invest in Dividend Stocks Over the Long Term

Where smaller, more volatile companies can placate shareholders with higher returns, larger companies often use dividend payouts to entice new investors and hold their existing ones. These low-risk options may not work for every investment approach, but dividend-producing stocks can offer great benefits under the right circumstances – especially for portfolios built for the long-term.Beyond the ability to rely on these semi-regular payouts as an income stream – a strategy favored by retirees – dividends are an excellent vehicle for compounding earnings through reinvestment.
Edward Flores's Avatar
published in Blogs
Apr 02, 2023
How Artificial Intelligence Can Improve Fintech

How Artificial Intelligence Can Improve Fintech

Artificial intelligence (AI) and fintech have an inherent compatibility that has become clearer as each sector has matured, with recent growth and successes on their own accord bringing new ideas about how they can work together.AI can analyze information at far greater quantities (and far more quickly) than any human, making it a natural fit to help fintech firms streamline and automate processes that benefit customers and businesses alike. Fintech has brought a revolution of convenience to the finance world.