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Apr 09, 2018

Bearish Forecasts in a Volatile Market

The stock market has entered a volatile state. From late January through early April, the S&P 500 has declined more than 10% and many investors are wondering how long the gyrations will last. The truth is, no one really knows.

Artificial Intelligence (A.I.) can help you navigate these choppy waters. Investing in a volatile market is emotional, but A.I. can take the emotion out of the equation and help you make decisions based on data and probabilities — instead of based on gut feelings.

Tickeron’s A.I. has found bearish opportunities in the market as volatility has set-in. Take a look at this prediction it made for Pepsi Co. (PEP) in late January, just as the market started to turn over:

 

 

The A.I. noticed a Broadening Top forming in mid-to-late December, and predicted that Pepsi’s stock price would fall from $116 down to around $111. An investor could have taken a short position on Pepsi or sold shares based on the A.I.’s advice — which turned out to be spot-on.

 

 

Another A.I. prediction panned out for Bank of America Corporation (BAC). This pattern was more recent, forming from mid-February to mid-March. Tickeron’s A.I. predicted with 42% confidence that BAC would decline through its breakout price down to around $30 a share. Traders who saw the A.I.’s notification (subscribers) could have capitalized on the trade.

 

 

How Effective is Tickeron’s A.I.?

Tickeron’s A.I. made accurate predictions about some big names in the stock market. But how often is the A.I. right?

Have a look at this table below to find out. For the Broadening Top (Bearish) pattern, when the A.I. was more than 20% confident that the stock price would decline at least 5%, it was correct 44.25% of the time (2,268 / 5,125). When the A.I. was correct, it delivered an average gain of +12.88% to the investor — a solid metric.

 

 

Feeling Bearish in this Market? Start Receiving Notifications of Bearish Patterns from A.I.

The Broadening Top formation generally happens when volatility is high or increasing, and when a stock’s price is moving with high volatility but little or no direction. It indicates growing investor nervousness and indecisiveness. If that’s what you think is happening today in the markets, then following this pattern may be the next move for you.

You can subscribe to Tickeron's Pattern Search Engine for 45 days, absolutely free.  In that time, you’ll receive pattern notifications and trade ideas from Tickeron’s A.I. Humans do not have the time or the ability to scan the markets day-in and day-out looking for patterns in stocks, ETFs, mutual funds, and cryptocurrencies. It is simply not possible — unless you get help from algorithms and A.I.

Give Tickeron’s new platform a try to enhance your trading, by using hard data to trade patterns and make investment decisions.

Related Ticker: BAC

BAC's MACD Histogram just turned positive

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for BAC turned positive on June 23, 2025. Looking at past instances where BAC's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on June 18, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on BAC as a result. In of 83 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The 50-day moving average for BAC moved above the 200-day moving average on June 27, 2025. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where BAC advanced for three days, in of 335 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 292 cases where BAC Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 4 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 4 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where BAC declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

BAC broke above its upper Bollinger Band on June 25, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. BAC’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 30, placing this stock slightly worse than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.125) is normal, around the industry mean (0.958). P/E Ratio (12.182) is within average values for comparable stocks, (8.937). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (3.860) is also within normal values, averaging (2.643). BAC has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.025) as compared to the industry average of (0.053). P/S Ratio (3.075) is also within normal values, averaging (2.460).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are JPMorgan Chase & Co (NYSE:JPM), Bank of America Corp (NYSE:BAC), Wells Fargo & Co (NYSE:WFC), HSBC Holdings PLC (NYSE:HSBC), Citigroup (NYSE:C), Barclays PLC (NYSE:BCS).

Industry description

Major banks are among the biggest companies in the world, often times with global reach and market capitalizations in the multi-billions. Large banks often have multiple arms spanning different disciplines, from deposits, to investment banking, to wealth management and insurance. The biggest banks often have key competitive advantages over smaller players in the industry in terms of brand recognition, cost of capital, and efficiency. Think J.P. Morgan, Bank of America, Wells Fargo, and Citigroup.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Major Banks Industry is 89.36B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 191.41M to 573.02B. JPM holds the highest valuation in this group at 573.02B. The lowest valued company is MSL at 191.41M.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Major Banks Industry was 3%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 4%, and the average quarterly price growth was 31%. NAUBF experienced the highest price growth at 29%, while SMFNF experienced the biggest fall at -5%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Major Banks Industry was -24%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 186% and the average quarterly volume growth was 84%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 53
P/E Growth Rating: 42
Price Growth Rating: 45
SMR Rating: 11
Profit Risk Rating: 30
Seasonality Score: -25 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a major bank

Industry MajorBanks

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Major Banks
Address
100 North Tryon Street
Phone
+1 704 386-5681
Employees
213000
Web
https://www.bankofamerica.com
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