Bearish signal on EOG Resources with earnings on the horizon
Oil & gas exploration company EOG Resources (NYSE: EOG) is set to report earnings next week and analysts expect the company to report earnings of $1.13. That is a sharp decline from the $1.75 the company earned in the same period last year, in fact it’s a drop of 35.4% that analysts expect. Earnings fell 4% in the second quarter and analysts expect earnings to fall by 12% for 2019 as a whole.
Other fundamental indicators aren’t near as bad as the earnings growth. Sales have grown at a rate of 43% per year over the last three years and they were up by 11% in the second quarter. The company sports a return on equity of 18.1% and a profit margin of 23.9%, both of which are slightly above average.
Despite what seem to be decent fundamentals, the company doesn’t score very well with Tickeron’s Fundamental Ratings. None of the various ratings are in the top half of readings when compared to other companies. The PE Growth Rating for EOG is 56. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents. A rating of 1 indicates highest PE growth while a rating of 100 indicates lowest PE growth.
The Tickeron SMR rating for the company is 62. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 89 indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. A rating of 1 points to the most undervalued stocks, while a rating of 100 points to the most overvalued stocks. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 92, indicating slightly worse than average price growth. EOG’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents. A rating of 1 points to highest price growth (largest percent return), while a rating of 100 points to lowest price growth (smallest percent return).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating for the company is 100, indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. EOG’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating for the industry is 99, placing this stock worse than average.
In addition to the fundamental shortcomings, the stock has been trending lower over the last six months and a trend channel has formed that defines the various cycles within the overall trend. The stock isn’t quite up to the upper rail of the downward sloped channel, but it seems to finding resistance at its 50-day moving average.
Something else that stands out about the chart is the daily stochastic readings being in overbought territory and making a bearish crossover on October 28. In the last three instances where this has happened, the stock has fallen at least 25% in the next few months.
If the bearish crossover from the stochastics wasn’t scary enough for you, the Tickeron Trend Prediction Engine generated a bearish signal for EOG on October 25. The signal calls for a decline of at least 4% over the next month and it shows a confidence level of 77%. Past predictions on EOG have been successful 74% of the time.
Even as EOG has struggled fundamentally and as the stock has been trending lower, the sentiment toward the stock is still rather bullish. There are 38 analysts following the stock with 30 “buy” ratings and eight “hold” ratings. This puts the buy percentage at 78.9% and that is above average.
The short interest ratio is below average at 2.4 and the number of shares sold short fell by 890K in the first half of October. The drop in the number of shares sold short is indicative of increasing optimism.
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EOG in upward trend: price may ascend as a result of having broken its lower Bollinger Band on September 22, 2026
EOG may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 19 of 27 cases where EOG's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 70%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 05, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on EOG as a result. In 54 of 80 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 68%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for EOG just turned positive on October 06, 2026. Looking at past instances where EOG's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 32 of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 68%.
Following a +2.05% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where EOG advanced for three days, in 221 of 337 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 66%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 173 of 255 cases where EOG Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 68%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.
EOG moved below its 50-day moving average on September 21, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for EOG crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 25, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 11 of 21 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 52%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where EOG declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 59%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 17 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 71, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 39 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 43 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 44 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. EOG’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 47 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.315) is normal, around the industry mean (5.088). P/E Ratio (10.944) is within average values for comparable stocks, (25.683). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.322) is also within normal values, averaging (1.958). Dividend Yield (0.029) settles around the average of (0.036) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.925) is also within normal values, averaging (5.980).
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
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General Information
a developer of natural gas and crude oil
Industry OilGasProduction
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