Bearish signal on United Airlines as it hits downward sloped trend line
United Airlines (Nasdaq: UAL) has been trending lower since the beginning of December and is one of the few stocks that hasn’t really gained much ground in 2019. As of April 9, the stock is only up 0.62% while the S&P is up 14.81% on a year to date basis.
There is a downward sloped trend line connecting the high from December with the high from February, and the stock just hit the trend line last week. This trend line is also in close proximity to the 50-day moving average.
The stock has rallied over the last few weeks in order to reach the trend line, but the rally has caused the stock to jump from oversold to overbought based on the daily stochastic readings. The indicators did make a bearish crossover on April 9.
The Tickeron AI Trend Prediction tool generated a bearish signal for United on April 8 with a confidence level of 67%. The signal calls for a decline of at least 4% over the next month and 69% of previous predictions on the stock have been successful.
United is expected to release earnings after the closing bell on April 16 with a conference call scheduled for the following morning. Over the last three years the company has seen earnings decline by an average of 5% per year while sales have only increased by 3% per year over the same period. The company did see year over year earnings increase by 67% in the most recent earnings report.
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UAL's Stochastic Oscillator is remaining in oversold zone for 5 days
The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an uptrend is expected.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where UAL's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 26 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where UAL advanced for three days, in of 313 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
UAL may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on August 17, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on UAL as a result. In of 86 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for UAL turned negative on August 13, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 46 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
UAL moved below its 50-day moving average on August 17, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for UAL crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on August 20, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where UAL declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for UAL entered a downward trend on August 03, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 74, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. UAL’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.200) is normal, around the industry mean (3.817). P/E Ratio (10.596) is within average values for comparable stocks, (26.565). UAL's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (6.503) is slightly higher than the industry average of (3.228). UAL has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.021). P/S Ratio (0.588) is also within normal values, averaging (0.806).
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General Information
a holding company with interest in transporting people and cargo through mainline operations, which utilize full-sized jet aircraft
Industry Airlines
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