United Airlines (Nasdaq: UAL) has been trending lower since the beginning of December and is one of the few stocks that hasn’t really gained much ground in 2019. As of April 9, the stock is only up 0.62% while the S&P is up 14.81% on a year to date basis.
There is a downward sloped trend line connecting the high from December with the high from February, and the stock just hit the trend line last week. This trend line is also in close proximity to the 50-day moving average.
The stock has rallied over the last few weeks in order to reach the trend line, but the rally has caused the stock to jump from oversold to overbought based on the daily stochastic readings. The indicators did make a bearish crossover on April 9.
The Tickeron AI Trend Prediction tool generated a bearish signal for United on April 8 with a confidence level of 67%. The signal calls for a decline of at least 4% over the next month and 69% of previous predictions on the stock have been successful.
United is expected to release earnings after the closing bell on April 16 with a conference call scheduled for the following morning. Over the last three years the company has seen earnings decline by an average of 5% per year while sales have only increased by 3% per year over the same period. The company did see year over year earnings increase by 67% in the most recent earnings report.
The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where UAL declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
UAL broke above its upper Bollinger Band on February 22, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on February 14, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on UAL as a result. In of 86 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for UAL just turned positive on February 08, 2024. Looking at past instances where UAL's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 44 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
UAL moved above its 50-day moving average on February 06, 2024 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for UAL crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on February 01, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 21 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where UAL advanced for three days, in of 315 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 198 cases where UAL Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. UAL’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.578) is normal, around the industry mean (103.845). P/E Ratio (5.684) is within average values for comparable stocks, (22.607). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.584) is also within normal values, averaging (0.712). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.041) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.277) is also within normal values, averaging (0.965).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. UAL’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 91, placing this stock worse than average.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a holding company with interest in transporting people and cargo through mainline operations, which utilize full-sized jet aircraft
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, UAL has been closely correlated with DAL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 88% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if UAL jumps, then DAL could also see price increases.