Bearish signals for Carvana (CVNA) from Tickeron’s A.I. Prediction tool
New-age car buying company Carvana (NYSE: CVNA) saw two potential bearish signs over the last few days. On March 1, the stock saw the daily stochastic readings make a bearish crossover as the indicators were in overbought territory. The 10-day RSI was also in overbought territory and fell that day.
The last time the RSI and stochastic readings were in overbought territory at the same time was in September. The stock was trading at an all-time high back then and then lost over half of its value in the fourth quarter. The stock has rallied since early February and that is what caused the oscillators to move in to overbought territory.
In addition to the bearish stochastics crossover, the Tickeron AI Prediction tool generated a bearish signal on Carvana on February 28. That signal had a confidence level of 66%, but the most impressive thing is that 94% of predictions of this kind have been accurate over the years.
Carvana’s fundamental indicators are all over the place. Earnings have been flat over the last three years and they were down 106% last quarter. Conversely, sales have increased by an average of 141% per year over the last three years.
The company doesn’t have a return on equity yet because it has been losing money ever since it went public. The profit margin is at -18.9%. The company just reported earnings on February 27 and the earnings missed estimates.
Aroon Indicator for CVNA shows an upward move is likely
CVNA's Aroon Indicator triggered a bullish signal on October 28, 2024. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor detected that the AroonUp green line is above 70 while the AroonDown red line is below 30. When the up indicator moves above 70 and the down indicator remains below 30, it is a sign that the stock could be setting up for a bullish move. Traders may want to buy the stock or look to buy calls options. A.I.dvisor looked at 283 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator showed a similar pattern. In of the 283 cases, the stock moved higher in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move higher at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for CVNA just turned positive on October 28, 2024. Looking at past instances where CVNA's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 46 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CVNA advanced for three days, in of 329 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 19 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CVNA declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
CVNA broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 25, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. CVNA’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 74, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (41.494) is normal, around the industry mean (12.064). CVNA has a moderately high P/E Ratio (115.720) as compared to the industry average of (36.044). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (2.650). CVNA has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.034). P/S Ratio (1.616) is also within normal values, averaging (18.679).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
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a car dealer
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