Bearish signals for Carvana (CVNA) from Tickeron’s A.I. Prediction tool
New-age car buying company Carvana (NYSE: CVNA) saw two potential bearish signs over the last few days. On March 1, the stock saw the daily stochastic readings make a bearish crossover as the indicators were in overbought territory. The 10-day RSI was also in overbought territory and fell that day.
The last time the RSI and stochastic readings were in overbought territory at the same time was in September. The stock was trading at an all-time high back then and then lost over half of its value in the fourth quarter. The stock has rallied since early February and that is what caused the oscillators to move in to overbought territory.
In addition to the bearish stochastics crossover, the Tickeron AI Prediction tool generated a bearish signal on Carvana on February 28. That signal had a confidence level of 66%, but the most impressive thing is that 94% of predictions of this kind have been accurate over the years.
Carvana’s fundamental indicators are all over the place. Earnings have been flat over the last three years and they were down 106% last quarter. Conversely, sales have increased by an average of 141% per year over the last three years.
The company doesn’t have a return on equity yet because it has been losing money ever since it went public. The profit margin is at -18.9%. The company just reported earnings on February 27 and the earnings missed estimates.
Momentum Indicator for CVNA turns positive, indicating new upward trend
CVNA saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on July 02, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 64 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 64 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for CVNA just turned positive on July 01, 2026. Looking at past instances where CVNA's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 44 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CVNA advanced for three days, in of 323 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 50 cases where CVNA's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
CVNA moved below its 50-day moving average on June 02, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CVNA declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for CVNA entered a downward trend on June 12, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. CVNA’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: CVNA's P/B Ratio (12.771) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (3.427). P/E Ratio (38.447) is within average values for comparable stocks, (25.359). CVNA's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (0.844). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.018) among similar stocks. CVNA's P/S Ratio (3.324) is slightly higher than the industry average of (1.201).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. CVNA’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 77, placing this stock worse than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
Industry description
Market Cap
High and low price notable news
Volume
Fundamental Analysis Ratings
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
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General Information
a car dealer
Industry AutomotiveAftermarket
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