Go to the list of all blogs
Vitalii Liubimov's Avatar
published in Blogs
Feb 09, 2021

Bearish Signals Generated on 3 Real Estate ETFs

Interest rates in the U.S. have been rising over the last six months, not the Fed Funds rates that the Federal Reserve controls, but the 10-year and 30-year Treasuries. If we look at a daily chart for the 10-year treasury yield, it has jumped from 0.504% last August to a recent high of 1.193%.

The trek higher has been steady and consistent. If this was a stock chart I was looking at, I would be looking to buy it the next time it cycled lower a little. You can see the trend line that connects the lows back to last August. It’s currently sitting right around 1.0%.

If you looked at the title of this article, you might be wondering what rising interest rates on treasuries have to do with real estate ETFs. The connection is that when the rates on less risky treasuries rise, other income generating investments become less appealing.

Like we see when bonds become less attractive, the price has to fall by enough to make the yield attractive again. This could be what the bearish signals are suggesting about the real estate ETFs—that the yield isn’t as attractive now because treasury yields have been rising.

Regardless of the reasoning, the three most actively traded real estate ETFs all generated bearish signals on February 5. Those signals came from the Tickeron A.I. trend prediction tool. The three ETFs are the iShares US Real Estate ETF (IYR), Vanguard Real Estate ETF (VNQ), and Real Estate Select Sector SPDR (XLRE).

The bearish signals call for a decline of at least 4% over the next month, but there is a pretty significant difference in the confidence level between the three signals. The signal for the XLRE is 76% while the confidence levels on the other two are both at 54%.

Because these are ETFs, we don’t have the traditional fundamental indicators that we can break down, but the technical indicators are the same as with an individual stock. In the case of these three funds, they all three have seen bearish signals come from the RSI Indicator, the Aroon Indicator, and the Bollinger Bands indicator. It is also worth noting that all three are in overbought territory based on the daily stochastic indicators.

Looking back at the chart of the 10-year Treasury yield, it looks like it is ready for a short cycle lower at this time, so we could see the ETFs and the treasury yield move lower together.

The complete analysis and comparison of the three funds appears below. The information from Tickeron shows how the funds compare to one another as well as other ETFs and stocks.


Related Ticker: XLRE

XLRE's RSI Indicator peaks and leaves overbought zone

The 10-day RSI Oscillator for XLRE moved out of overbought territory on May 20, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. Traders may want to look at selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 40 instances where the indicator moved out of the overbought zone. In of the 40 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move down at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on May 23, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on XLRE as a result. In of 89 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for XLRE turned negative on May 24, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 38 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 38 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

XLRE moved below its 50-day moving average on May 23, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where XLRE declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

XLRE broke above its upper Bollinger Band on May 15, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

The 10-day moving average for XLRE crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on May 17, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where XLRE advanced for three days, in of 339 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 281 cases where XLRE Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are PROLOGIS (NYSE:PLD), American Tower Corp (NYSE:AMT), Simon Property Group (NYSE:SPG).

Industry description

The investment seeks to provide investment results that, before expenses, correspond generally to the price and yield performance of publicly traded equity securities of companies in the Real Estate Select Sector Index (the "index"). Under normal market conditions, the fund generally invests substantially all, but at least 95%, of its total assets in the securities comprising the index. The index includes companies that have been identified as Real Estate companies by the Global Industry Classification Standard (GICS®). The fund is non-diversified.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Real Estate Select Sector SPDR® ETF is 32.77B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 8.36B to 120.46B. PLD holds the highest valuation in this group at 120.46B. The lowest valued company is FRT at 8.36B.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Real Estate Select Sector SPDR® ETF was 1%. For the same ETF, the average monthly price growth was 6%, and the average quarterly price growth was 58%. WELL experienced the highest price growth at -0%, while BXP experienced the biggest fall at -7%.


The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Real Estate Select Sector SPDR® ETF was 27%. For the same stocks of the ETF, the average monthly volume growth was -10% and the average quarterly volume growth was -47%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 77
P/E Growth Rating: 46
Price Growth Rating: 45
SMR Rating: 72
Profit Risk Rating: 67
Seasonality Score: 37 (-100 ... +100)
View a ticker or compare two or three
XLREDaily Signal changed days agoGain/Loss if shorted
Show more...
Ad is loading...
published price charts
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

Category RealEstate

Real Estate
One Lincoln Street Cph0326Boston
Ad is loading...
Discover the dynamic world of cryptocurrency trading with Tickeron's AI analysis. Capitalize on bullish and bearish patterns in Origin Protocol (OGN.X), with gains up to 27.80%. Stay ahead with Tickeron's real-time insights and make informed trading decisions. #CryptoTrading #AIAnalysis #OriginProtocol #InvestSmart
Dive into the world of trading excellence with our Best AI Robot of the week! In a market characterized by growth, the key to maximizing profits lies not only in mainstream large-cap stocks but also in exploring opportunities across different market segments.
This article delves into the performance of AI trading robots, specifically those utilizing the "Swing trader: Long-Short Equity Strategy (TA&FA)." These bots showcased their prowess by delivering a notable +4.98% gain while engaging in MRNA trades over the previous week. Beyond mere statistics, we explore the technical indicators and recent earnings report of MRNA to shed light on the underlying dynamics influencing the stock.
Artificial intelligence (AI) trading bots have become powerful tools for investors seeking active trading opportunities. In a recent analysis conducted on the "Day Trader: High Volatility Stocks for Active Trading (TA&FA)" platform, AI trading bots exhibited impressive performance, generating a noteworthy +4.81% gain while actively trading Shopify (SHOP) over the course of the previous week.
In the dynamic world of finance, strategic asset acquisition is a game-changer. Recently, a group of stocks within this domain has been in the spotlight, showcasing notable performances and intriguing patterns. This article delves into the recent movements of these stocks, focusing on key indicators, market capitalization, notable price events, and volume dynamics.
The Tickeron quant team is delighted to introduce our best robot of the week tailored for Trend Traders. Our sophisticated AI Robot, has been designed for manual trading enthusiasts who value independent signal selection.
Tickeron's Quant team is delighted to introduce our latest AI-powered robot designed for trading small-cap stocks, employing a distinctive fundamental stock analysis algorithm. This algorithm, renowned for its blend of in-depth analysis and intuitive signal-following capabilities, is well-suited for both novice and seasoned traders.
The Tickeron quant team proudly presents our top-performing AI robot for swing traders. This robot stands out with its remarkable accuracy, empowering traders to capitalize on diverse market conditions and transaction types. Demonstrating its proficiency, it achieved profitability in short trades during last week's strong uptrend in the US stock markets.
One such example is the "Trend Trader: Popular Stocks (TA&FA)" platform, where AI trading robots demonstrated their prowess by generating a notable gain while actively trading Adobe Inc. (ADBE) over the previous week. In this article, we delve into a technical analysis of ADBE's recent performance, shedding light on key indicators and recent earnings results.
​​​​​​​The railroads sector, encompassing prominent players such as Canadian Pacific Railway (CP), CSX Corporation (CSX), Norfolk Southern Corporation (NSC), Canadian National Railway Company (CNI), and Union Pacific Corporation (UNP), has undergone a noteworthy surge in performance over the past week. However, a closer examination reveals a complex landscape marked by negative outlook signals and fluctuating market dynamics.
The Tickeron quant team is excited to introduce our premier AI robot, specifically optimized for Swing Traders. This tool represents the pinnacle of our technological advancements in trading algorithms. Excelling in the market, it has achieved an impressive feat, earning twice as much as the S&P 500 in just the past week.
In the whirlwind of the current mergers and acquisitions frenzy, investors are reaping substantial rewards as stocks within the merger industry theme surged by an impressive 20.9% on average over the past month.
The Tickeron quant team is delighted to introduce our top-performing AI robot tailored for beginners. Our AI Robot specializes in navigating the high-tech stocks within the NASDAQ 100 index, renowned for their liquidity and moderate volatility—making them an ideal choice for novice traders.
In the dynamic landscape of the US stock markets, where unpredictability has become the norm, finding a trading strategy that not only thrives in periods of growth but also shields against sharp corrections is paramount.
The Tickeron quant team proudly introduces our premier AI Robot, tailor-made for trend traders who prefer manual trading and selecting their own signals. This AI Robot stands out with its impressive track record of consistent trading predictions, empowering traders to align their decisions with personal preferences.
Tickeron is excited to highlight the exceptional performance of our top AI robot this week, given the recent downturn in major US stock indices. While the SP500, NASDAQ 100, and Dow Jones Industrial all experienced declines, our AI robot, thanks to its well-calibrated diversification across various industries, demonstrated remarkable resilience.
As the trading week came to a close on Friday, there were notable movements across various asset classes:
Tickeron's quant team diligently monitors developed trading algorithms daily to determine the most effective ones. Today, we are delighted to present three of the best robots tailored for swing traders, showcasing consistently positive results over several months, irrespective of market conditions. This week, they underscored their efficacy by yielding impressive gains across various stocks, even as major US stock indexes dipped.
Tickeron is excited to highlight the exceptional performance of our top AI robot this week. The US stock market has experienced a consistent upward trend for the past five months, heightening the anticipation of a forthcoming correction with each passing day.
Introducing our top-performing best AI Robot of the week, designed by Tickeron's expert quant team for trading small-cap stocks. This algorithm blends classical and proprietary technical indicators, honed through advanced machine learning, to empower users with effective portfolio diversification and maximum profitability in the dynamic market.