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Serhii Bondarenko's Avatar
published in Blogs
Jul 11, 2023

Beginner Swing Trader Outperforms Market with 4.66% Returns

Swing Trading for Beginners: Generate a 4.66% Return with "F"

On July 5, 2023, something extraordinary happened. "F", a popularly traded equity, charted an uptrend for the third consecutive day. For the uninitiated, three straight days of growth in the stock market is a positive sign, often viewed by investors as a harbinger of bullish performance.

It's a bit like a stock market adage: "Three straight green days could possibly pave the way for a bountiful month." This saying is based on empirical evidence that indicates when "F" has risen consecutively for three days, the stock has further advanced in 192 out of 293 instances within the following month. This means that the odds for a continued upward trend are approximately 66%.

So, what does this mean for the average investor, particularly for those who are just dipping their toes into the thrilling waters of swing trading?

Swing trading is a form of active trading where the trader attempts to capture short- to medium-term gains in a stock over a period of a few days to several weeks. The goal is to exploit the stock's price momentum, and the three-day upward trend in "F" provides a perfect opportunity to illustrate this strategy.

Let's assume, as a swing trader, you had identified this three-day uptrend of "F" and decided to invest. Based on historical trends, there is a 66% chance that you will witness a further rise in the stock's value in the coming month. The return generated from this swing trade could be substantial. In this case, "F" offers a potential return of 4.66%.

That's right, 4.66%! In the world of investment, where bank savings accounts often deliver less than 1% annual return, a 4.66% return in potentially under a month is an impressive result. This serves as a testament to the potential of swing trading as a viable strategy for beginners to gain significant returns, especially when they can spot and leverage trends like this three-day uptrend in "F".

It's important to remember that while historical data can provide insight into potential future trends, it does not guarantee future results. However, it does allow us to analyze and understand market patterns better, assisting beginners in making more informed decisions while exploring swing trading.

As a beginner, it is essential to observe and learn from these market trends and patterns. The journey of becoming a seasoned swing trader is filled with similar instances where spotting the right trend at the right time can yield substantial returns. "F"'s 4.66% yield on a three-day uptrend is a perfect starting point to comprehend the swing trading concept and its potential benefits.

The performance of "F" is a lesson in seizing opportunities, demonstrating that with careful observation, timely action, and strategic patience, swing trading can indeed become a rewarding investment strategy, even for beginners. With the right mindset and the ability to identify promising trends, any beginner can thrive in the dynamic world of swing trading.

Related Ticker: F

F in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on March 05, 2025

F moved above its 50-day moving average on March 05, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In of 31 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on March 05, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on F as a result. In of 85 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for F just turned positive on February 20, 2025. Looking at past instances where F's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 48 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where F advanced for three days, in of 314 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 54 cases where F's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where F declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

F broke above its upper Bollinger Band on March 05, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for F entered a downward trend on February 24, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.235) is normal, around the industry mean (6.202). P/E Ratio (12.306) is within average values for comparable stocks, (17.826). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.785) is also within normal values, averaging (5.723). Dividend Yield (0.045) settles around the average of (0.042) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.305) is also within normal values, averaging (77.712).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. F’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. F’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 85, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA), Ford Motor Company (NYSE:F), General Motors Company (NYSE:GM), NIO Inc. (NYSE:NIO).

Industry description

Automobiles continue to be arguably the most popular form of passenger travel in the U.S., and major automobile makers have revenues and market capitalizations running into multi-billions. In recent years, the industry has been experiencing some path-breaking innovations like electric vehicles and self-driving technology. While there are long-standing companies like General Motors, Ford, and Toyota Motors operating in this space, there are also emerging/rapidly growing players like Tesla – which has had a major role in the growing popularity of the electric vehicle market. With technological advancements taking steam in the auto space, we’ve also witnessed collaborations (or talks of potential partnerships) of carmakers with tech behemoths like Google’s subsidiary, Waymo.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Motor Vehicles Industry is 34.29B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 2.49M to 559.85B. TSLA holds the highest valuation in this group at 559.85B. The lowest valued company is EVTGF at 2.49M.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Motor Vehicles Industry was -2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -0%, and the average quarterly price growth was -3%. SVUHF experienced the highest price growth at 131%, while MULN experienced the biggest fall at -54%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Motor Vehicles Industry was -26%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 6% and the average quarterly volume growth was 23%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 42
P/E Growth Rating: 66
Price Growth Rating: 62
SMR Rating: 66
Profit Risk Rating: 84
Seasonality Score: -12 (-100 ... +100)
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a manufacturer of automobiles and trucks

Industry MotorVehicles

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Industry
Motor Vehicles
Address
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177000
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