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published in Blogs

Jan 11, 2021

Big Banks Set to Kick Off Earnings Season with Mixed Results Expected

The fourth quarter earnings season has arrived and it will kick off with earnings reports from Citigroup (C), JPMorgan Chase (JPM), and Wells Fargo (WFC) on January 15. The companies are expected to see earnings move in different directions compared to what we saw in the third quarter and compared to Q4 of last year.

Citigroup’s EPS estimate is $1.33 and that is 5% lower than the third quarter EPS figure and 38.14% lower than Q4 of 2019. JPMorgan’s EPS estimate is $2.57 which is in line with Q4 of 2019, but 12% lower than Q3. Wells Fargo has the best outlook with an EPS estimate of $0.59. That’s only a penny below the fourth quarter of last year and much better than $0.42 the company lost in the third quarter.

Bank stocks have been among the top performing industries since the end of October and the SPDR S&P Bank ETF (KBE) has gained 37.4% since then. The S&P is up a far more modest 17% during this same time period. Looking at the Tickeron Screener, JPMorgan gets a “strong buy” rating while the other two get “buy” ratings.

On the fundamental analysis, JPMorgan has two positive signals and two negative signals. The company gets positive marks for its Outlook Rating and its Profit vs. Risk Rating and it gets negative marks for its Valuation Rating and SMR Rating.

Citigroup gets a positive score in the Valuation Rating, but it gets four negative marks including the Outlook Rating and the SMR Rating. Wells Fargo gets a positive reading for its P/E Growth Rating, but it also gets four negative marks. The Profit vs. Risk Rating is a 100 and that’s the worst score a company can get. Like the other two, Wells Fargo also gets a poor score for its SMR Rating.

Turning our attention to the technical analysis, all three stocks have received bullish signals from the Momentum indicator over the last few weeks—not surprising given how bank stocks have been rallying. Citigroup got a bullish signal from its MACD indicator on January 8 and Wells Fargo got one on January 7. Those two also got bearish signals from the Bollinger Bands indicator on January 7.

The completer comparison from Tickeron between these three banks is below and it shows how the stocks compare to one another and how they compare to other stocks based on the ratings.

Related Ticker: KBE

KBE's RSI Indicator recovers from oversold territory

The RSI Indicator for KBE moved out of oversold territory on May 05, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 31 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In of the 31 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on May 17, 2023. You may want to consider a long position or call options on KBE as a result. In of 80 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for KBE just turned positive on May 17, 2023. Looking at past instances where KBE's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 36 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where KBE advanced for three days, in of 296 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

KBE may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 66 cases where KBE's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where KBE declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are JPMorgan Chase & Co (NYSE:JPM), Bank of America Corp (NYSE:BAC), Wells Fargo & Co (NYSE:WFC), Citigroup (NYSE:C), PNC Financial Services Group (NYSE:PNC), US Bancorp (NYSE:USB), Bank of New York Mellon Corp (NYSE:BK), Regions Financial Corp (NYSE:RF), Huntington Bancshares (NASDAQ:HBAN), KeyCorp (NYSE:KEY).

Industry description

The investment seeks to provide investment results that, before fees and expenses, correspond generally to the total return performance of the S&P Banks Select Industry Index. The fund generally invests substantially all, but at least 80%, of its total assets in the securities comprising the index. The index represents the banks segment of the S&P Total Market Index (“S&P TMI”). The S&P TMI is designed to track the broad U.S. equity market. It may invest in equity securities that are not included in the index, cash and cash equivalents or money market instruments, such as repurchase agreements and money market funds.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the SPDR® S&P Bank ETF ETF is 15.09B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 854.92M to 400.18B. JPM holds the highest valuation in this group at 400.18B. The lowest valued company is PACW at 854.92M.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the SPDR® S&P Bank ETF ETF was 2%. For the same ETF, the average monthly price growth was -1%, and the average quarterly price growth was -28%. PACW experienced the highest price growth at 24%, while PFSI experienced the biggest fall at -4%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the SPDR® S&P Bank ETF ETF was -27%. For the same stocks of the ETF, the average monthly volume growth was -27% and the average quarterly volume growth was 246%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 59

P/E Growth Rating: 69

Price Growth Rating: 70

SMR Rating: 19

Profit Risk Rating: 86

Seasonality Score: 9 (-100 ... +100)

Related Portfolios: BANKS

Sergey Savastiouk

published in Blogs

Mar 14, 2023

How to Start Trading Penny Stocks

Penny stocks have long been marginalized within the professional investment community, oftentimes being painted with a broad brush of simply being “too risky.” Leonardo DiCaprio’s depiction of the penny stock peddling conman, Jordan Belfort, in the Wolf of Wall Street certainly didn’t help.Here are four reasons to start trading them now. Reason #1: Let’s State the Obvious -- Penny Stocks are Cheap A single share of Apple Inc. costs over $350.

Dmitry Perepelkin

published in Blogs

Mar 14, 2023

5 Habits that Lead to Successful Investing

To consistently make money in this industry, you need emotional fortitude, an analytical mind, and a willingness to self-reflect. Despite trading and investing being two different activities, these principles can be applied to both.Conversely, investors with good habits often become great traders. Rather than full sentences for titles, we’ve labeled each of our top-five investing habits using a single word principle.

Allana

published in Blogs

Mar 23, 2023

What’s the Difference Between Data Analytics and Machine Learning?

Artificial intelligence (AI) technology is developing rapidly.Data mining can deliver raw numbers, but it does not necessarily provide actionable insights. Structure is necessary to taking abstract information and extracting commonalities, like averages, ratios, and percentages.

Sergey Savastiouk

published in Blogs

Mar 13, 2023

4 Tips for Fast, Effective Stock Analysis

With just a few clicks, an investor can search for individual stocks, categories of stocks, sectors, or investment themes, and then he or she can conduct a full range of technical and fundamental analysis within seconds.All powered by Artificial Intelligence. Below, we give you 5 tips for fast, effective stock analysis using Tickeron’s Screener.

Sergey Savastiouk

published in Blogs

Mar 20, 2023

5 Golden Principles in Investing

You have enough faith in that stock, based on research, that the return will equal or exceed the investment. Do unto others.The principles outlined here will ensure that happens. Principle #1: Diversification Investors can’t be one-dimensional when constructing a portfolio.

John Jacques

published in Blogs

Mar 24, 2023

If Hedge Funds are Using AI to Invest, Why Shouldn’t You?

Some of the world’s biggest financial institutions have devoted multi-million dollar budgets to developing algorithms that can find patterns in the market, identify trends, and perform automated trading designed to take advantage of even the smallest price movements. The AI revolution is so big that as it stands today, the world’s five biggest hedge funds all use systems-based approaches to trade financial markets.Indeed, quantitative trading hedge funds now manage $918 billion (according to HFR), which amounts to 30% of the $3 trillion hedge fund industry – a percentage continues to grow with each year that passes.

Sergey Savastiouk

published in Blogs

Mar 15, 2023

The five most important Lessons Learned After 10,000 hours of Trading

Ten thousand hours of active trading, broken down into forty-hour weeks, amounts to almost five years. Having surpassed that milestone myself, I now understand why it's significant for any trader's journey. The early years taught me valuable lessons that have shaped my approach to trading. It's a misconception that great traders are born with innate talent. The truth is that it takes years of...

Edward Flores

published in Blogs

Mar 12, 2023

What's the Difference Between Tokens and Altcoins?

Between their inherently technical nature, multiple varieties and sub-varieties, and endless terminology, cryptocurrency (defined here as digital or virtual currencies that are encrypted using cryptography, powered by the immutable digital ledger known as the blockchain) represents a whole, complex world.All altcoins possess their own blockchain, independent from their source code, that records all transactions of their native coins. Many altcoins are variants, or forks, of Bitcoin that leverage that cryptocurrency’s open-source protocol as the basis.

Edward Flores

published in Blogs

Mar 26, 2023

Why it Pays to Invest in Dividend Stocks Over the Long Term

Where smaller, more volatile companies can placate shareholders with higher returns, larger companies often use dividend payouts to entice new investors and hold their existing ones. These low-risk options may not work for every investment approach, but dividend-producing stocks can offer great benefits under the right circumstances – especially for portfolios built for the long-term.Beyond the ability to rely on these semi-regular payouts as an income stream – a strategy favored by retirees – dividends are an excellent vehicle for compounding earnings through reinvestment.

Edward Flores

published in Blogs

Apr 02, 2023

How Artificial Intelligence Can Improve Fintech

Artificial intelligence (AI) and fintech have an inherent compatibility that has become clearer as each sector has matured, with recent growth and successes on their own accord bringing new ideas about how they can work together.AI can analyze information at far greater quantities (and far more quickly) than any human, making it a natural fit to help fintech firms streamline and automate processes that benefit customers and businesses alike. Fintech has brought a revolution of convenience to the finance world.