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Sergey Savastiouk's Avatar
published in Blogs
Aug 29, 2021

Big Lots (BIG, $51.63) misses Q2 expectations

Big Lots  missed Wall Street estimates on fiscal second quarter earnings and revenue, amid  supply chain challenges.

For the quarter ended July 31, the big-box retail company’s earnings came in at $1.09 a share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.13 per share. This compares to earnings of $2.75 per share a year ago.

Sales fell to $1.46 billion, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 1.01%. Revenue in the year-ago quarter was $1.64 billion.

Comparable sales plunged -13%, vs. the+ 31% year-over-year gain in the second quarter of 2020 when there was a shopping surge during the earlier phases of the COVID-19 pandemic.

"We know that the supply chain headwinds will continue into fall and holiday, and the situation remains fluid," said President and CEO Bruce Thorn mentioned in a statement.

Related Ticker: BIGGQ

BIGGQ's Stochastic Oscillator is remaining in oversold zone for 6 days

The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an uptrend is expected.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where BIGGQ advanced for three days, in of 266 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on January 15, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on BIGGQ as a result. In of 87 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for BIGGQ turned negative on January 15, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 43 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 43 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

BIGGQ moved below its 50-day moving average on January 24, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for BIGGQ crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on January 24, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where BIGGQ declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.000) is normal, around the industry mean (8.187). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (41.367). BIGGQ's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (2.903). BIGGQ has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.023). P/S Ratio (0.001) is also within normal values, averaging (1.307).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. BIGGQ’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. BIGGQ’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 60, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Walmart (NYSE:WMT), Costco Wholesale Corp (NASDAQ:COST), Target Corp (NYSE:TGT), Dollar General Corp (NYSE:DG), Dollar Tree (NASDAQ:DLTR), Big Lots, Inc. (OTC:BIGGQ).

Industry description

Companies in the discount stores industry specialize in offering substantial discounts on a vast array of retail products. Some companies in this industry also operate general merchandise warehouse clubs. Products sold at discount stores are typically similar to those of any department store, but the pricing of the goods is generally much lower (and hence the name “discount”). Think Dollar General Corporation, Dollar Tree, Inc. and Five Below, Inc. Many discount stores target low-income households and/or price-sensitive consumers as their potential market. Discount stores’ profitability could hinge on factors like competitive pricing, sufficient locations, healthy revenue per square foot, and effective advertisement. These store operators could have an edge over other retailers during financial crises or recessions, when many consumers could be looking for less expensive alternatives.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Discount Stores Industry is 99.02B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 1.78K to 835.79B. WMT holds the highest valuation in this group at 835.79B. The lowest valued company is TUEMQ at 1.78K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Discount Stores Industry was 2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 3%, and the average quarterly price growth was -8%. BMRPF experienced the highest price growth at 6%, while BIGGQ experienced the biggest fall at -12%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Discount Stores Industry was -20%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -8% and the average quarterly volume growth was -14%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 52
P/E Growth Rating: 54
Price Growth Rating: 51
SMR Rating: 50
Profit Risk Rating: 59
Seasonality Score: -36 (-100 ... +100)
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