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Sep 10, 2018
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Bitcoin ETFs shot down by SEC. Here's what's next

Bitcoin ETFs shot down by SEC. Here's what's next

The US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has officially rejected requests to list nine cryptocurrency funds, dealing a blow to the digital currency enthusiasts who lobbied hard for the ETFs.

The decision was not particularly surprising – the SEC has cited concerns about market surveillance and manipulation for as long as they have been dealing with cryptocurrency, encouraging exchanges to minimize the risks investors face in an unregulated market. Hester Peirce, an SEC commissioner, promised a review of the decision, but a reversal remains unlikely.

ProShare Capital Management, GraniteShares Advisors, and Direxion Asset Management sponsored the nine ETFs, whose requests had been pending since December and January and were denied in advance of a hard deadline. According to Bloomberg, all nine funds “sought to use futures contracts to get exposure”; several also “[planned] to short Bitcoin.”

The SEC is under pressure to set standards in what until recently amounted to an investing ‘Wild West.’ Investors who bought-in at $20,000, around the peak of last year’s crypto boom, were certainly not pleased when the market dipped to around $6,000 – the neighborhood in which prices have stayed for most of the year.

While regulatory strides have been made, the threat of manipulation remains omnipresent. Chris Matta, co-founder at Crescent Crypto Asset Management, told Bloomberg that small markets and low volumes on some exchanges increase the odds for manipulation. “That’s [the SEC’s] major concern,” he said. “Without having any sort of regulatory body stepping in and policing people doing that, it’s always a possibility.”

But hope remains for cryptocurrency proponents. Peirce said in an interview that she is not opposed to the idea of a bitcoin ETF. Commenting specifically on a proposed fund run by crypto godheads Tyler and Cameron Winklevoss, Peirce said funds “would allow institutions to play a bigger role in the Bitcoin market, which I think would be good for the market and be good for retail investors as well.”

Peirce was the lone vote in favor of the fund, with the other three commissioners voting against it. While the agency declined to comment beyond orders posted after the decision, the documents say that “disapproval does not rest on an evaluation of whether Bitcoin, or blockchain technology more generally, has utility or value as an innovation or an investment.”

Investors will wait and hope for future positive rulings. One ETF from VanEck Associates Corp. and SolidX Partners Inc. still awaits a decision – the SEC postponed the initial ruling until this month and could wait until February to rule. Even if it were approved, that product is not the kind of accessible-to-the-masses fund that some investors are clamoring for, with features like a high minimum share price designed specifically to discourage use for that purpose. Until ETF issuers prove market integrity, verdicts from the SEC will likely remain the same.
 

ETFs are Off the Table – But Traders Can Still Actively Buy and Sell Cryptocurrencies

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Related Ticker: BTC.X

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


BTC.X's Stochastic Oscillator remains in oversold zone for 3 days

The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an uptrend is expected.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where BTC.X's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 10 of 40 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 25%.

Following a +4.86% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where BTC.X advanced for three days, in 123 of 425 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 29%.

BTC.X may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 05, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on BTC.X as a result. In 41 of 144 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 28%.

BTC.X moved below its 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for BTC.X crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 25, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 6 of 22 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 27%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where BTC.X declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 29%.

The Aroon Indicator for BTC.X entered a downward trend on November 10, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the group is 1.48T. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 1.48T to 1.48T. BTC.X holds the highest valuation in this group at 1.48T. The lowest valued company is BTC.X at 1.48T.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the group was -5%. For the same group, the average monthly price growth was -12%, and the average quarterly price growth was -9%. BTC.X experienced the highest price growth at -5%, while BTC.X experienced the biggest fall at -5%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the group was 24%. For the same stocks of the group, the average monthly volume growth was 122% and the average quarterly volume growth was -36%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating:
P/E Growth Rating:
Price Growth Rating:
SMR Rating:
Profit Risk Rating:
Seasonality Score: (-100 ... +100)
Real Time Patterns 3
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