BK, ($41.54) Likely to Reverse Downtrend After -19.06% Quarterly Drop
Bank of New York Mellon (BK, $41.54) has experienced a sharp decline this quarter, falling -19.06%. However, recent analysis suggests that a downtrend reversal is on the horizon. In this article, we will explore the reasons behind this prediction and discuss the potential implications for investors.
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A.I. Advisor's Analysis of the Investment Managers Industry: A.I.dvisor has analyzed 281 stocks in the Investment Managers Industry over the last three months, ending May 9, 2023. The results indicate that 56 stocks (19.8%) have exhibited an uptrend, while 225 (80.2%) have demonstrated a downtrend. By analyzing 126 similar cases in which BK's price dropped 15% within three months, A.I.dvisor found that in 83 of those cases, BK's price went up during the subsequent month. Based on this historical data, the odds of a downtrend reversal for BK stand at 66%.
BK's RSI Oscillator Signaling a Shift in Trend: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) oscillator for BK moved out of oversold territory on May 5, 2023. This shift indicates that the stock could be transitioning from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may consider buying the stock or purchasing call options in anticipation of this trend reversal. When examining 40 similar instances where the RSI indicator left oversold territory, A.I.dvisor found that in 31 of those cases, the stock moved higher. This data suggests a 77% probability of a move higher.
After experiencing a significant decline this quarter, Bank of New York Mellon (BK, $41.54) appears poised for a trend reversal. With a 66% chance of a downtrend reversal based on historical data and a 77% probability of a move higher as indicated by the RSI oscillator, investors should monitor the stock closely for potential buying opportunities. It is important to note that while these probabilities are promising, market conditions can change rapidly, and investors should always consider multiple factors and perform their due diligence before making any investment decisions.
BK in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on June 06, 2023
BK moved above its 50-day moving average on June 06, 2023 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In of 47 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where BK's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 39 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on May 31, 2023. You may want to consider a long position or call options on BK as a result. In of 91 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for BK just turned positive on May 18, 2023. Looking at past instances where BK's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 41 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where BK advanced for three days, in of 317 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
The 50-day moving average for BK moved below the 200-day moving average on May 15, 2023. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where BK declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
BK broke above its upper Bollinger Band on June 06, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for BK entered a downward trend on May 25, 2023. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.957) is normal, around the industry mean (2.323). P/E Ratio (13.736) is within average values for comparable stocks, (74.448). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.541) is also within normal values, averaging (4.370). Dividend Yield (0.034) settles around the average of (0.073) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.147) is also within normal values, averaging (44.263).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. BK’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. BK’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 82, placing this stock worse than average.
Notable companies
Industry description
Market Cap
High and low price notable news
Volume
Fundamental Analysis Ratings
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
General Information
a major bank
Industry InvestmentManagers
BK and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, BK has been closely correlated with STT. These tickers have moved in lockstep 89% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if BK jumps, then STT could also see price increases.
