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Sep 24, 2019

Blackberry (BB, $6.03) misses Q2 revenue expectation; forecasts double-digit growth in full-year revenue

Blackberry shares fell Tuesday, after the company reported weaker-than-expected revenue for its fiscal second quarter.

The smartphone maker reported a loss of  -10 cents a share for its fiscal second quarter, wider than the year-ago quarter’s -4 cents loss a share.

On an adjusted basis, the company had breakeven per-share earnings, compared to -1-cent loss expected by analysts polled by FactSet.

Blackberry’s revenue for the quarter increased to $244 million (from $210 million), falling short of the $268 million expected by analysts. 

Looking ahead, BlackBerry has predicted  total company non-GAAP revenue growth in the range of 23% to 25% for fiscal 2020, on expected double-digit percentage growth in year-over-year billings.

Related Ticker: BB

BB in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on December 01, 2023

BB moved above its 50-day moving average on December 01, 2023 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In of 51 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 24, 2023. You may want to consider a long position or call options on BB as a result. In of 91 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for BB just turned positive on October 25, 2023. Looking at past instances where BB's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 40 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where BB advanced for three days, in of 266 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.

The 50-day moving average for BB moved below the 200-day moving average on October 27, 2023. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where BB declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

BB broke above its upper Bollinger Band on December 01, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for BB entered a downward trend on November 01, 2023. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. BB’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.584) is normal, around the industry mean (20.967). P/E Ratio (344.828) is within average values for comparable stocks, (158.832). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (2.583). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.083) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.723) is also within normal values, averaging (74.499).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. BB’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 89, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:MSFT), Oracle Corp (NYSE:ORCL), Adobe (NASDAQ:ADBE), Salesforce (NYSE:CRM), Intuit (NASDAQ:INTU), SERVICENOW (NYSE:NOW), Uber Technologies (NYSE:UBER), Shopify (NYSE:SHOP), Palo Alto Networks (NASDAQ:PANW), NetEase (NASDAQ:NTES).

Industry description

Packaged software comprises multiple software programs bundled together and sold as a group. For example, Microsoft Office includes multiple applications such as Excel, Word, and PowerPoint. In some cases, buying a bundled product is cheaper than purchasing each item individually[s20] . Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corp. and Adobe are some major American packaged software makers.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Packaged Software Industry is 9.19B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 291 to 2.84T. MSFT holds the highest valuation in this group at 2.84T. The lowest valued company is BLGI at 291.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was 2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 10%, and the average quarterly price growth was -7%. IPNFF experienced the highest price growth at 163%, while NAHD experienced the biggest fall at -77%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was 115%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 57% and the average quarterly volume growth was 10%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 52
P/E Growth Rating: 72
Price Growth Rating: 58
SMR Rating: 83
Profit Risk Rating: 88
Seasonality Score: 21 (-100 ... +100)
Related Portfolios: Computer Stocks
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A.I.Advisor
published price charts
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a developer of hardware and software solutions for mobile communications

Industry PackagedSoftware

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Packaged Software
Address
2200 University Avenue East
Phone
+1 519 888-7465
Employees
3181
Web
https://www.blackberry.com
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BB and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, BB has been loosely correlated with COIN. These tickers have moved in lockstep 64% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if BB jumps, then COIN could also see price increases.

1D
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NAME
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BB100%
+4.90%
COIN - BB
64%
Loosely correlated
+7.25%
RIOT - BB
61%
Loosely correlated
+9.72%
CLSK - BB
59%
Loosely correlated
+22.44%
VRNT - BB
50%
Loosely correlated
+1.59%
AFRM - BB
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