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Dec 14, 2022
Blue Bird (BLBD, $9.39) posts Q4 loss

Blue Bird (BLBD, $9.39) posts Q4 loss

Blue Bird incurred a net loss of -$23.1 million, or -72 cents a share, for the three months ended Oct. widening from the year-ago quarter’s loss of -$2.4 million, or -9 cents a share.

Excluding one-time items, the loss per share was -66 cents, compared to analysts ‘ expectations of -5 cents loss a share (based on Factset poll). Revenue surged +34% year-over-year to $257.7 million, as bus sales grew $60.6 million on the back of a +28% increase in average sales price per unit.

For the full-year,  Blue Bird  has projected revenue between $900 million and $1 billion, compared to analysts’ forecasts of  $999.6 million. (according to FactSet).

Related Ticker: BLBD

BLBD's RSI Oscillator leaves overbought zone

The 10-day RSI Oscillator for BLBD moved out of overbought territory on February 26, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. Traders may want to look at selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 36 instances where the indicator moved out of the overbought zone. In of the 36 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move down at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on March 03, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on BLBD as a result. In of 91 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for BLBD turned negative on February 27, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 49 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 49 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where BLBD declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 6 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

BLBD moved above its 50-day moving average on March 10, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for BLBD crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on February 04, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where BLBD advanced for three days, in of 332 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

BLBD may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 199 cases where BLBD Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 76, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. BLBD’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: BLBD's P/B Ratio (6.223) is slightly higher than the industry average of (2.457). P/E Ratio (13.495) is within average values for comparable stocks, (26.208). BLBD's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (2.450). BLBD has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.025). P/S Ratio (1.166) is also within normal values, averaging (2.783).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Caterpillar (NYSE:CAT), Deere & Company (NYSE:DE).

Industry description

The industry designs and builds agricultural, construction and other large commercial and transportation equipment. Tractors, planters and harvesters, as well as rock-crushing, railroad, demolition and other construction implements are produced by this industry. Rapid urbanization and industrialization has been bolstering the expansion of the construction sector in the past few decades, thereby boosting demand for heavy equipment businesses. Caterpillar Inc., Deere & Company and Cummins Inc (Ex. Cummins Engine Inc) are some prominent companies in this industry.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery Industry is 21.7B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 223.29K to 328.53B. CAT holds the highest valuation in this group at 328.53B. The lowest valued company is OSRS at 223.29K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery Industry was -2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -2%, and the average quarterly price growth was 7%. OUKPF experienced the highest price growth at 65%, while HINOY experienced the biggest fall at -18%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery Industry was 15%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 5% and the average quarterly volume growth was -17%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 44
P/E Growth Rating: 38
Price Growth Rating: 54
SMR Rating: 64
Profit Risk Rating: 75
Seasonality Score: -38 (-100 ... +100)
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These past five trading days, the stock lost 0.00% with an average daily volume of 0 shares traded.The stock tracked a drawdown of 0% for this period. BLBD showed earnings on February 04, 2026. You can read more about the earnings report here.
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a manufacturer of and sells school buses

Industry TrucksConstructionFarmMachinery

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery
Address
3920 Arkwright Road
Phone
+1 478 822-2801
Employees
1830
Web
https://www.blue-bird.com
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