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Dec 14, 2022
Blue Bird (BLBD, $9.39) posts Q4 loss

Blue Bird (BLBD, $9.39) posts Q4 loss

Blue Bird incurred a net loss of -$23.1 million, or -72 cents a share, for the three months ended Oct. widening from the year-ago quarter’s loss of -$2.4 million, or -9 cents a share.

Excluding one-time items, the loss per share was -66 cents, compared to analysts ‘ expectations of -5 cents loss a share (based on Factset poll). Revenue surged +34% year-over-year to $257.7 million, as bus sales grew $60.6 million on the back of a +28% increase in average sales price per unit.

For the full-year,  Blue Bird  has projected revenue between $900 million and $1 billion, compared to analysts’ forecasts of  $999.6 million. (according to FactSet).

Related Ticker: BLBD

BLBD's MACD Histogram crosses above signal line

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for BLBD turned positive on June 16, 2026. Looking at past instances where BLBD's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 45 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on June 11, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on BLBD as a result. In of 86 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where BLBD advanced for three days, in of 327 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 233 cases where BLBD Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for BLBD moved out of overbought territory on June 29, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 46 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where BLBD declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

BLBD broke above its upper Bollinger Band on June 25, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 81, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. BLBD’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: BLBD's P/B Ratio (8.299) is slightly higher than the industry average of (3.057). P/E Ratio (19.199) is within average values for comparable stocks, (40.845). BLBD's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (1.852). BLBD has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.014). P/S Ratio (1.705) is also within normal values, averaging (1.222).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Caterpillar (NYSE:CAT), Deere & Company (NYSE:DE).

Industry description

The industry designs and builds agricultural, construction and other large commercial and transportation equipment. Tractors, planters and harvesters, as well as rock-crushing, railroad, demolition and other construction implements are produced by this industry. Rapid urbanization and industrialization has been bolstering the expansion of the construction sector in the past few decades, thereby boosting demand for heavy equipment businesses. Caterpillar Inc., Deere & Company and Cummins Inc (Ex. Cummins Engine Inc) are some prominent companies in this industry.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery Industry is 29.83B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 223.29K to 433.01B. CAT holds the highest valuation in this group at 433.01B. The lowest valued company is OSRS at 223.29K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery Industry was -3%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 6%, and the average quarterly price growth was -1%. HYFM experienced the highest price growth at 16%, while XOS experienced the biggest fall at -13%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery Industry was -9%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 4% and the average quarterly volume growth was -57%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 45
P/E Growth Rating: 52
Price Growth Rating: 52
SMR Rating: 77
Profit Risk Rating: 80
Seasonality Score: 14 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a manufacturer of and sells school buses

Industry TrucksConstructionFarmMachinery

Profile
Details
Industry
Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery
Address
3920 Arkwright Road
Phone
+1 478 822-2801
Employees
2012
Web
https://www.blue-bird.com
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