Boeing (BA, $320.33) Snaps Airbus' Five-Year Winning Streak
Growing trade tensions, slowing growth in China and long order backlogs made 2018 a difficult year for aircraft manufacturers in terms of winning new commercial aircraft orders. But, for two of the most renowned aircraft manufacturers - Boeing and Airbus - 2018 was another year of commendable performance.
One change set to take place in 2018, however, is that Boeing is all set to overtake Airbus in terms of total annual new aircraft orders for the first time since 2013. Between 2013 and 2017, Airbus captured more aircraft orders than its American rival in each year.
Although the final orders total for 2018 is to be published in the next couple of weeks, it seems that Boeing has taken a lead over its rival in the first 11 months of 2018 with 690 net firm orders. And it's highly unlikely that Airbus, which has captured 380 net firm orders in the same time period, will be able to muster another December surprise just like 2017.
Furthermore, with Boeing’s two late December noteworthy aircraft orders from Nigeria-based airline start-up Green Africa Airways and Saudi Arabia's Flyadeal, the chances of Airbus making a comeback have become even more difficult. And would need a mammoth December performance to match its planned full-year delivery total of approximately 800 aircraft.
Additionally, Boeing is all set to achieve a book-to-bill ratio of at least 1.0, indicating that new orders would at least match the number of aircraft deliveries for the full year. Boeing also achieved a more diverse mix of orders through November, wherein higher-value widebody aircraft accounted for ~ 28% of its net firm orders compared to Airbus’s just 21%.
BA's RSI Indicator climbs out of oversold territory
The RSI Indicator for BA moved out of oversold territory on October 01, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 33 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 29 of the 33 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 88%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 32 of 54 cases where BA's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 59%.
Following a +4.04% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where BA advanced for three days, in 213 of 320 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.
BA may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 16, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on BA as a result. In 55 of 71 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 77%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for BA turned negative on September 16, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 41 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 32 of the 41 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 78%.
The 50-day moving average for BA moved below the 200-day moving average on September 01, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where BA declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 75%.
The Aroon Indicator for BA entered a downward trend on September 28, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 11 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 61 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. BA’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 79 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 83 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: BA's P/B Ratio (23.923) is slightly higher than the industry average of (6.305). P/E Ratio (66.327) is within average values for comparable stocks, (58.116). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.373) is also within normal values, averaging (2.564). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.009) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.675) is also within normal values, averaging (18.330).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. BA’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 76, placing this stock worse than average.
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General Information
a manufacturer of jetliners, aircraft and related products
Industry AerospaceDefense
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