Global investors that earlier this week bet on Japan’s monetary tightening might have to eat their words: Bank of Japan (BOJ) has committed to continued monetary stimulus while aiming to ameliorate the side effects on banks’ margins.
BOJ governor Haruhiko Kuroda announced on Tuesday that he is focused on “continuous powerful monetary easing”, with tweaks only to relive commercial banks from tailwinds of a negative interest rate. The -0.1% interest rate will now apply to fewer reserves than before.
As for 10-year bonds, the BOJ maintains the target 0% rate but allows the yield to fluctuate to as much as 0.2%.
BOJ’s total purchases of exchange-traded funds remain at 6 trillion yen ($54 billion) per year, but the central bank has hinted that it might slow down its buying of risk assets. But those linked to the Topix will increase to 4.2 trillion yen, from 2.7 trillion yen.
BOJ commits to maintain extremely low levels of short- and long-term interest rates for an "extended period of time".
The central bank's decision to continue with easy monetary policy comes amidst a lowering of its inflation projections. From 1.3%, its estimate of core consumer price growth is down to 1.1% for the current fiscal year through March. The estimate for fiscal 2019 has been revised downwards to 1.5 % (from the previous estimate of 1.8%), while fiscal 2020's was lowered to 1.6 % (compared to an earlier estimate of 1.8%).
The Aroon Indicator for JPYUSD entered a downward trend on April 21, 2024. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 330 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In of the 330 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on April 01, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on JPYUSD as a result. In of 123 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where JPYUSD declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The RSI Indicator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 10 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an Uptrend is expected.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 11 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for JPYUSD just turned positive on April 21, 2024. Looking at past instances where JPYUSD's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 98 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
JPYUSD may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows