BOJ's Decision Crushes Market Speculation
Global investors that earlier this week bet on Japan’s monetary tightening might have to eat their words: Bank of Japan (BOJ) has committed to continued monetary stimulus while aiming to ameliorate the side effects on banks’ margins.
BOJ governor Haruhiko Kuroda announced on Tuesday that he is focused on “continuous powerful monetary easing”, with tweaks only to relive commercial banks from tailwinds of a negative interest rate. The -0.1% interest rate will now apply to fewer reserves than before.
As for 10-year bonds, the BOJ maintains the target 0% rate but allows the yield to fluctuate to as much as 0.2%.
BOJ’s total purchases of exchange-traded funds remain at 6 trillion yen ($54 billion) per year, but the central bank has hinted that it might slow down its buying of risk assets. But those linked to the Topix will increase to 4.2 trillion yen, from 2.7 trillion yen.
BOJ commits to maintain extremely low levels of short- and long-term interest rates for an "extended period of time".
The central bank's decision to continue with easy monetary policy comes amidst a lowering of its inflation projections. From 1.3%, its estimate of core consumer price growth is down to 1.1% for the current fiscal year through March. The estimate for fiscal 2019 has been revised downwards to 1.5 % (from the previous estimate of 1.8%), while fiscal 2020's was lowered to 1.6 % (compared to an earlier estimate of 1.8%).
Aroon Indicator for JPYUSD shows an upward move is likely
JPYUSD's Aroon Indicator triggered a bullish signal on July 07, 2025. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor detected that the AroonUp green line is above 70 while the AroonDown red line is below 30. When the up indicator moves above 70 and the down indicator remains below 30, it is a sign that the stock could be setting up for a bullish move. Traders may want to buy the stock or look to buy calls options. A.I.dvisor looked at 179 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator showed a similar pattern. In of the 179 cases, the stock moved higher in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move higher at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
JPYUSD may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on July 07, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on JPYUSD as a result. In of 123 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for JPYUSD turned negative on July 04, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 105 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 105 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
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Fundamental Analysis Ratings
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
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