Boost Profits with BBVA: Swing Trading Model Yields 10.05% Return
Swing Trader, Long Only: Valuation & Efficiency Model (TA&FA) Generates 10.05% for BBVA
BBVA, a renowned banking giant, has been demonstrating an upward trend, growing for three consecutive days as of July 18, 2023. This momentum was noticed with a +1.64% uptrend, marking an optimistic phase for the bank. A trajectory of consistent growth over three days is often recognized as a bullish sign, indicating potential future growth.
This surge in BBVA's growth can be attributed to the effective use of the Valuation & Efficiency Model (TA&FA) as the primary trading approach. This model, often used by swing traders with a 'long only' strategy, has generated a significant return of 10.05% for BBVA.
Swing trading is an investment strategy that capitalizes on price fluctuations over the short to medium term. The 'long only' strategy is characterized by buying and holding securities with the expectation that they will appreciate over time. In BBVA's context, it seems that this strategy has indeed proven successful.
The Valuation & Efficiency Model (TA&FA) integrates technical analysis (TA) and fundamental analysis (FA), aiming to create a comprehensive picture of a company's financial health and its stock's potential trajectory. With this approach, it combines the rigorous number-driven analysis of a company's intrinsic value with an examination of broader market trends.
In the case of BBVA, this methodology has clearly paid off. A look back at BBVA's previous trends where it advanced for three days, it can be observed that in 203 out of 296 cases, the price rose further within the following month. This implies an impressive probability of 69% for a continued upward trend.
The financial world will undoubtedly be watching BBVA closely in the coming weeks. The numbers speak volumes about the promise this stock holds. The potent combination of swing trading, the 'long only' approach, and the Valuation & Efficiency Model (TA&FA) has seemingly set BBVA on a robust growth trajectory. The anticipation now lies in whether BBVA can continue to ride this wave of growth, leveraging its current momentum into sustainable long-term gains.
BBVA in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on September 27, 2023
BBVA moved above its 50-day moving average on September 27, 2023 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In of 37 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on September 19, 2023. You may want to consider a long position or call options on BBVA as a result. In of 81 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for BBVA just turned positive on September 19, 2023. Looking at past instances where BBVA's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 46 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The 10-day moving average for BBVA crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on September 26, 2023. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where BBVA advanced for three days, in of 302 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 265 cases where BBVA Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for BBVA moved out of overbought territory on August 31, 2023. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 49 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 49 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 55 cases where BBVA's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where BBVA declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
BBVA broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 28, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 72, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.900) is normal, around the industry mean (0.990). P/E Ratio (6.325) is within average values for comparable stocks, (17.310). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.988) is also within normal values, averaging (3.500). Dividend Yield (0.058) settles around the average of (0.056) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.398) is also within normal values, averaging (2.452).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. BBVA’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
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Industry description
Market Cap
High and low price notable news
Volume
Fundamental Analysis Ratings
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
General Information
a major bank
Industry MajorBanks
BBVA and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, BBVA has been closely correlated with SAN. These tickers have moved in lockstep 81% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if BBVA jumps, then SAN could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To BBVA | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BBVA | 100% | +3.07% | ||
| SAN - BBVA | 81% Closely correlated | +4.41% | ||
| ING - BBVA | 76% Closely correlated | +1.61% | ||
| BCS - BBVA | 71% Closely correlated | +1.03% | ||
| UBS - BBVA | 67% Closely correlated | +1.48% | ||
| RY - BBVA | 61% Loosely correlated | +1.35% | ||
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