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Serhii Bondarenko's Avatar
published in Blogs
Jun 28, 2023

Boost XLK Returns with Downtrend Protection v.2 Swing Trading - Earn 6.06%!

Analyzing XLK's Swing: The Power of Downtrend Protection v.2 (TA) in Generating 6.06% Returns

The Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund, or XLK, has recently exhibited impressive performance. A pertinent point to note is the influence of the Swing trader's Downtrend Protection v.2 (TA) strategy which generated an outstanding 6.06% return on the investment. This demonstrates the vitality and effectiveness of this strategic approach for those actively trading within short to medium-term periods.

On June 15, 2023, XLK was documented to be on a 2.33% uptrend, expanding for the third consecutive day. This continuous upward movement is typically regarded as a bullish signal, indicating potential future growth. Traders and investors alike should keep a keen eye on this stock as it demonstrates promising performance.

What bolsters this optimism is the historical data demonstrating the behavior of XLK when it has previously advanced for three consecutive days. Out of 343 cases, 313 witnessed a further price increase within the subsequent month. This translates to a striking 90% likelihood of a continued upward trend, providing strong evidence for sustained positive performance.

The positive trend, coupled with the notable success of the Downtrend Protection v.2 (TA) strategy, makes a compelling case for the potential of swing trading in tech ETFs such as XLK. The swing trading approach allows traders to take advantage of short-term price movements, capitalizing on volatility and momentum. The Downtrend Protection v.2, as seen in this case, acts as a robust strategy that manages risk and protects potential profits during downswings, thereby enabling traders to maximize their gains.

However, it's crucial to remember that past performance doesn't guarantee future results. The 90% probability is a historical figure, and while it offers useful insight into potential future behavior, it doesn't provide absolute certainty. As with any investment strategy, the Swing trader's Downtrend Protection v.2 (TA) and investing in XLK should be based on a comprehensive analysis of market conditions, and individual financial circumstances.

The Swing Trader's Downtrend Protection v.2 (TA) has proved highly effective in the case of XLK, contributing to a 6.06% return. While the upward trend is promising, traders should proceed with caution, taking into account all possible risk factors and market variables. The future looks promising for XLK, and the right strategies could potentially yield substantial returns.

Related Ticker: XLK

Momentum Indicator for XLK turns positive, indicating new upward trend

XLK saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on October 24, 2025. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 75 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 75 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for XLK just turned positive on October 24, 2025. Looking at past instances where XLK's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 51 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where XLK advanced for three days, in of 356 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 363 cases where XLK Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for XLK moved out of overbought territory on October 10, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 46 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where XLK declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

XLK broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 08, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:NVDA), Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL), Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:MSFT), Broadcom Inc. (NASDAQ:AVGO), Oracle Corp (NYSE:ORCL), Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ:AMD), International Business Machines Corp (NYSE:IBM), Cisco Systems (NASDAQ:CSCO), Micron Technology (NASDAQ:MU), Salesforce (NYSE:CRM).

Industry description

The investment seeks investment results that, before expenses, correspond generally to the price and yield performance of publicly traded equity securities of companies in the Technology Select Sector Index. In seeking to track the performance of the index, the fund employs a replication strategy, which means that the fund typically invests in substantially all of the securities represented in the index in approximately the same proportions as the index. It generally invests substantially all, but at least 95%, of its total assets in the securities comprising the index. The fund is non-diversified.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the The Technology Select Sector SPDR® ETF ETF is 309.2B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 4.74B to 4.53T. NVDA holds the highest valuation in this group at 4.53T. The lowest valued company is ENPH at 4.74B.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the The Technology Select Sector SPDR® ETF ETF was 3%. For the same ETF, the average monthly price growth was 5%, and the average quarterly price growth was 41%. EPAM experienced the highest price growth at 10%, while SMCI experienced the biggest fall at -7%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the The Technology Select Sector SPDR® ETF ETF was 3%. For the same stocks of the ETF, the average monthly volume growth was 26% and the average quarterly volume growth was -0%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 53
P/E Growth Rating: 49
Price Growth Rating: 39
SMR Rating: 100
Profit Risk Rating: 46
Seasonality Score: 46 (-100 ... +100)
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These past five trading days, the ETF lost 0.00% with an average daily volume of 0 shares traded.The ETF tracked a drawdown of 0% for this period.
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Category Technology

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