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Serhii Bondarenko's Avatar
published in Blogs
Jun 28, 2023

Boost XLK Returns with Downtrend Protection v.2 Swing Trading - Earn 6.06%!

Analyzing XLK's Swing: The Power of Downtrend Protection v.2 (TA) in Generating 6.06% Returns

The Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund, or XLK, has recently exhibited impressive performance. A pertinent point to note is the influence of the Swing trader's Downtrend Protection v.2 (TA) strategy which generated an outstanding 6.06% return on the investment. This demonstrates the vitality and effectiveness of this strategic approach for those actively trading within short to medium-term periods.

On June 15, 2023, XLK was documented to be on a 2.33% uptrend, expanding for the third consecutive day. This continuous upward movement is typically regarded as a bullish signal, indicating potential future growth. Traders and investors alike should keep a keen eye on this stock as it demonstrates promising performance.

What bolsters this optimism is the historical data demonstrating the behavior of XLK when it has previously advanced for three consecutive days. Out of 343 cases, 313 witnessed a further price increase within the subsequent month. This translates to a striking 90% likelihood of a continued upward trend, providing strong evidence for sustained positive performance.

The positive trend, coupled with the notable success of the Downtrend Protection v.2 (TA) strategy, makes a compelling case for the potential of swing trading in tech ETFs such as XLK. The swing trading approach allows traders to take advantage of short-term price movements, capitalizing on volatility and momentum. The Downtrend Protection v.2, as seen in this case, acts as a robust strategy that manages risk and protects potential profits during downswings, thereby enabling traders to maximize their gains.

However, it's crucial to remember that past performance doesn't guarantee future results. The 90% probability is a historical figure, and while it offers useful insight into potential future behavior, it doesn't provide absolute certainty. As with any investment strategy, the Swing trader's Downtrend Protection v.2 (TA) and investing in XLK should be based on a comprehensive analysis of market conditions, and individual financial circumstances.

The Swing Trader's Downtrend Protection v.2 (TA) has proved highly effective in the case of XLK, contributing to a 6.06% return. While the upward trend is promising, traders should proceed with caution, taking into account all possible risk factors and market variables. The future looks promising for XLK, and the right strategies could potentially yield substantial returns.

Related Ticker: XLK

XLK's RSI Indicator recovers from oversold territory

The RSI Oscillator for XLK moved out of oversold territory on April 09, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 22 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In of the 22 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on April 21, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on XLK as a result. In of 77 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for XLK just turned positive on April 14, 2025. Looking at past instances where XLK's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

XLK moved above its 50-day moving average on April 30, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for XLK crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on May 06, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where XLK advanced for three days, in of 356 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

XLK may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 339 cases where XLK Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 11 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where XLK declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:MSFT), NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:NVDA), Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL), Broadcom Inc. (NASDAQ:AVGO), Oracle Corp (NYSE:ORCL), Salesforce (NYSE:CRM), International Business Machines Corp (NYSE:IBM), Adobe (NASDAQ:ADBE), Cisco Systems (NASDAQ:CSCO), Accenture PLC (NYSE:ACN).

Industry description

The investment seeks investment results that, before expenses, correspond generally to the price and yield performance of publicly traded equity securities of companies in the Technology Select Sector Index. In seeking to track the performance of the index, the fund employs a replication strategy, which means that the fund typically invests in substantially all of the securities represented in the index in approximately the same proportions as the index. It generally invests substantially all, but at least 95%, of its total assets in the securities comprising the index. The fund is non-diversified.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the The Technology Select Sector SPDR® ETF ETF is 209.99B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 10.03B to 3.15T. MSFT holds the highest valuation in this group at 3.15T. The lowest valued company is EPAM at 10.03B.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the The Technology Select Sector SPDR® ETF ETF was 0%. For the same ETF, the average monthly price growth was 7%, and the average quarterly price growth was -8%. MCHP experienced the highest price growth at 15%, while FTNT experienced the biggest fall at -8%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the The Technology Select Sector SPDR® ETF ETF was -27%. For the same stocks of the ETF, the average monthly volume growth was -72% and the average quarterly volume growth was -17%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 54
P/E Growth Rating: 55
Price Growth Rating: 46
SMR Rating: 45
Profit Risk Rating: 43
Seasonality Score: 35 (-100 ... +100)
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