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Serhii Bondarenko's Avatar
published in Blogs
Jun 28, 2023

Boost XLK Returns with Downtrend Protection v.2 Swing Trading - Earn 6.06%!

Analyzing XLK's Swing: The Power of Downtrend Protection v.2 (TA) in Generating 6.06% Returns

The Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund, or XLK, has recently exhibited impressive performance. A pertinent point to note is the influence of the Swing trader's Downtrend Protection v.2 (TA) strategy which generated an outstanding 6.06% return on the investment. This demonstrates the vitality and effectiveness of this strategic approach for those actively trading within short to medium-term periods.

On June 15, 2023, XLK was documented to be on a 2.33% uptrend, expanding for the third consecutive day. This continuous upward movement is typically regarded as a bullish signal, indicating potential future growth. Traders and investors alike should keep a keen eye on this stock as it demonstrates promising performance.

What bolsters this optimism is the historical data demonstrating the behavior of XLK when it has previously advanced for three consecutive days. Out of 343 cases, 313 witnessed a further price increase within the subsequent month. This translates to a striking 90% likelihood of a continued upward trend, providing strong evidence for sustained positive performance.

The positive trend, coupled with the notable success of the Downtrend Protection v.2 (TA) strategy, makes a compelling case for the potential of swing trading in tech ETFs such as XLK. The swing trading approach allows traders to take advantage of short-term price movements, capitalizing on volatility and momentum. The Downtrend Protection v.2, as seen in this case, acts as a robust strategy that manages risk and protects potential profits during downswings, thereby enabling traders to maximize their gains.

However, it's crucial to remember that past performance doesn't guarantee future results. The 90% probability is a historical figure, and while it offers useful insight into potential future behavior, it doesn't provide absolute certainty. As with any investment strategy, the Swing trader's Downtrend Protection v.2 (TA) and investing in XLK should be based on a comprehensive analysis of market conditions, and individual financial circumstances.

The Swing Trader's Downtrend Protection v.2 (TA) has proved highly effective in the case of XLK, contributing to a 6.06% return. While the upward trend is promising, traders should proceed with caution, taking into account all possible risk factors and market variables. The future looks promising for XLK, and the right strategies could potentially yield substantial returns.

Related Ticker: XLK

XLK in downward trend: 10-day moving average crossed below 50-day moving average on November 21, 2025

The 10-day moving average for XLK crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on November 21, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 07, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on XLK as a result. In of 74 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for XLK turned negative on November 05, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 48 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

XLK moved below its 50-day moving average on November 17, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where XLK declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where XLK's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 23 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 4 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where XLK advanced for three days, in of 358 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

XLK may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 354 cases where XLK Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:NVDA), Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL), Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:MSFT), Broadcom Inc. (NASDAQ:AVGO), Oracle Corp (NYSE:ORCL), Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ:AMD), Cisco Systems (NASDAQ:CSCO), International Business Machines Corp (NYSE:IBM), Micron Technology (NASDAQ:MU), Salesforce (NYSE:CRM).

Industry description

The investment seeks investment results that, before expenses, correspond generally to the price and yield performance of publicly traded equity securities of companies in the Technology Select Sector Index. In seeking to track the performance of the index, the fund employs a replication strategy, which means that the fund typically invests in substantially all of the securities represented in the index in approximately the same proportions as the index. It generally invests substantially all, but at least 95%, of its total assets in the securities comprising the index. The fund is non-diversified.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the The Technology Select Sector SPDR® ETF ETF is 290.77B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 3.52B to 4.35T. NVDA holds the highest valuation in this group at 4.35T. The lowest valued company is ENPH at 3.52B.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the The Technology Select Sector SPDR® ETF ETF was -5%. For the same ETF, the average monthly price growth was -4%, and the average quarterly price growth was 21%. CTSH experienced the highest price growth at 5%, while AMD experienced the biggest fall at -17%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the The Technology Select Sector SPDR® ETF ETF was 35%. For the same stocks of the ETF, the average monthly volume growth was 38% and the average quarterly volume growth was 55%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 52
P/E Growth Rating: 52
Price Growth Rating: 48
SMR Rating: 44
Profit Risk Rating: 50
Seasonality Score: 31 (-100 ... +100)
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These past five trading days, the ETF lost 0.00% with an average daily volume of 0 shares traded.The ETF tracked a drawdown of 0% for this period.
A.I. Advisor
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General Information

Category Technology

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Category
Technology
Address
One Lincoln Street Cph0326Boston
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Web
www.spdrs.com
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