Northern Oil and Gas (NOG), an independent energy company, has made some impressive strides in the market with its sector rotation strategy. The trading approach, a blend of technical analysis (TA) and fundamental analysis (FA) has resulted in a significant return of 37.36%, an outstanding performance that has put NOG in the spotlight.
Since July 21, 2023, NOG has exhibited an uptrend, marked by a rise in value for three consecutive days. This pattern, indicative of bullish sentiment, is worth noting for investors aiming for potential growth stocks. The climb in NOG's value is not just a short-lived rally but appears to be a potential future uptrend based on historical data.
The technical analysis indicates that NOG has been on a positive trajectory, up by +1.73%, a performance that backs the ongoing bullishness. This growth pattern supports the sector rotation strategy, which involves shifting investment assets from one sector of the economy to another, based on anticipated market performance. The underlying concept is to leverage growth in high-performing sectors and switch when market dynamics change.
The fundamental analysis aspect also paints a favorable picture for NOG. This is where factors such as financial health, competitive positioning, and market conditions come into play. Though specific details aren't discussed in this context, the 37.36% generated suggests that NOG has a strong foundation that aligns with its impressive market performance.
Analyzing past data can often provide insights into future performance. When observing past situations where NOG advanced for three consecutive days, in 252 out of 297 cases, the price rose further within the following month. This statistic indicates that the odds of a continued upward trend are at a promising 85%.
NOG's sector rotation strategy (TA&FA) is proving to be a successful approach, and the stock's recent performance has clearly demonstrated its growth potential. The continuation of this bullish trend is highly likely based on historical data. Investors interested in harnessing the power of sector rotation strategies might want to keep a close eye on NOG's future performance.
The 10-day moving average for NOG crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 25, 2023. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The 10-day RSI Indicator for NOG moved out of overbought territory on September 05, 2023. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 30 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 30 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 13, 2023. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on NOG as a result. In of 99 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for NOG turned negative on September 11, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 44 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 44 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
NOG moved below its 50-day moving average on September 20, 2023 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where NOG declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
NOG broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 01, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 9 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NOG advanced for three days, in of 304 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 268 cases where NOG Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. NOG’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.610) is normal, around the industry mean (6.265). P/E Ratio (2.727) is within average values for comparable stocks, (16.555). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.864) is also within normal values, averaging (2.543). Dividend Yield (0.032) settles around the average of (0.124) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.977) is also within normal values, averaging (120.452).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. NOG’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 76, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a company which drills exploratory and developmental wells, primarily in the northern regions of the US and southern Canada.
|ETFs / NAME||Price $||Chg $||Chg %|
|ProShares UltraShort Industrials|
|Simplify Managed Futures Strategy ETF|
|American Century Emerging Markets Bd ETF|
|Reaves Utility Income Fund|
|iShares MSCI Global Gold Miners ETF|
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NOG has been closely correlated with MGY. These tickers have moved in lockstep 84% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if NOG jumps, then MGY could also see price increases.