Swing Trader: Deep Trend Analysis (TA) Generates 23.28% for XPEV
The swing trader strategy of employing deep trend analysis (TA) has delivered impressive results for XPEV, generating a remarkable return of 23.28%. This article will delve into the recent positive development in XPEV's Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) Histogram, indicating a potential continued upward trend for the stock.
On June 08, 2023, XPEV's MACD Histogram turned positive, which is a notable technical signal. The MACD is a popular technical indicator used to identify potential trend reversals and momentum shifts in a stock's price. When the MACD Histogram turns positive, it suggests that the short-term moving average of XPEV's price is gaining upward momentum relative to the long-term moving average.
To assess the significance of this event, it is beneficial to examine historical instances where XPEV's MACD turned positive. In 21 out of 25 cases, the stock continued to rise over the following month. This historical data indicates a favorable 84% probability of a continued upward trend for XPEV.
By leveraging deep trend analysis techniques, swing traders can identify these patterns and capitalize on potential opportunities in the market. It is important to note that swing trading involves holding positions for a relatively short period, usually ranging from a few days to a few weeks, to take advantage of price swings within an established trend.
While this positive MACD Histogram development presents an optimistic outlook for XPEV, it is essential for traders and investors to conduct thorough research and consider multiple factors before making any financial decisions. Factors such as company fundamentals, industry trends, and broader market conditions should also be taken into account to ensure a comprehensive analysis.
The swing trader strategy of employing deep trend analysis has proven successful for XPEV, yielding an impressive return of 23.28%. The recent positive turn in XPEV's MACD Histogram signals a potential continued upward trend, with historical data supporting an 84% probability of a rise in the stock over the next month. Traders utilizing swing trading techniques may find this information valuable in their investment decision-making process, but it is crucial to consider a holistic approach to finance and incorporate various factors in their analysis.
XPEV saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on September 13, 2023. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 30 instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 30 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 18, 2023. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on XPEV as a result. In of 48 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
XPEV moved below its 50-day moving average on September 20, 2023 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for XPEV crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 26, 2023. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where XPEV declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for XPEV entered a downward trend on August 29, 2023. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 38 cases where XPEV's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where XPEV advanced for three days, in of 167 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
XPEV may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. XPEV’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.236) is normal, around the industry mean (6.698). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (20.416). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (5.658). XPEV has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.040). P/S Ratio (4.988) is also within normal values, averaging (51.993).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. XPEV’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 86, placing this stock worse than average.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a designer, developer, and manufacturer smart electric vehicles
Industry MotorVehicles
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, XPEV has been closely correlated with NIO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 80% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if XPEV jumps, then NIO could also see price increases.
Ticker / NAME | Correlation To XPEV | 1D Price Change % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
XPEV | 100% | +3.18% | ||
NIO - XPEV | 80% Closely correlated | +5.32% | ||
LI - XPEV | 74% Closely correlated | -1.23% | ||
NIU - XPEV | 58% Loosely correlated | +2.88% | ||
RIVN - XPEV | 44% Loosely correlated | +0.13% | ||
PSNY - XPEV | 40% Loosely correlated | -3.04% | ||
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