Swing Trader: Downtrend Protection (TA) Generates 20.9% for TSLA
The electric vehicle giant, Tesla Inc. (TSLA), has presented swing traders with a promising opportunity, showing signs of long-term bullish momentum. This shift was signaled when its 50-day moving average crossed bullishly above its 200-day moving average on June 23, 2023, providing an encouraging outlook for the stock.
This bullish crossover is a critical milestone in the technical analysis world as it suggests a potential reversal from a previously bearish market to an upward trend. It is a sign of strength in the underlying asset, frequently leading to increased investor confidence and potential further increases in price.
Adding to this optimistic signal, the Momentum Indicator moved above 0 in 2023. Historical data indicates that in 64 of 76 past instances where the Momentum Indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. This suggests an 84% chance of TSLA maintaining its upward trend.
TSLA also managed a +3.45% advance over three consecutive days, marking another bullish indicator. Historical data analysis reveals that in 284 out of 344 cases after TSLA advanced for three days, the price rose further within the following month. These statistics indicate an 83% chance of a continued upward trend.
Additional confirmation of this bullish trend comes from the Aroon Indicator, which entered an uptrend recently. In the past, when the Aroon Indicator entered an uptrend, TSLA’s price rose further within the following month in 280 out of 307 cases. Thus, the odds of a continued uptrend, according to the Aroon Indicator, are 90%.
In light of these technical analysis indicators, swing traders might find TSLA a compelling opportunity. The bullish trend analysis supports the view that TSLA could continue its upward movement. This could present an excellent chance to consider long positions or call options on TSLA, especially considering the 20.9% gain generated by Downtrend Protection (TA).
The 10-day moving average for TSLA crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on July 08, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on June 30, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on TSLA as a result. In of 78 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for TSLA turned negative on June 25, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 45 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 45 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
TSLA moved below its 50-day moving average on July 03, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TSLA declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where TSLA's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 29 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 46 cases where TSLA's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The 50-day moving average for TSLA moved above the 200-day moving average on July 01, 2025. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TSLA advanced for three days, in of 337 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
TSLA may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 262 cases where TSLA Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 83, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. TSLA’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (8.905) is normal, around the industry mean (6.217). P/E Ratio (40.726) is within average values for comparable stocks, (17.826). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.067) is also within normal values, averaging (5.723). TSLA has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.042). P/S Ratio (6.305) is also within normal values, averaging (79.562).
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a manufacturer of electric sports cars
Industry MotorVehicles