Box Inc. beat earnings estimates for the first quarter, but issued weaker-than-expected full-year outlook – leading to its shares plunging -11% during after-hours trading Monday.
The cloud software and file sharing company’s quarterly adjusted loss of -3 cents per share was narrower than analysts’ expectations of a loss of -5 cents (based on Refinitiv consensus estimates).
Revenue of $163 million also came in higher than analysts’ anticipated $161.4 million (based on Refinitiv). Revenue jumped+16% from the year-ago quarter.
However, for the full fiscal year, Box expects revenue in the range of $688 million to $692 million, lagging the average analyst forecast of $702 million (based on Refinitiv). The company indicated that it needs longer timelines to close deals with larger clients - a potential reason behind its relatively lower guidance.
For the second-quarter in particular, Box predicts revenue of $169 million to $170 million, compared to analysts’ expectation of $170.9 million.
Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for BOX turned positive on October 02, 2026. Looking at past instances where BOX's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 35 of 52 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 02, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on BOX as a result. In 53 of 79 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.
BOX moved above its 50-day moving average on September 30, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for BOX crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 07, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 11 of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 65%.
Following a +1.93% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where BOX advanced for three days, in 193 of 302 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 64%.
BOX may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The RSI Indicator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 5 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where BOX declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 63%.
The Aroon Indicator for BOX entered a downward trend on October 06, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 1 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (-23.079) is normal, around the industry mean (17.861). P/E Ratio (46.088) is within average values for comparable stocks, (159.605). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.609) is also within normal values, averaging (3.648). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.004) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (4.042) is also within normal values, averaging (104.490).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 9 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 23 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 37 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. BOX’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 55 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 91, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 97 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a platform for content storage, sharing, and collaboration
Industry ComputerCommunications