Box (BOX, $16.44) posts lower-than-expected full-year guidance; shares drop -11% in extended trading Monday
Box Inc. beat earnings estimates for the first quarter, but issued weaker-than-expected full-year outlook – leading to its shares plunging -11% during after-hours trading Monday.
The cloud software and file sharing company’s quarterly adjusted loss of -3 cents per share was narrower than analysts’ expectations of a loss of -5 cents (based on Refinitiv consensus estimates).
Revenue of $163 million also came in higher than analysts’ anticipated $161.4 million (based on Refinitiv). Revenue jumped+16% from the year-ago quarter.
However, for the full fiscal year, Box expects revenue in the range of $688 million to $692 million, lagging the average analyst forecast of $702 million (based on Refinitiv). The company indicated that it needs longer timelines to close deals with larger clients - a potential reason behind its relatively lower guidance.
For the second-quarter in particular, Box predicts revenue of $169 million to $170 million, compared to analysts’ expectation of $170.9 million.
Momentum Indicator for BOX turns positive, indicating new upward trend
BOX saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on May 08, 2023. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 75 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 75 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for BOX just turned positive on May 05, 2023. Looking at past instances where BOX's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 49 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
BOX moved above its 50-day moving average on May 09, 2023 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for BOX crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on May 12, 2023. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where BOX advanced for three days, in of 316 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 218 cases where BOX Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where BOX declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
BOX broke above its upper Bollinger Band on May 18, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.000) is normal, around the industry mean (31.500). P/E Ratio (204.082) is within average values for comparable stocks, (167.496). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.966) is also within normal values, averaging (4.150). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.039) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (4.281) is also within normal values, averaging (75.690).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. BOX’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. BOX’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 89, placing this stock worse than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
Notable companies
Industry description
Market Cap
High and low price notable news
Volume
Fundamental Analysis Ratings
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
General Information
a platform for content storage, sharing, and collaboration
Industry PackagedSoftware
BOX and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, BOX has been closely correlated with SPLK. These tickers have moved in lockstep 67% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if BOX jumps, then SPLK could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To BOX | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOX | 100% | +0.67% | ||
| SPLK - BOX | 67% Closely correlated | +3.74% | ||
| DBX - BOX | 61% Loosely correlated | +0.74% | ||
| DT - BOX | 58% Loosely correlated | +1.27% | ||
| NOW - BOX | 56% Loosely correlated | -0.33% | ||
| INTU - BOX | 56% Loosely correlated | +0.72% | ||
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