Box (BOX, $16.44) posts lower-than-expected full-year guidance; shares drop -11% in extended trading Monday
Box Inc. beat earnings estimates for the first quarter, but issued weaker-than-expected full-year outlook – leading to its shares plunging -11% during after-hours trading Monday.
The cloud software and file sharing company’s quarterly adjusted loss of -3 cents per share was narrower than analysts’ expectations of a loss of -5 cents (based on Refinitiv consensus estimates).
Revenue of $163 million also came in higher than analysts’ anticipated $161.4 million (based on Refinitiv). Revenue jumped+16% from the year-ago quarter.
However, for the full fiscal year, Box expects revenue in the range of $688 million to $692 million, lagging the average analyst forecast of $702 million (based on Refinitiv). The company indicated that it needs longer timelines to close deals with larger clients - a potential reason behind its relatively lower guidance.
For the second-quarter in particular, Box predicts revenue of $169 million to $170 million, compared to analysts’ expectation of $170.9 million.
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Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.
BOX's RSI Indicator leaves overbought zone
The 10-day RSI Indicator for BOX moved out of overbought territory on August 11, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. Traders may want to look at selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 25 instances where the indicator moved out of the overbought zone. In of the 25 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move down at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 58 cases where BOX's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on August 21, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on BOX as a result. In of 76 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for BOX turned negative on August 14, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 51 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 51 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where BOX declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Bullish Trend Analysis
The 50-day moving average for BOX moved above the 200-day moving average on July 29, 2026. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where BOX advanced for three days, in of 297 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 223 cases where BOX Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.000) is normal, around the industry mean (22.357). P/E Ratio (52.297) is within average values for comparable stocks, (70.413). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.677) is also within normal values, averaging (2.162). BOX has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.021). P/S Ratio (4.070) is also within normal values, averaging (109.528).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. BOX’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 92, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
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General Information
a platform for content storage, sharing, and collaboration
Industry ComputerCommunications
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