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Feb 28, 2019
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Box (BOX, $24.88) shares drop -20%, on weaker-than-expected full year guidance

Box (BOX, $24.88) shares drop -20%, on weaker-than-expected full year guidance

Box Inc. shares plunged -20% Thursday, after the company released full-year earnings guidance lower than analysts’ expectations.

The cloud services company has forecasted its bottom-line to range between a loss of 3 cents per share to positive earnings of 1 cent per share for FY 2020. In comparison, analysts were expecting earnings of 3 cents per share. Revenue guidance for the year is between $700 and $704 million - a range which is lower than analysts’ estimates of $732.8 million.

For the just-concluded fiscal fourth quarter 2019, Box reported adjusted earnings of 6 cents per share, beating analysts' estimates of 2 cents per share. Revenue for the quarter came in at $163.7 million, which is below analysts’ expected $164.2 million.  The company’s billings increased +16% year-over-year to $237.7 million

According to Aaron Levie, co-founder and CEO of Box, the company saw strength in add-on product attach rates and delivered solid growth in six-figure deals in fiscal 2019. "While our Q4 billings results were below our expectations -- driven by underperformance in EMEA and longer sales cycles for some seven-figure deals -- we are encouraged by overall customer momentum and demand for cloud content management", Levie said in a press release.

Related Ticker: BOX

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


BOX's RSI Indicator leaves overbought zone

The 10-day RSI Oscillator for BOX moved out of overbought territory on November 06, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. Traders may want to look at selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 29 instances where the indicator moved out of the overbought zone. In 23 of the 29 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move down at 79%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for BOX turned negative on November 05, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 52 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 31 of the 52 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 60%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where BOX declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 64%.

BOX broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 20, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 10, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on BOX as a result. In 57 of 79 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 72%.

The 10-day moving average for BOX crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 07, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 11 of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 65%.

Following a +1.52% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where BOX advanced for three days, in 194 of 299 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 65%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 128 of 224 cases where BOX Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 57%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 4 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 30 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 36 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. BOX’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 45 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 92, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 47 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (-16.391) is normal, around the industry mean (16.360). P/E Ratio (59.929) is within average values for comparable stocks, (53.310). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.609) is also within normal values, averaging (3.696). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.434) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (4.042) is also within normal values, averaging (104.492).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 97 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:MSFT), Oracle Corp (NYSE:ORCL), Palo Alto Networks Inc (NASDAQ:PANW), Crowdstrike Holdings Inc (NASDAQ:CRWD), Block Inc (NYSE:XYZ), NetApp (NASDAQ:NTAP), Zscaler (NASDAQ:ZS), Twilio (NYSE:TWLO), Okta (NASDAQ:OKTA), MongoDB (NASDAQ:MDB).

Industry description

Computer communications industry develops technology that allows computing devices to exchange data with each other using connections/data links between nodes. Common types of computer network include Cloud (IAN), Internet, Wide (WAN, Local (LAN)/Wireless(WLAN) etc. The industry is an ever-more important part of technology, and is set to become even bigger as the Internet of Things (IoT) rapidly forays into the various aspects of our lives. Cisco Systems, Inc., Palo Alto Networks, Inc. and Arista Networks, Inc., Fortinet, Inc. are some of the major computer communications companies.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Computer Communications Industry is 34.76B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 48.8K to 3.94T. MSFT holds the highest valuation in this group at 3.94T. The lowest valued company is WMHI at 48.8K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Computer Communications Industry was -2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -12%, and the average quarterly price growth was -5%. TLS experienced the highest price growth at 49%, while AIIO experienced the biggest fall at -60%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Computer Communications Industry was -36%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -8% and the average quarterly volume growth was -47%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 50
P/E Growth Rating: 51
Price Growth Rating: 63
SMR Rating: 78
Profit Risk Rating: 91
Seasonality Score: 9 (-100 ... +100)
Real Time Patterns 3
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General Information

a platform for content storage, sharing, and collaboration

Industry ComputerCommunications

Industry
Information Technology Services
Address
900 Jefferson Avenue
Phone
+1 877 729-4269
Employees
2912
Web
https://www.box.com
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Box (BOX, $24.88) shares drop -20%, on weaker-than-expected full year guidance