Brexit Issues Hurting HSBC, Stock Trending Lower
From the middle of 2016 through the beginning of 2018, HSBC Holdings (NYSE: HSBC) saw its stock price double, moving from $26 a share to over $52. The London-based bank holding company has seen its fortunes reverse since the end of January and the stock has lost 19%. At the low in October, the stock was down 26.6% from its high.
The stock has seen a downwardly sloped trend channel form over the last 10 months and it just hit the upper rail of the channel this past week. We see that the daily stochastic readings are in overbought territory and just made a bearish crossover on Friday which could signal that the trend channel will continue to define the cycles within the downtrend.
One thing that seems to be hounding HSBC is the status of Britain’s exit from the European Union—Brexit. Because there is so much uncertainty about how the separation will occur, British banks seem to be investment pariahs. The recent Bank of England stress tests showed the banks have adequate reserves, but there are concerns that they will be at a disadvantage on the global market once the exit is complete.
Brexit issues aren’t the only thing that is hurting HSBC. Over the last three years, the earnings have been flat while sales have declined at a rate of 7% per year. These are not the kind of numbers you want to see from a company while there has been global economic expansion.
HSBC in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on March 12, 2026
HSBC moved below its 50-day moving average on March 12, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 38 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for HSBC moved out of overbought territory on February 27, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 49 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 49 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on March 03, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on HSBC as a result. In of 78 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for HSBC turned negative on March 03, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 40 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 40 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
The 10-day moving average for HSBC crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on March 13, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where HSBC declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
HSBC broke above its upper Bollinger Band on February 25, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 6 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where HSBC advanced for three days, in of 363 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 395 cases where HSBC Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 31, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. HSBC’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.352) is normal, around the industry mean (1.389). P/E Ratio (13.032) is within average values for comparable stocks, (12.817). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.041) is also within normal values, averaging (4.006). Dividend Yield (0.048) settles around the average of (0.041) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (4.144) is also within normal values, averaging (3.566).
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a major bank
Industry MajorBanks
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