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Mar 14, 2019
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Broadcom hit the lower rail of upward sloped channel and it has strong fundamentals

Broadcom hit the lower rail of upward sloped channel and it has strong fundamentals

I wrote about chip manufacturer Broadcom (Nasdaq: AVGO) back in January and at the time I pointed out the three rising valleys pattern the stock had formed. From the time I wrote about the stock through the high in February, the stock jumped 16.4%.

Flash forward to the last few days and we see that the three rising valleys have developed in to the lower rail of a trend channel and the stock just bounced off the lower rail.

We see that the daily stochastic readings had fallen in to oversold territory and they made a bullish crossover on March 11. We also saw a bullish crossover from the indicators back in January as the stock was taking off.

In addition to the bullish cross from the stochastics, the Tickeron AI Trend Prediction tool also generated a bullish signal on Broadcom on March 11. The signal showed a confidence level of 87% and past predictions have been accurate 65% of the time.

Broadcom has really strong fundamentals. The company has seen earnings grow by an average of 36% per year over the last three years and they grew by 27% in the most recent quarterly report. Sales have grown at an average annual rate of 47% per year and jumped by 12% in the most recent report.

In addition to the earnings and sales growth, the company’s management efficiency measurements are well above average. The return on equity is at 40% and the company boasts a profit margin of 47.8%.

Related Ticker: AVGO

Contributor

Harry Richardson — Algorithmic Trader & Strategy Developer Harry is an algorithmic trader specializing in impulse and breakout trading strategies across cryptocurrency and equity markets. With more than 10 years of experience in developing automated trading systems, he focuses on building structured algorithms designed to capture momentum while maintaining strict risk control. His approach combines quantitative analysis, real-market execution, and continuous performance monitoring. Vitalii prioritizes risk management, drawdown control, and strategy stability over short-term optimization, ensuring algorithms are adaptable to changing market conditions. He has developed and tested hundreds of automated strategies, working extensively with live trading environments, forward testing, and portfolio-level algorithm management. His work centers on transforming trading ideas into fully operational, scalable automated systems.


Aroon Indicator for AVGO shows an upward move is likely

AVGO's Aroon Indicator triggered a bullish signal on October 14, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor detected that the AroonUp green line is above 70 while the AroonDown red line is below 30. When the up indicator moves above 70 and the down indicator remains below 30, it is a sign that the stock could be setting up for a bullish move. Traders may want to buy the stock or look to buy calls options. A.I.dvisor looked at 290 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator showed a similar pattern. In 248 of the 290 cases, the stock moved higher in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move higher at 86%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

Following a +6.88% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AVGO advanced for three days, in 268 of 341 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 79%.

AVGO may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 46 of 72 cases where AVGO's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 64%.

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 30, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on AVGO as a result. In 62 of 89 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 70%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for AVGO turned negative on November 02, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 57 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 37 of the 57 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 65%.

AVGO moved below its 50-day moving average on October 08, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 50-day moving average for AVGO moved below the 200-day moving average on October 15, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AVGO declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 62%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 21 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 78, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 23 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 36 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 63 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. AVGO’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 77 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: AVGO's P/B Ratio (15.430) is slightly higher than the industry average of (5.894). P/E Ratio (39.929) is within average values for comparable stocks, (16.337). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.346) is also within normal values, averaging (3.803). Dividend Yield (0.008) settles around the average of (0.012) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (18.622) is also within normal values, averaging (46.468).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 92 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:NVDA), Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd (NYSE:TSM), Broadcom Inc. (NASDAQ:AVGO), Micron Technology (NASDAQ:MU), Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ:AMD), Intel Corp (NASDAQ:INTC), Texas Instruments (NASDAQ:TXN), Analog Devices (NASDAQ:ADI), QUALCOMM (NASDAQ:QCOM), Marvell Technology (NASDAQ:MRVL).

Industry description

The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Semiconductors Industry is 197.88B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 86.8K to 4.88T. NVDA holds the highest valuation in this group at 4.88T. The lowest valued company is STRB at 86.8K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Semiconductors Industry was -7%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -23%, and the average quarterly price growth was -21%. ALMU experienced the highest price growth at 14%, while INTC experienced the biggest fall at -34%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Semiconductors Industry was 62%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 32% and the average quarterly volume growth was -55%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 55
P/E Growth Rating: 50
Price Growth Rating: 62
SMR Rating: 72
Profit Risk Rating: 77
Seasonality Score: 25 (-100 ... +100)
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published General Information

General Information

a manufacturer of digital and analog semiconductor products

Industry Semiconductors

Industry
Semiconductors
Address
3421 Hillview Avenue
Phone
+1 650 427-6000
Employees
33000
Web
https://www.broadcom.com
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Broadcom hit the lower rail of upward sloped channel and it has strong fundamentals