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Vitalii Liubimov's Avatar
published in Blogs
Mar 30, 2019

Bullish signal on Brazil ETF as it hits the lower rail of a channel

Over the last six months, Brazil’s stock market has performed as well, if not better, than any market in the world. The Bovespa is up almost 19% during that time. The iShares MSCI Brazil Capped ETF (NYSE: EWZ) is one ETF that represents the Brazilian market and it is up 22.5% while the S&P 500 is actually down 3.4%.

The EWZ has formed a trend channel over the last eight months and the recent pullback has put the fund in contact with the lower rail of the channel. The fund jumped sharply on March 28 and that caused the daily stochastic readings to make a bullish crossover after reaching oversold territory.

The Tickeron AI Trend Prediction tool generated a bullish signal on the EWZ on March 27 and that signal showed a confidence level of 70%. More impressively, past predictions on the EWZ have been successful 90% of the time. This signal calls for a gain of at least 4% over the next month.

Brazil has benefitted from the different trade wars the United States has had with Mexico, Canada, and China. Agriculture products and steel have been at the center of the trade disputes and with tariffs being threatened and placed on some goods, Brazil has been the beneficiary. Two of Brazil’s biggest exports are soybeans and iron ore.

Related Ticker: EWZ

Aroon Indicator for EWZ shows an upward move is likely

EWZ's Aroon Indicator triggered a bullish signal on February 10, 2025. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor detected that the AroonUp green line is above 70 while the AroonDown red line is below 30. When the up indicator moves above 70 and the down indicator remains below 30, it is a sign that the stock could be setting up for a bullish move. Traders may want to buy the stock or look to buy calls options. A.I.dvisor looked at 179 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator showed a similar pattern. In of the 179 cases, the stock moved higher in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move higher at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on January 13, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on EWZ as a result. In of 89 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for EWZ just turned positive on January 02, 2025. Looking at past instances where EWZ's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 48 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

EWZ moved above its 50-day moving average on January 24, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for EWZ crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on January 29, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where EWZ advanced for three days, in of 296 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for EWZ moved out of overbought territory on February 07, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 34 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 34 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 16 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

EWZ broke above its upper Bollinger Band on January 22, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Industry description

The investment seeks to track the investment results of the MSCI Brazil 25/50 Index. The fund generally will invest at least 80% of its assets in the component securities of its underlying index and in investments that have economic characteristics that are substantially identical to the component securities of its underlying index. The index is a free float-adjusted market capitalization-weighted index designed to measure the performance of the large- and mid- capitalization segments of the equity market in Brazil. The fund is non-diversified.
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General Information

Category LatinAmericaStock

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Fundamentals
Details
Category
Latin America Stock
Address
iShares, Inc.400 Howard StreetSan Francisco
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www.ishares.com
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