Bullish signal on Fortinet (FTNT) after earnings
The Tickeron AI Trend Prediction tool generated a bullish signal on application software firm Fortinet (Nasdaq: FTNT) on February 7 and that was the day after the company reported earnings. The prediction came with a 70% confidence level and previous predictions on Fortinet have been accurate 68% of the time.
The company reported earnings per share of $0.59 and that exceeded the $0.51 consensus estimate. Fortinet also beat on the top line with revenue of $507 million while the estimate was for $496 million.
Something that stood out about Fortinet’s earnings report from some of the other tech companies was how China was impacting the company. Many other tech firms have lowered forecast and have cited the economic slowdown in China or the trade war. Fortinet doesn’t seem to have been phased by it.
The bullish signal from the AI prediction tool if for a gain of 2% over the next week, but looking at the weekly chart leads me to believe that we could see an even greater move to the upside.
The stock pulled down to its 52-week moving average during the fourth quarter, but it seemed to use the trend line as support and has since reversed. The stock has moved higher in each of the last three weeks, but it hasn’t shot up so much that the overbought/oversold indicators have jumped up to overbought territory.
We see that the 10-week RSI is at 60.17 currently and the weekly stochastic readings are at 71.22 and 53.65. Even if the stochastic readings do move in to overbought territory, it isn’t necessarily a bad sign. You can see that the readings were above the 80 level from November ’17 through September ’18.
Fortinet is one of the recommended holdings in the 20/20 Portfolio, my model portfolio here on Tickeron.
FTNT sees MACD Histogram crosses below signal line
FTNT saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on October 14, 2025. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 55 instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 55 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 10, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on FTNT as a result. In of 91 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where FTNT declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
FTNT broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 19, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 3 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
FTNT moved above its 50-day moving average on October 01, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for FTNT crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 02, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where FTNT advanced for three days, in of 361 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 288 cases where FTNT Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 91, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. FTNT’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (30.960) is normal, around the industry mean (17.706). P/E Ratio (33.124) is within average values for comparable stocks, (156.304). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.024) is also within normal values, averaging (2.232). FTNT has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.025). P/S Ratio (10.152) is also within normal values, averaging (104.684).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
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General Information
a provider of threat management and network security solutions
Industry ComputerCommunications
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