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Feb 13, 2019
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Bullish signal on Fortinet (FTNT) after earnings

Bullish signal on Fortinet (FTNT) after earnings

The Tickeron AI Trend Prediction tool generated a bullish signal on application software firm Fortinet (Nasdaq: FTNT) on February 7 and that was the day after the company reported earnings. The prediction came with a 70% confidence level and previous predictions on Fortinet have been accurate 68% of the time.

The company reported earnings per share of $0.59 and that exceeded the $0.51 consensus estimate. Fortinet also beat on the top line with revenue of $507 million while the estimate was for $496 million.

Something that stood out about Fortinet’s earnings report from some of the other tech companies was how China was impacting the company. Many other tech firms have lowered forecast and have cited the economic slowdown in China or the trade war. Fortinet doesn’t seem to have been phased by it.

The bullish signal from the AI prediction tool if for a strong performance over the next week, but looking at the weekly chart leads me to believe that we could see an even greater move to the upside.

The stock pulled down to its 52-week moving average during the fourth quarter, but it seemed to use the trend line as support and has since reversed. The stock has moved higher in each of the last three weeks, but it hasn’t shot up so much that the overbought/oversold indicators have jumped up to overbought territory.

We see that the 10-week RSI is at 60.17 currently and the weekly stochastic readings are at 71.22 and 53.65. Even if the stochastic readings do move in to overbought territory, it isn’t necessarily a bad sign. You can see that the readings were above the 80 level from November ’17 through September ’18.

Fortinet is one of the recommended holdings in the 20/20 Portfolio, my model portfolio here on Tickeron.

Related Ticker: FTNT

Contributor

Harry Richardson — Algorithmic Trader & Strategy Developer Harry is an algorithmic trader specializing in impulse and breakout trading strategies across cryptocurrency and equity markets. With more than 10 years of experience in developing automated trading systems, he focuses on building structured algorithms designed to capture momentum while maintaining strict risk control. His approach combines quantitative analysis, real-market execution, and continuous performance monitoring. Vitalii prioritizes risk management, drawdown control, and strategy stability over short-term optimization, ensuring algorithms are adaptable to changing market conditions. He has developed and tested hundreds of automated strategies, working extensively with live trading environments, forward testing, and portfolio-level algorithm management. His work centers on transforming trading ideas into fully operational, scalable automated systems.


FTNT's RSI Indicator remains in oversold zone for 1 day

It is expected that a price bounce should occur soon.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.

Following a +2.78% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where FTNT advanced for three days, in 229 of 332 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.

FTNT may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 173 of 221 cases where FTNT Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 78%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 16, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on FTNT as a result. In 60 of 87 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 69%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for FTNT turned negative on October 15, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 56 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 40 of the 56 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 71%.

FTNT moved below its 50-day moving average on October 29, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for FTNT crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 30, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 12 of 19 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 63%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where FTNT declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 64%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 12 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 12 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 33 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 91, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 34 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 48 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. FTNT’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 94 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (64.370) is normal, around the industry mean (16.842). P/E Ratio (47.580) is within average values for comparable stocks, (59.273). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.939) is also within normal values, averaging (3.696). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.272) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (17.065) is also within normal values, averaging (104.492).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:MSFT), Oracle Corp (NYSE:ORCL), Palo Alto Networks Inc (NASDAQ:PANW), Crowdstrike Holdings Inc (NASDAQ:CRWD), Block Inc (NYSE:XYZ), NetApp (NASDAQ:NTAP), Zscaler (NASDAQ:ZS), Okta (NASDAQ:OKTA), Twilio (NYSE:TWLO), MongoDB (NASDAQ:MDB).

Industry description

Computer communications industry develops technology that allows computing devices to exchange data with each other using connections/data links between nodes. Common types of computer network include Cloud (IAN), Internet, Wide (WAN, Local (LAN)/Wireless(WLAN) etc. The industry is an ever-more important part of technology, and is set to become even bigger as the Internet of Things (IoT) rapidly forays into the various aspects of our lives. Cisco Systems, Inc., Palo Alto Networks, Inc. and Arista Networks, Inc., Fortinet, Inc. are some of the major computer communications companies.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Computer Communications Industry is 35.75B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 48.8K to 3.88T. MSFT holds the highest valuation in this group at 3.88T. The lowest valued company is WMHI at 48.8K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Computer Communications Industry was -4%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -9%, and the average quarterly price growth was -0%. CHOW experienced the highest price growth at 113%, while PICS experienced the biggest fall at -49%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Computer Communications Industry was 56%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 24% and the average quarterly volume growth was -7%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 50
P/E Growth Rating: 51
Price Growth Rating: 61
SMR Rating: 78
Profit Risk Rating: 90
Seasonality Score: 9 (-100 ... +100)
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published General Information

General Information

a provider of threat management and network security solutions

Industry ComputerCommunications

Industry
Computer Communications
Address
909 Kifer Road
Phone
+1 408 235-7700
Employees
15109
Web
https://www.fortinet.com
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Bullish signal on Fortinet (FTNT) after earnings