Business economists expect recession
Most of the nation’s leading business economists predict that the U.S. economy will tip into recession by the end of 2021.
A survey from the National Association of Business Economics released Monday predicts that three-fourths of the association’s 281 members expect a recession by 2021. Although only 10% of the NABE expect a recession in 2019, 42% expect a recession in 2020. Despite the heightened recession risks, most of the economists say the Federal Reserve is on the right path of monetary policy. Three-fourths of the surveyed economists said the Fed’s policy is “about right,” with a majority of economists approving of the Fed’s current inflation target of 2%.
SPY's RSI Indicator leaves overbought zone
The 10-day RSI Indicator for SPY moved out of overbought territory on June 11, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. Traders may want to look at selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 45 instances where the indicator moved out of the overbought zone. In of the 45 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move down at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 67 cases where SPY's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for SPY turned negative on May 28, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 53 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 53 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SPY declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on June 03, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on SPY as a result. In of 68 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SPY advanced for three days, in of 366 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 435 cases where SPY Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
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