Cal-Maine Foods (CALM, $54.46) earnings forecast on March 28, 2023
Cal-Maine Foods (CALM) is set to announce its earnings forecast on Tuesday, March 28, 2023. Investors are eagerly awaiting this announcement to gauge the company's financial performance and prospects for the future. However, recent market trends have not been favorable for CALM, as its stock price dipped below the 50-day moving average on March 13, 2023, indicating a shift from an upward to a downward trend.
The 50-day moving average is a technical indicator that helps investors track the average price of a stock over the past 50 trading days. When the stock price moves below this average, it suggests a potential reversal in the trend. In the case of CALM, this shift to a downward trend could be a cause for concern for investors.
According to historical data, in 32 of the 52 similar past instances where CALM's stock price moved below the 50-day moving average, the stock price continued to decrease further within the following month. This translates to a 62% probability of a continued downward trend in CALM's stock price.
The factors contributing to the current downward trend in CALM's stock price could be attributed to several factors, including the impact of COVID-19 on the food industry and the recent supply chain disruptions. The company is a major producer and marketer of shell eggs in the United States, and any disruption to the food supply chain could negatively impact its operations.
Despite these headwinds, CALM remains a strong player in the food industry, with a history of delivering solid financial performance. The company has a strong track record of innovation, with a focus on product differentiation and expanding its product portfolio to meet changing consumer preferences.
CALM in downward trend: price may decline as a result of having broken its higher Bollinger Band on May 25, 2023
CALM broke above its upper Bollinger Band on May 25, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 42 similar instances where the stock broke above the upper band. In of the 42 cases the stock fell afterwards. This puts the odds of success at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 3 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
CALM moved below its 50-day moving average on April 20, 2023 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 50-day moving average for CALM moved below the 200-day moving average on May 09, 2023. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CALM declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for CALM entered a downward trend on May 11, 2023. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where CALM's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 25 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on May 23, 2023. You may want to consider a long position or call options on CALM as a result. In of 97 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for CALM just turned positive on May 17, 2023. Looking at past instances where CALM's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 50 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CALM advanced for three days, in of 339 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.551) is normal, around the industry mean (14.312). P/E Ratio (3.135) is within average values for comparable stocks, (29.143). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (48.373). CALM has a moderately high Dividend Yield (0.106) as compared to the industry average of (0.052). P/S Ratio (0.774) is also within normal values, averaging (13.467).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 82, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. CALM’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
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Fundamental Analysis Ratings
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