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Jan 26, 2021

Can AMC Entertainment Avoid Bankruptcy?

Many people (myself included) are longing for the day we can go back to movie theaters. But perhaps a better question to ask today is: will there even be movie theaters to go back to?

Perhaps the answer is yes and no. For small, independent movie theaters across the country, it may have been difficult or impossible to obtain the bridge financing needed to keep the business afloat. PPP loans helped early-on in the crisis, and more money for loans just passed with the new stimulus bill. But it may not be enough for these businesses. 

Larger chains, like AMC Entertainment Holdings, have had more luck. This week, AMC announced it had signed deals for $917 million in financing to secure its business until late 2021. The influx of cash has come from raising $506 million in equity deals and $411 in debt financing, underscoring investor's appetite for risk and extreme levels of liquidity available in the capital markets.  Indeed, many credit ratings firms have lowered their expectations for corporate defaults in 2021, given continued government support, the ability to refinance, and optimism that mass immunization will happen in 2021 -- a big "if." 

For investors curious about the overall movie entertainment industry, and some of the key players in the space, check out Tickeron's A.I.dvisor's detailed analysis below.

Related Ticker: AMC

AMC's Stochastic Oscillator driving into overbought zone

The Stochastic Oscillator for AMC moved into overbought territory on April 19, 2024. Be on the watch for a price drop or consolidation in the future -- when this happens, think about selling the stock or exploring put options.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AMC declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for AMC entered a downward trend on April 19, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where AMC's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 44 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on April 19, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on AMC as a result. In of 78 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for AMC just turned positive on April 18, 2024. Looking at past instances where AMC's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 37 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a +2 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AMC advanced for three days, in of 251 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

AMC may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.000) is normal, around the industry mean (5.400). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (87.119). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (2.822). AMC has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.040). P/S Ratio (0.124) is also within normal values, averaging (29.645).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. AMC’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. AMC’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 89, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX), Walt Disney Company (The) (NYSE:DIS), Roku (NASDAQ:ROKU), Paramount Global (NASDAQ:PARA), iQIYI (NASDAQ:IQ), HUYA (NYSE:HUYA), AMC Entertainment Holdings (NYSE:AMC).

Industry description

Movies/entertainment industry include companies that produce and distribute motion pictures, and companies that operate general entertainment facilities like amusement parks and bowling centers. Some companies in this industry also have professional sports franchises. Live Nation Entertainment, Inc., Liberty Media Corp. and Viacom Inc. are some of the biggest companies in this space.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Movies/Entertainment Industry is 8.76B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 134 to 262.83B. NFLX holds the highest valuation in this group at 262.83B. The lowest valued company is LRDG at 134.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Movies/Entertainment Industry was -0%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 0%, and the average quarterly price growth was 18%. AMFL experienced the highest price growth at 82%, while TOON experienced the biggest fall at -34%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Movies/Entertainment Industry was 31%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 5% and the average quarterly volume growth was 53%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 53
P/E Growth Rating: 62
Price Growth Rating: 57
SMR Rating: 84
Profit Risk Rating: 88
Seasonality Score: -12 (-100 ... +100)
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AMCDaily Signal changed days agoGain/Loss if shorted
 
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A.I.Advisor
published price charts
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a holding company with interest in movie theatres

Industry MoviesEntertainment

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Movies Or Entertainment
Address
11500 Ash Street
Phone
+1 913 213-2000
Employees
33812
Web
https://www.amctheatres.com
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