Can AMC Entertainment Avoid Bankruptcy?
Many people (myself included) are longing for the day we can go back to movie theaters. But perhaps a better question to ask today is: will there even be movie theaters to go back to?
Perhaps the answer is yes and no. For small, independent movie theaters across the country, it may have been difficult or impossible to obtain the bridge financing needed to keep the business afloat. PPP loans helped early-on in the crisis, and more money for loans just passed with the new stimulus bill. But it may not be enough for these businesses.
Larger chains, like AMC Entertainment Holdings, have had more luck. This week, AMC announced it had signed deals for $917 million in financing to secure its business until late 2021. The influx of cash has come from raising $506 million in equity deals and $411 in debt financing, underscoring investor's appetite for risk and extreme levels of liquidity available in the capital markets. Indeed, many credit ratings firms have lowered their expectations for corporate defaults in 2021, given continued government support, the ability to refinance, and optimism that mass immunization will happen in 2021 -- a big "if."
For investors curious about the overall movie entertainment industry, and some of the key players in the space, check out Tickeron's A.I.dvisor's detailed analysis below.
AMC's MACD Histogram crosses above signal line
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for AMC turned positive on April 18, 2024. Looking at past instances where AMC's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 37 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where AMC's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 44 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on April 19, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on AMC as a result. In of 78 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a +1 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AMC advanced for three days, in of 251 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AMC declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
AMC broke above its upper Bollinger Band on April 22, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for AMC entered a downward trend on April 23, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.000) is normal, around the industry mean (5.400). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (87.119). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (2.822). AMC has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.040). P/S Ratio (0.124) is also within normal values, averaging (29.645).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. AMC’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. AMC’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 89, placing this stock worse than average.
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Fundamental Analysis Ratings
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General Information
a holding company with interest in movie theatres
Industry MoviesEntertainment