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Feb 12, 2021

Can Regulating Cryptocurrency Be a Good Thing?

Can Regulating Cryptocurrency Be a Good Thing?

As cryptocurrency has grown in prominence, acceptance, functionality, and value, public figures have grappled with ways to regulate it. There are a myriad of logistical challenges in overseeing a new financial system predicated on anonymity, and that’s before taking into account crypto investors’ concerns that regulation would cripple, or even destroy, vital elements of the currency and impede its ability to grow.

Nevertheless, talks broaching the regulatory subject have heated up. The US Treasury held a hearing on Tuesday to discuss the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and Commodity Futures Trading Commission’s (CFTC) roles in overseeing cryptocurrency markets in the US, and prominent international figures, including US Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin and French Finance Minister Bruno Le Maire, have called for talks about cryptocurrency regulation during March’s G20 summit in Argentina.

Mnuchin and Le Maire have different, but standard, fears about cryptocurrencies. Mnuchin’s main concern is the potential for them to be misused or abused, particularly through illegal activity, like money laundering. Critically, however, he has stated that he does not believe they threaten financial market stability. Le Maire, on the other hand, is mainly worried about the risks associated with market speculation.

These are not the first conversations regarding concerns and potential cryptocurrency regulations in the US or at a global conference, but they are surely a sign of cryptocurrency’s burgeoning importance on an international level. With regulation looking like an inevitability, it is worth asking – what would cryptocurrency regulation look like? And, is there a chance regulation could actually be a good thing?

 


 

The Significance and Takeaways of the Senate Hearings (February 6, 2018)

On February 6, the Senate Banking Committee saw SEC Chairman Jay Clayton and CFTC Chairman Christopher Giancarlo expound on near-term cryptocurrency regulation plans in the US. The two offered testimony on what can and should be regulated, as well as the logistics of doing so, and presented their thoughts on the future of blockchain and cryptocurrency markets. 

The conversation outlined three main pillars of the cryptocurrency economy – cryptocurrencies as “a replacement for dollars;” ICOs (Initial Coin Offering) as “like a stock offering;” and distributed ledger technologies, or blockchain. Giancarlo expressed curiosity and enthusiasm about the potential of the emerging market, while Clayton’s tone was more solemn as he detailed his concerns about ICO fraud and protecting ‘Main Street’ investors.

Conversations are far from finished, but these initial talks should assuage fears that future regulation efforts will seek to impede growth. Both chairmen expressed their desire to regulate cryptocurrency exchanges as part of a broader effort focused on protecting and educating investors, who may assume cryptocurrency markets are regulated like traditional ones. Clayton proposed an interagency plan between the SEC, CFTC, states, and federal regulators to teach consumers about unregulated trading platforms. Giancarlo clarified that the CFTC cannot require protections that consumers would expect from customary securities exchanges, but that Bitcoin futures markets now allow the CFTC to analyze trading data for fraud and manipulation. And even Senator Mark Warner, whose calls for better-coordinated regulation efforts were met with agreement from both chairmen, expressed a positive vision for the future: “The potential writ large amongst crypto assets and the underlying blockchain could be as transformational as wireless was years ago,” said Warner.

The emphasis on protecting consumers from fraudulent and dangerous activity, as well as the generally positive tone of the meetings, should be music to the ears of cryptocurrency investors, who were largely expecting more bad news in a difficult week. Signs appear positive for the ongoing viability of virtual currencies in a regulated world.

Related Ticker: BTC.X

BTC.X in downward trend: 10-day moving average moved below 50-day moving average on April 17, 2024

The 10-day moving average for BTC.X crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on April 17, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 19 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on April 24, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on BTC.X as a result. In of 135 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

BTC.X moved below its 50-day moving average on April 13, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where BTC.X declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where BTC.X advanced for three days, in of 443 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

BTC.X may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 439 cases where BTC.X Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the group is 1.27T. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 1.27T to 1.27T. BTC.X holds the highest valuation in this group at 1.27T. The lowest valued company is BTC.X at 1.27T.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the group was 5%. For the same group, the average monthly price growth was -8%, and the average quarterly price growth was 90%. BTC.X experienced the highest price growth at 5%, while BTC.X experienced the biggest fall at 5%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the group was -28%. For the same stocks of the group, the average monthly volume growth was -29% and the average quarterly volume growth was 84%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating:
P/E Growth Rating:
Price Growth Rating:
SMR Rating:
Profit Risk Rating:
Seasonality Score: (-100 ... +100)
View a ticker or compare two or three
BTC.XDaily Signal changed days agoGain/Loss if shorted
 
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