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Vitalii Liubimov's Avatar
published in Blogs
Oct 31, 2019
Can Wynn Resorts break out of downward trend with earnings announcement?

Can Wynn Resorts break out of downward trend with earnings announcement?

Casino operator Wynn Resorts (Nasdaq: WYNN) is set to report third quarter earnings results on November 6 and the stock will be looking to break out of a downward trend with the results.

The stock has been trending lower since peaking in April and if we connect the high from April and July, we get a downward sloped trend line that is currently just below $130. The daily overbought/oversold indicators are in overbought territory and the daily stochastic readings made a bearish crossover on October 30.

The chart shows the downward sloped trend line, but it also shows a pretty strong support level at the $102.50 level. The stock has dropped to this area at the beginning of June, in mid-August, and again in early October. It would take a pretty big drop to get the stock back down to this area after the earnings report, but that could happen over the course of the coming weeks.

You can attribute the decline in the stock price to the fundamentals of the company. The company saw earnings decline by 6% in the second quarter and analysts expect earnings to decline by 17% for 2019 as a whole. As for the third quarter, the consensus estimate is for the company to report EPS of $0.90 and that is a huge drop from last year's third quarter EPS of $1.68.

Revenue grew by 3% in the second quarter and it has grown by 21% per year over the last three years. Analysts expect revenue to grow by 0.7% for 2019.

Wynn's management efficiency measurements are well above average with a return on equity of 46.9% and a profit margin of 14.5%. When you combine these figures with the sales growth for the company, you get an SMR rating from Tickeron of 37. This indicates that the company is slightly above average in terms of sales growth, profit margin, and return on Equity. The rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted sales, income margin and return on equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Unfortunately for Wynn this is one of the few indicators where the company ranks above average. The Tickeron Valuation Rating is at 74 and that indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. A rating of 1 points to the most undervalued stocks, while a rating of 100 points to the most overvalued stocks. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating for Wynn is 100, indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. Wynn’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating for the industry is 75, placing this stock worse than average.

When it comes to earnings announcements, I have found that the sentiment indicators become more important than usual as they tell you what the investment community expects. If expectations are too high, the company has a hard time satisfying everyone. If the expectations are low, it's easy to impress investors.

Unfortunately for Wynn, the sentiment is rather bullish at this time. There are 18 analysts covering the stock at this time with 13 "buy" ratings and five "hold" ratings. This puts the buy percentage at 72.2%. This is in the average range, but with the stock trending lower and the fundamentals being rather weak, that might be too high. The short interest ratio is a paltry 1.8 so the odds of a short covering rally are rather low.

Related Ticker: WYNN

WYNN in +3.02% Uptrend, advancing for three consecutive days on March 05, 2026

Moving higher for three straight days is viewed as a bullish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future growth. Considering data from situations where WYNN advanced for three days, in of 283 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where WYNN's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 30 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 4 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

WYNN may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on March 02, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on WYNN as a result. In of 77 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for WYNN turned negative on February 24, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 55 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 55 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where WYNN declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for WYNN entered a downward trend on February 10, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. WYNN’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.000) is normal, around the industry mean (5.671). P/E Ratio (32.360) is within average values for comparable stocks, (497.004). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.632) is also within normal values, averaging (1.356). WYNN has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.010) as compared to the industry average of (0.031). P/S Ratio (1.484) is also within normal values, averaging (1.541).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. WYNN’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 90, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Las Vegas Sands Corp (NYSE:LVS), Wynn Resorts Limited (NASDAQ:WYNN), MGM Resorts International (NYSE:MGM), Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited (NASDAQ:MLCO).

Industry description

The industry includes companies that operate and manage one or more of the following: lodging facilities (e.g. hotels and motels), resorts (e.g. ski resorts), spas, cruise ships and timeshare facilities. Marriott International, Inc., Carnival Corporation, Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. and Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. are some of the biggest names in this industry.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Hotels/Resorts/Cruiselines Industry is 5.24B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 1.24M to 37.87B. LVS holds the highest valuation in this group at 37.87B. The lowest valued company is SOST at 1.24M.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Hotels/Resorts/Cruiselines Industry was -2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -1%, and the average quarterly price growth was -9%. SJMHY experienced the highest price growth at 21%, while GIGNF experienced the biggest fall at -19%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Hotels/Resorts/Cruiselines Industry was -21%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -42% and the average quarterly volume growth was -14%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 57
P/E Growth Rating: 50
Price Growth Rating: 59
SMR Rating: 66
Profit Risk Rating: 89
Seasonality Score: -29 (-100 ... +100)
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WYNN
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published price charts
These past five trading days, the stock lost 0.00% with an average daily volume of 0 shares traded.The stock tracked a drawdown of 0% for this period. WYNN showed earnings on February 12, 2026. You can read more about the earnings report here.
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a high-end casinos & resorts company

Industry HotelsResortsCruiselines

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Casinos Or Gaming
Address
3131 Las Vegas Boulevard South
Phone
+1 702 770-7555
Employees
27800
Web
https://www.wynnresorts.com
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