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Oct 31, 2019
Can Wynn Resorts break out of downward trend with earnings announcement?

Can Wynn Resorts break out of downward trend with earnings announcement?

Casino operator Wynn Resorts (Nasdaq: WYNN) is set to report third quarter earnings results on November 6 and the stock will be looking to break out of a downward trend with the results.

The stock has been trending lower since peaking in April and if we connect the high from April and July, we get a downward sloped trend line that is currently just below $130. The daily overbought/oversold indicators are in overbought territory and the daily stochastic readings made a bearish crossover on October 30.

The chart shows the downward sloped trend line, but it also shows a pretty strong support level at the $102.50 level. The stock has dropped to this area at the beginning of June, in mid-August, and again in early October. It would take a pretty big drop to get the stock back down to this area after the earnings report, but that could happen over the course of the coming weeks.

You can attribute the decline in the stock price to the fundamentals of the company. The company saw earnings decline by 6% in the second quarter and analysts expect earnings to decline by 17% for 2019 as a whole. As for the third quarter, the consensus estimate is for the company to report EPS of $0.90 and that is a huge drop from last year's third quarter EPS of $1.68.

Revenue grew by 3% in the second quarter and it has grown by 21% per year over the last three years. Analysts expect revenue to grow by 0.7% for 2019.

Wynn's management efficiency measurements are well above average with a return on equity of 46.9% and a profit margin of 14.5%. When you combine these figures with the sales growth for the company, you get an SMR rating from Tickeron of 37. This indicates that the company is slightly above average in terms of sales growth, profit margin, and return on Equity. The rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted sales, income margin and return on equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Unfortunately for Wynn this is one of the few indicators where the company ranks above average. The Tickeron Valuation Rating is at 74 and that indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. A rating of 1 points to the most undervalued stocks, while a rating of 100 points to the most overvalued stocks. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating for Wynn is 100, indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. Wynn’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating for the industry is 75, placing this stock worse than average.

When it comes to earnings announcements, I have found that the sentiment indicators become more important than usual as they tell you what the investment community expects. If expectations are too high, the company has a hard time satisfying everyone. If the expectations are low, it's easy to impress investors.

Unfortunately for Wynn, the sentiment is rather bullish at this time. There are 18 analysts covering the stock at this time with 13 "buy" ratings and five "hold" ratings. This puts the buy percentage at 72.2%. This is in the average range, but with the stock trending lower and the fundamentals being rather weak, that might be too high. The short interest ratio is a paltry 1.8 so the odds of a short covering rally are rather low.

Related Ticker: WYNN

Contributor

Harry Richardson — Algorithmic Trader & Strategy Developer Harry is an algorithmic trader specializing in impulse and breakout trading strategies across cryptocurrency and equity markets. With more than 10 years of experience in developing automated trading systems, he focuses on building structured algorithms designed to capture momentum while maintaining strict risk control. His approach combines quantitative analysis, real-market execution, and continuous performance monitoring. Vitalii prioritizes risk management, drawdown control, and strategy stability over short-term optimization, ensuring algorithms are adaptable to changing market conditions. He has developed and tested hundreds of automated strategies, working extensively with live trading environments, forward testing, and portfolio-level algorithm management. His work centers on transforming trading ideas into fully operational, scalable automated systems.


WYNN in downward trend: 10-day moving average broke below 50-day moving average on August 28, 2026

The 10-day moving average for WYNN crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on August 28, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 12 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 80%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where WYNN declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 73%.

The Aroon Indicator for WYNN entered a downward trend on October 05, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 18 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an Uptrend is expected.

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 4 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

WYNN may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 55 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 65 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. WYNN’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 90 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: WYNN's P/B Ratio (103.093) is slightly higher than the industry average of (26.158). P/E Ratio (19.308) is within average values for comparable stocks, (67.292). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.716) is also within normal values, averaging (0.784). Dividend Yield (0.012) settles around the average of (0.012) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.177) is also within normal values, averaging (1.049).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 91 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. WYNN’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 92, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Las Vegas Sands Corp (NYSE:LVS), Wynn Resorts Limited (NASDAQ:WYNN), MGM Resorts International (NYSE:MGM), Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited (NASDAQ:MLCO).

Industry description

The industry includes companies that operate and manage one or more of the following: lodging facilities (e.g. hotels and motels), resorts (e.g. ski resorts), spas, cruise ships and timeshare facilities. Marriott International, Inc., Carnival Corporation, Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. and Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. are some of the biggest names in this industry.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Hotels/Resorts/Cruiselines Industry is 4.34B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 514.43K to 25.12B. LVS holds the highest valuation in this group at 25.12B. The lowest valued company is CNDL at 514.43K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Hotels/Resorts/Cruiselines Industry was -2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -10%, and the average quarterly price growth was -11%. MSC experienced the highest price growth at 19%, while FLL experienced the biggest fall at -14%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Hotels/Resorts/Cruiselines Industry was -10%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 84% and the average quarterly volume growth was -8%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 55
P/E Growth Rating: 62
Price Growth Rating: 66
SMR Rating: 70
Profit Risk Rating: 91
Seasonality Score: 25 (-100 ... +100)
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published General Information

General Information

a high-end casinos & resorts company

Industry HotelsResortsCruiselines

Industry
Casinos Or Gaming
Address
3131 Las Vegas Boulevard South
Phone
+1 702 770-7555
Employees
28500
Web
https://www.wynnresorts.com
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Can Wynn Resorts break out of downward trend with earnings announcement?